AAPL Gamma Squeeze, Pin & Wall Analysis

AAPL Apple $294.80 +0.70% (updated 2026-05-12)

Today's OI Read — AAPL

Where the walls are, where price sits, and what the dealer positioning implies for Apple

In Between Walls?

YES

$280

2ND

$300

DOM

$294.80

Sandwiched between dominant walls — dealer hedging on both sides creates structural pinning.

Magnet Strength Details →

1.92× High (1.5–2×)

Current OI 623,689

30d Avg OI 325,557

Elevated OI — dealers carry larger hedges, making price walls structurally stronger.

Put/Call Ratio

0.48

CALL HEAVY

Below 0.8 — call OI dominates. Bullish positioning; dealers are short calls and will sell delta into rallies.

Dominant Wall

$300

▲ Above spot

The highest OI concentration strike — the structural anchor dealers are most committed to hedging.

Distance to #1 Wall

$-5.20

-1.76%

Price is below the dominant wall — acts as resistance.

Wall Skew

+0.859

CALL HEAVY

Call-heavy at the dominant wall — call sellers cap rallies toward it. Acts as resistance.

Today's Top Setup — AAPL

SQUEEZE, PIN, and CAGE scored 0–100 from OI structure. Highest score = today's highest-conviction setup.

PIN — 53.7% hit rate (n=1,719). CAGE — 45.4% (n=1,161). SQUEEZE — 49.5% (n=5,555). Half hit, half don't — the edge is asymmetric payoff.

Strength scores are locked

PRO

See exactly which setup is most likely — and by how much

Unlock

🚀 SQUEEZE

candidate

Strength ██%

5d horizon

Target · Stock pops ≥+5% within 10 trading days — the kind of move where the winners run far enough to outweigh the misses.

📌 PIN

AUC 0.83 measured

Strength ██%

1d horizon

Target · Price closes within 0.5% of $300 (dom strike) by +1d.

↔ CAGE

AUC 0.55 measured

Strength ██%

5d horizon

Target · Price stays between $280 – $300 through +5d.

Top OI Walls

Largest open interest concentrations · sorted by strike price · * OI projected from prior day

2026-05-12

Rank	Strike	Call OI	Put OI	Total OI	P/C	% of Max
#1	$300 Resistance	76,049	5,775	81,824	0.08	100%
▶ $294.80
#5	$290 Support	37,604	3,399	41,003	0.09	50%
#3	$285 Support	32,745	11,079	43,824	0.34	54%
#2	$280 Support	36,063	16,811	52,874	0.47	65%
#4	$270 Support	24,405	17,247	41,652	0.71	51%

Dealer Magnet Strength

When total OI is elevated vs its 30-day rolling average, dealer hedging is heavier — walls act like magnets. Very High = stronger PIN / CAGE conviction. Near-normal = weaker structural hold.

Current Magnet Strength

High (1.5–2×)

Low (<0.7×)

75.5%

139 days · 1d

Normal (0.7–1×)

79.5%

132 days · 1d

Elevated (1–1.5×)

76.3%

38 days · 1d

High (1.5–2×)

84.0%

51 days · 1d

Very High (>2×)

83.7%

43 days · 1d

Containment Rate by OI Magnitude Bucket

OI ratio = today's total OI ÷ 30-day rolling average. Does elevated OI predict price staying inside the dominant wall range?

OI Level	Days	1d	2d	5d	10d	20d
Low (<0.7×)	139	75.5%	67.6%	43.9%	39.1%	24.3%
Normal (0.7–1×)	132	79.5%	60.6%	48.1%	33.1%	22.8%
Elevated (1–1.5×)	38	76.3%	52.6%	37.8%	32.4%	22.9%
High (1.5–2×)	51	84.0%	74.0%	52.0%	46.0%	25.0%
Very High (>2×)	43	83.7%	66.7%	63.4%	61.0%	51.2%

SQUEEZE / PIN / CAGE Setup Backtest — AAPL

Last 50 sessions — which setup fired, what the score was, and whether it hit. See the actual win/loss record.

