ADBE Gamma Squeeze, Pin & Wall Analysis

ADBE Adobe $240.83 -2.50% (updated 2026-05-12)

Today's OI Read — ADBE

Where the walls are, where price sits, and what the dealer positioning implies for Adobe

In Between Walls?

$250

DOM

$265

2ND

$240.83

Outside the dominant wall range — directional momentum more likely than mean reversion.

Magnet Strength Details →

1.78× High (1.5–2×)

Current OI 53,232

30d Avg OI 29,936

Elevated OI — dealers carry larger hedges, making price walls structurally stronger.

Put/Call Ratio

1.04

NEUTRAL

Between 0.8–1.2 — balanced positioning. No strong directional lean from options flow alone.

Dominant Wall

$250

▲ Above spot

The highest OI concentration strike — the structural anchor dealers are most committed to hedging.

Distance to #1 Wall

$-9.17

-3.81%

Price is below the dominant wall — acts as resistance.

Wall Skew

+0.221

CALL HEAVY

Call-heavy at the dominant wall — call sellers cap rallies toward it. Acts as resistance.

Today's Top Setup — ADBE

SQUEEZE, PIN, and CAGE scored 0–100 from OI structure. Highest score = today's highest-conviction setup.

PIN — 53.7% hit rate (n=1,719). CAGE — 45.4% (n=1,161). SQUEEZE — 49.5% (n=5,555). Half hit, half don't — the edge is asymmetric payoff.

Strength scores are locked

PRO

See exactly which setup is most likely — and by how much

Unlock

🚀 SQUEEZE

candidate

Strength ██%

5d horizon

Target · Stock pops ≥+5% within 10 trading days — the kind of move where the winners run far enough to outweigh the misses.

📌 PIN

AUC 0.83 measured

Strength ██%

1d horizon

Target · Price closes within 0.5% of $250 (dom strike) by +1d.

↔ CAGE

AUC 0.55 measured

Strength ██%

5d horizon

Target · Price stays between $250 – $265 through +5d.

Top OI Walls

Largest open interest concentrations · sorted by strike price · * OI projected from prior day

2026-05-12

Rank	Strike	Call OI	Put OI	Total OI	P/C	% of Max
#3	$280 Resistance	3,694	840	4,534	0.23	88%
#2	$265 Resistance	4,817	88	4,905	0.02	96%
#4	$260 Resistance	2,146	1,521	3,667	0.71	71%
#1	$250 Resistance	3,136	2,000	5,136	0.64	100%
▶ $240.83
#5	$240 Support	595	2,985	3,580	5.02	70%

Dealer Magnet Strength

When total OI is elevated vs its 30-day rolling average, dealer hedging is heavier — walls act like magnets. Very High = stronger PIN / CAGE conviction. Near-normal = weaker structural hold.

Current Magnet Strength

High (1.5–2×)

Low (<0.7×)

80.2%

172 days · 1d

Normal (0.7–1×)

77.9%

77 days · 1d

Elevated (1–1.5×)

83.6%

55 days · 1d

High (1.5–2×)

81.0%

43 days · 1d

Very High (>2×)

73.2%

56 days · 1d

Containment Rate by OI Magnitude Bucket

OI ratio = today's total OI ÷ 30-day rolling average. Does elevated OI predict price staying inside the dominant wall range?

OI Level	Days	1d	2d	5d	10d	20d
Low (<0.7×)	172	80.2%	69.8%	52.9%	37.1%	30.7%
Normal (0.7–1×)	77	77.9%	67.5%	45.5%	39.5%	41.9%
Elevated (1–1.5×)	55	83.6%	80.0%	58.5%	41.2%	44.9%
High (1.5–2×)	43	81.0%	75.6%	68.3%	65.9%	33.3%
Very High (>2×)	56	73.2%	67.9%	50.9%	54.5%	25.5%

SQUEEZE / PIN / CAGE Setup Backtest — ADBE

Last 50 sessions — which setup fired, what the score was, and whether it hit. See the actual win/loss record.