0 days ·

Min Strength 60

Magnet:

2026-05-05

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $280

Ceiling $290

Range 3.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $280–$290 for 5 days

What Happened

$294.80

+3.74%

Broke up — max move 3.2% (need ≤2%)

2026-05-04

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $290

Ceiling $300

Range 3.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $290–$300 for 5 days

What Happened

$292.68

+5.73%

Broke up — max move 3.9% (need ≤2%)

2026-05-01

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $280

Ceiling $290

Range 3.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $280–$290 for 5 days

What Happened

$293.32

+4.70%

Broke down — max move 2.6% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-30

📌 PIN

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $275

Ceiling $280

Range 1.8%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $275 by end of day

What Happened

$280.14

+3.24%

Closed 1.9% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +3.2%

2026-04-29

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $275

Ceiling $280

Range 1.9%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $275–$280 for 5 days

What Happened

$287.51

+6.42%

Broke up — max move 3.7% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-28

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $275

Ceiling $280

Range 1.8%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $275–$280 for 5 days

What Happened

$284.18

+4.98%

Broke down — max move 3.5% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-27

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $275

Ceiling $280

Range 1.9%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $275–$280 for 5 days

What Happened

$276.83

+3.45%

2026-04-24

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $275

Ceiling $280

Range 1.8%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $275–$280 for 5 days

What Happened

$280.14

+3.35%

2026-04-23

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $275

Ceiling $280

Range 1.8%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $275–$280 for 5 days

What Happened

$271.35

-0.76%

Broke down — max move 2.1% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-22

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $275

Ceiling $280

Range 1.8%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $275–$280 for 5 days

What Happened

$270.17

-1.10%

Broke up — max move 2.0% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-21

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $275

Ceiling $280

Range 1.9%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $275–$280 for 5 days

What Happened

$270.71

+1.71%

Broke up — max move 2.7% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-20

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $275

Ceiling $280

Range 1.8%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $275–$280 for 5 days

What Happened

$267.61

-1.99%

Broke down — max move 2.5% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-17

📌 PIN

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $270

Ceiling $280

Range 3.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $270 by end of day

What Happened

$273.05

+1.04%

Closed 1.1% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.0%

2026-04-16

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $270

Ceiling $280

Range 3.8%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $270–$280 for 5 days

What Happened

$273.43

+3.81%

Broke up — max move 3.7% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-15

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $270

Ceiling $280

Range 3.8%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $270–$280 for 5 days

What Happened

$273.17

+2.53%

Broke down — max move 2.5% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-14

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $260

Ceiling $280

Range 7.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $260–$280 for 5 days

What Happened

$266.17

+2.84%

Broke up — max move 4.4% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-13

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $260

Ceiling $280

Range 7.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $260–$280 for 5 days

What Happened

$273.05

+5.34%

Broke down — max move 2.8% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-10

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $260

Ceiling $280

Range 7.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $260–$280 for 5 days

What Happened

$270.23

+3.74%

Broke down — max move 2.3% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-09

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $260

Ceiling $265

Range 1.9%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $260–$265 for 5 days

What Happened

$263.40

+1.12%

2026-04-08

📌 PIN

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $260

Ceiling $265

Range 1.9%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $260 by end of day

What Happened

$260.49

+0.61%

2026-04-07

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $260

Ceiling $265

Range 2.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $260–$265 for 5 days

What Happened

$258.83

+2.10%

Broke up — max move 2.8% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-06

📌 PIN

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $260

Ceiling $265

Range 1.9%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $260 by end of day

What Happened

$253.50

-2.07%

Closed 2.5% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -2.1%

2026-04-02

📌 PIN

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $240

Ceiling $260

Range 7.8%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $260 by end of day

What Happened

$258.86

+1.15%

2026-04-01

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $255

Ceiling $260

Range 2.0%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $255–$260 for 5 days

What Happened

$260.49

+1.90%

2026-03-31

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $235

Ceiling $255

Range 7.9%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $235–$255 for 5 days