0 days ·

Min Strength 60

Magnet:

2026-05-05

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $265

Ceiling $280

Range 5.9%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $265–$280 for 5 days

What Happened

$240.83

-5.79%

Broke down — max move 2.1% (need ≤2%)

2026-05-04

↔ CAGE

Strength 40%

Magnet

Floor $260

Ceiling $280

Range 7.9%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $260–$280 for 5 days

What Happened

$246.15

-3.08%

2026-05-01

📌 PIN

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $220

Ceiling $268

Range 18.9%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $220 by end of day

What Happened

$253.96

+1.30%

Closed 13.5% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.3%

2026-04-30

↔ CAGE

Strength 40%

Magnet

Floor $235

Ceiling $250

Range 6.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $235–$250 for 5 days

What Happened

$256.51

+4.23%

Broke up — max move 3.9% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-29

↔ CAGE

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $250

Ceiling $252

Range 1.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $250–$252 for 5 days

What Happened

$250.17

+2.71%

Broke up — max move 4.3% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-28

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $225

Ceiling $252

Range 11.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $252 by end of day

What Happened

$243.57

+0.15%

Closed 3.7% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.2%

2026-04-27

📌 PIN

Strength 15%

Magnet

Floor $225

Ceiling $250

Range 10.4%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $225 by end of day

What Happened

$243.20

+1.63%

Closed 7.6% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.6%

2026-04-24

📌 PIN

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $225

Ceiling $250

Range 10.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $225 by end of day

What Happened

$239.31

-2.50%

Closed 5.8% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -2.5%

2026-04-23

📌 PIN

Strength 15%

Magnet

Floor $220

Ceiling $265

Range 18.8%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $265 by end of day

What Happened

$245.44

+2.70%

Closed 8.2% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +2.7%

2026-04-22

📌 PIN

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $220

Ceiling $260

Range 15.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $260 by end of day

What Happened

$238.98

-6.63%

Closed 8.2% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -6.6%

2026-04-21

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $220

Ceiling $260

Range 16.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $260 by end of day

What Happened

$255.94

+3.54%

Closed 1.6% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +3.5%

2026-04-20

↔ CAGE

Strength 40%

Magnet

Floor $220

Ceiling $235

Range 6.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $220–$235 for 5 days

What Happened

$239.31

-3.75%

Broke down — max move 3.9% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-17

↔ CAGE

Strength 40%

Magnet

Floor $220

Ceiling $235

Range 6.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $220–$235 for 5 days

What Happened

$245.44

+0.40%

Broke up — max move 4.7% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-16

📌 PIN

Strength 60%

Magnet

Floor $250

Ceiling $260

Range 4.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $250 by end of day

What Happened

$244.45

-1.49%

Closed 2.2% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.5%

2026-04-15

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $250

Ceiling $260

Range 4.1%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $250–$260 for 5 days

What Happened

$255.94

+4.61%

2026-04-14

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $250

Ceiling $260

Range 4.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $250–$260 for 5 days

What Happened

$247.18

+4.86%

Broke up — max move 5.3% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-13

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $250

Ceiling $260

Range 4.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $250–$260 for 5 days

What Happened

$248.63

+3.55%

Broke down — max move 3.4% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-10

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $250

Ceiling $260

Range 4.4%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $250–$260 for 5 days

What Happened

$244.45

+8.48%

Broke up — max move 8.6% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-09

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $240

Ceiling $250

Range 4.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $240–$250 for 5 days

What Happened

$248.16

+7.92%

Broke down — max move 4.4% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-08

📌 PIN

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $240

Ceiling $250

Range 4.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $240 by end of day

What Happened

$229.94

-3.92%

Closed 4.2% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -3.9%

2026-04-07

📌 PIN

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $240

Ceiling $250

Range 4.2%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $240 by end of day

What Happened

$239.31

-0.35%

2026-04-06

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $230

Ceiling $240

Range 4.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $230–$240 for 5 days

What Happened

$240.11

-1.74%

Broke down — max move 5.9% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-02

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $235

Ceiling $248

Range 5.1%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $235–$248 for 5 days

What Happened

$225.35

-7.23%

2026-04-01

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $235

Ceiling $248

Range 5.2%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $235–$248 for 5 days

What Happened

$229.94

-4.74%

2026-03-31

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $235

Ceiling $248

Range 5.1%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $235–$248 for 5 days

What Happened

$239.31

-1.55%

2026-03-30

↔ CAGE

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $230

Ceiling $235

Range 2.1%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $230–$235 for 5 days

What Happened

$240.14

-0.41%

2026-03-27

📌 PIN

Strength 90%

Magnet

Floor $235

Ceiling $240

Range 2.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $235 by end of day

What Happened

$241.13

+2.68%

Closed 2.6% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +2.7%

2026-03-26

📌 PIN

Strength 10%

Magnet

Floor $235

Ceiling $258

Range 9.3%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $235 by end of day

What Happened

$234.84

-2.51%

2026-03-25

📌 PIN

Strength 70%

Magnet

Floor $235

Ceiling $258

Range 9.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $235 by end of day

What Happened

$240.88

+1.53%

Closed 2.5% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.5%

2026-03-24

📌 PIN

Strength 50%

Magnet

Floor $235

Ceiling $258

Range 9.4%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $235 by end of day

What Happened

$237.25

-0.68%

Closed 0.9% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.7%

2026-03-23

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $235

Ceiling $250

Range 6.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $235–$250 for 5 days

What Happened

$241.13

-2.63%

Broke down — max move 4.2% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-20

↔ CAGE

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $245

Ceiling $250

Range 2.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $245–$250 for 5 days

What Happened

$234.84

-5.36%

Broke down — max move 4.4% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-19

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $250

Ceiling $260

Range 4.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $250–$260 for 5 days

What Happened

$240.88

-2.08%

Broke up — max move 2.9% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-18

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $250

Ceiling $260

Range 4.1%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $250–$260 for 5 days

What Happened

$237.25

-3.56%

2026-03-17

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $250

Ceiling $260

Range 3.9%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $250–$260 for 5 days

What Happened

$238.87

-6.03%

Broke down — max move 3.2% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-16

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $260

Ceiling $300

Range 15.9%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $300 by end of day

What Happened

$254.20

+0.93%

Closed 18.2% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.9%

2026-03-13

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $260

Ceiling $270

Range 4.0%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $260–$270 for 5 days

What Happened

$248.15

-0.47%

2026-03-12

📌 PIN

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $280

Ceiling $310

Range 11.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $280 by end of day

What Happened

$249.32

-7.58%

Closed 11.4% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -7.6%

2026-03-11

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $280

Ceiling $310

Range 11.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $280 by end of day

What Happened

$269.78

-1.44%

Closed 3.7% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.4%

2026-03-10

📌 PIN

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $280

Ceiling $310

Range 10.9%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $280 by end of day

What Happened

$273.71

-0.52%

Closed 2.3% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.5%

2026-03-09

📌 PIN

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $280

Ceiling $310

Range 10.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $280 by end of day

What Happened

$275.13

-2.59%

Closed 1.7% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -2.6%

2026-03-06

📌 PIN

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $280

Ceiling $310

Range 10.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $280 by end of day

What Happened

$282.44

-0.42%

Closed 0.9% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.4%

2026-03-05

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $270

Ceiling $275

Range 1.8%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $270–$275 for 5 days

What Happened

$269.78

-4.25%

Broke up — max move 2.3% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-04

📌 PIN

Strength 65%

Magnet

Floor $270

Ceiling $275

Range 1.8%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $275 by end of day

What Happened

$281.74

+3.16%

Closed 2.5% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +3.2%

2026-03-03

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $270

Ceiling $275

Range 1.8%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $270–$275 for 5 days

What Happened

$275.13

+1.53%

Broke up — max move 4.7% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-02

↔ CAGE

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $270

Ceiling $275

Range 1.9%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $270–$275 for 5 days

What Happened

$282.44

+8.26%

Broke up — max move 8.0% (need ≤2%)

2026-02-27

↔ CAGE

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $270

Ceiling $275

Range 1.9%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $270–$275 for 5 days

What Happened

$283.62

+8.08%

Broke down — max move 4.1% (need ≤2%)

2026-02-26

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $270

Ceiling $310

Range 15.4%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $310 by end of day

What Happened

$262.41

+1.30%

Closed 18.4% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.3%

2026-02-25

↔ CAGE

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $265

Ceiling $270

Range 1.9%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $265–$270 for 5 days

What Happened

$273.12

+5.94%

2026-02-24

↔ CAGE

Strength 40%

Magnet

Floor $260

Ceiling $280

Range 7.8%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $260–$280 for 5 days

What Happened

$270.99

+6.20%

Broke up — max move 2.8% (need ≤2%)