What Happened

$258.90

+2.01%

2026-03-30

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $260

Ceiling $265

Range 2.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $260–$265 for 5 days

What Happened

$253.50

+2.79%

Broke up — max move 3.8% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-27

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $260

Ceiling $265

Range 2.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $260–$265 for 5 days

What Happened

$258.86

+4.04%

Broke down — max move 2.7% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-26

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $260

Ceiling $262

Range 1.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $260–$262 for 5 days

What Happened

$255.92

+1.20%

Broke down — max move 2.5% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-25

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $255

Ceiling $260

Range 2.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $255–$260 for 5 days

What Happened

$255.63

+1.19%

Broke up — max move 2.4% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-24

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $255

Ceiling $260

Range 2.0%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $255–$260 for 5 days

What Happened

$253.79

+0.85%

2026-03-23

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $255

Ceiling $260

Range 2.0%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $255–$260 for 5 days

What Happened

$246.63

-1.93%

2026-03-20

📌 PIN

Strength 15%

Magnet

Floor $240

Ceiling $260

Range 8.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $260 by end of day

What Happened

$251.49

+1.41%

Closed 3.4% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.4%

2026-03-19

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $260

Ceiling $280

Range 8.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $260 by end of day

What Happened

$247.99

-0.39%

Closed 4.8% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.4%

2026-03-18

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $260

Ceiling $280

Range 8.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $280 by end of day

What Happened

$248.96

-0.39%

Closed 12.4% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.4%

2026-03-17

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $260

Ceiling $280

Range 7.9%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $260–$280 for 5 days

What Happened

$251.64

-1.02%

Broke down — max move 2.5% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-16

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $280

Ceiling $300

Range 7.9%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $280–$300 for 5 days

What Happened

$251.49

-0.53%

2026-03-13

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $280

Ceiling $300

Range 8.0%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $280–$300 for 5 days

What Happened

$247.99

-0.85%

2026-03-12

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $265

Ceiling $285

Range 7.8%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $265–$285 for 5 days

What Happened

$248.96

-2.66%

Broke down — max move 2.2% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-11

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $265

Ceiling $285

Range 7.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $265–$285 for 5 days

What Happened

$249.94

-4.17%

Broke down — max move 4.1% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-10

📌 PIN

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $265

Ceiling $285

Range 7.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $265 by end of day

What Happened

$260.81

-0.01%

Closed 1.6% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.0%

2026-03-09

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $270

Ceiling $285

Range 5.8%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $270–$285 for 5 days

What Happened

$252.82

-2.72%

2026-03-06

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $270

Ceiling $285

Range 5.8%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $270–$285 for 5 days

What Happened

$250.12

-2.85%

2026-03-05

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $270

Ceiling $275

Range 1.9%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $270–$275 for 5 days

What Happened

$255.76

-1.74%

2026-03-04

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $270

Ceiling $275

Range 1.9%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $270–$275 for 5 days

What Happened

$260.81

-0.65%

2026-03-03

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $270

Ceiling $275

Range 1.9%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $270–$275 for 5 days

What Happened

$260.83

-1.11%

Broke down — max move 2.4% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-02

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $270

Ceiling $275

Range 1.9%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $270–$275 for 5 days

What Happened

$259.88

-1.83%

2026-02-27

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $275

Ceiling $280

Range 1.9%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $275–$280 for 5 days

What Happened

$257.46

-2.54%

2026-02-26

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $275

Ceiling $280

Range 1.8%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $275–$280 for 5 days

What Happened

$260.29

-4.64%

Broke down — max move 3.4% (need ≤2%)

2026-02-25

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $260

Ceiling $280

Range 7.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $260–$280 for 5 days

What Happened

$262.52

-4.27%

Broke down — max move 3.7% (need ≤2%)

2026-02-24

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $260

Ceiling $280

Range 7.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $260–$280 for 5 days

What Happened

$263.75

-3.08%

Broke up — max move 2.9% (need ≤2%)