AMAT Gamma Squeeze, Pin & Wall Analysis

AMAT Applied Materials $431.20 -0.67% (updated 2026-05-12)

Today's OI Read — AMAT

Where the walls are, where price sits, and what the dealer positioning implies for Applied Materials

In Between Walls?

$450

DOM

$460

2ND

$431.20

Outside the dominant wall range — directional momentum more likely than mean reversion.

Magnet Strength Details →

1.82× High (1.5–2×)

Current OI 40,841

30d Avg OI 22,392

Elevated OI — dealers carry larger hedges, making price walls structurally stronger.

Put/Call Ratio

0.43

CALL HEAVY

Below 0.8 — call OI dominates. Bullish positioning; dealers are short calls and will sell delta into rallies.

Dominant Wall

$450

▲ Above spot

The highest OI concentration strike — the structural anchor dealers are most committed to hedging.

Distance to #1 Wall

$-18.80

-4.36%

Price is below the dominant wall — acts as resistance.

Wall Skew

+0.994

CALL HEAVY

Call-heavy at the dominant wall — call sellers cap rallies toward it. Acts as resistance.

Today's Top Setup — AMAT

SQUEEZE, PIN, and CAGE scored 0–100 from OI structure. Highest score = today's highest-conviction setup.

PIN — 53.7% hit rate (n=1,719). CAGE — 45.4% (n=1,161). SQUEEZE — 49.5% (n=5,555). Half hit, half don't — the edge is asymmetric payoff.

Strength scores are locked

PRO

See exactly which setup is most likely — and by how much

Unlock

🚀 SQUEEZE

candidate

Strength ██%

5d horizon

Target · Stock pops ≥+5% within 10 trading days — the kind of move where the winners run far enough to outweigh the misses.

📌 PIN

AUC 0.83 measured

Strength ██%

1d horizon

Target · Price closes within 0.5% of $450 (dom strike) by +1d.

↔ CAGE

AUC 0.55 measured

Strength ██%

5d horizon

Target · Price stays between $450 – $460 through +5d.

Top OI Walls

Largest open interest concentrations · sorted by strike price · * OI projected from prior day

2026-05-12

Rank	Strike	Call OI	Put OI	Total OI	P/C	% of Max
#3	$470 Resistance	3,077	13	3,090	0.00	75%
#2	$460 Resistance	3,736	16	3,752	0.00	91%
#1	$450 Resistance	4,098	13	4,111	0.00	100%
▶ $431.20
#4	$400 Support	1,455	1,191	2,646	0.82	64%
#5	$380 Support	772	1,625	2,397	2.10	58%

Dealer Magnet Strength

When total OI is elevated vs its 30-day rolling average, dealer hedging is heavier — walls act like magnets. Very High = stronger PIN / CAGE conviction. Near-normal = weaker structural hold.

Current Magnet Strength

High (1.5–2×)

Low (<0.7×)

73.9%

177 days · 1d

Normal (0.7–1×)

75.0%

80 days · 1d

Elevated (1–1.5×)

81.0%

42 days · 1d

High (1.5–2×)

86.1%

37 days · 1d

Very High (>2×)

74.6%

67 days · 1d

Containment Rate by OI Magnitude Bucket

OI ratio = today's total OI ÷ 30-day rolling average. Does elevated OI predict price staying inside the dominant wall range?

OI Level	Days	1d	2d	5d	10d	20d
Low (<0.7×)	177	73.9%	64.2%	46.6%	34.1%	26.3%
Normal (0.7–1×)	80	75.0%	72.5%	46.2%	30.4%	13.2%
Elevated (1–1.5×)	42	81.0%	69.0%	57.5%	58.3%	22.2%
High (1.5–2×)	37	86.1%	74.3%	58.8%	50.0%	15.6%
Very High (>2×)	67	74.6%	70.1%	46.3%	40.3%	20.9%

SQUEEZE / PIN / CAGE Setup Backtest — AMAT

Last 50 sessions — which setup fired, what the score was, and whether it hit. See the actual win/loss record.

0 days ·

Min Strength 60

Magnet:

2026-05-05

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $435

Ceiling $455

Range 4.9%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $435–$455 for 5 days

What Happened

$431.20

+4.96%

Broke up — max move 6.0% (need ≤2%)

2026-05-04

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $435

Ceiling $455

Range 5.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $435–$455 for 5 days

What Happened

$443.62

+13.35%

Broke up — max move 9.5% (need ≤2%)

2026-05-01

📌 PIN

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $420

Ceiling $455

Range 9.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $455 by end of day

What Happened

$391.38

+0.59%

Closed 16.4% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.6%

2026-04-30

↔ CAGE

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $345

Ceiling $350

Range 1.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $345–$350 for 5 days

What Happened

$410.64

+4.09%

Broke down — max move 4.1% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-29

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $340

Ceiling $350

Range 2.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $340–$350 for 5 days

What Happened

$428.62

+12.03%

Broke up — max move 3.1% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-28

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $360

Ceiling $370

Range 2.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $360–$370 for 5 days

What Happened

$410.82

+7.80%

Broke up — max move 3.5% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-27

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $370

Ceiling $470

Range 24.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $470 by end of day

What Happened

$381.11

-5.87%

Closed 22.0% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -5.9%

2026-04-24

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $370

Ceiling $410

Range 9.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $370 by end of day

What Happened

$404.86

-2.92%

Closed 8.4% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -2.9%

2026-04-23

📌 PIN

Strength 10%

Magnet

Floor $365

Ceiling $410

Range 11.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $365 by end of day

What Happened

$417.04

+3.25%

Closed 12.9% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +3.3%

2026-04-22

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $365

Ceiling $380

Range 3.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $365–$380 for 5 days

What Happened

$382.59

-5.18%

Broke up — max move 3.4% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-21

📌 PIN

Strength 40%

Magnet

Floor $350

Ceiling $400

Range 12.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $400 by end of day

What Happened

$403.48

+2.32%

Closed 0.9% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +2.3%

2026-04-20

📌 PIN

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $315

Ceiling $400

Range 21.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $315 by end of day

What Happened

$394.33

+0.69%

Closed 20.3% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.7%

2026-04-17

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $320

Ceiling $425

Range 26.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $425 by end of day

What Happened

$391.62

-1.34%

Closed 8.4% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.3%

2026-04-16

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $400

Ceiling $430

Range 7.7%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $400–$430 for 5 days

What Happened

$403.91

+3.59%

2026-04-15

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $400

Ceiling $430

Range 7.6%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $400–$430 for 5 days

What Happened

$403.48

+2.34%

2026-04-14

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $400

Ceiling $430

Range 7.6%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $400–$430 for 5 days

What Happened

$394.33

-0.33%

2026-04-13

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $400

Ceiling $430

Range 7.6%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $400–$430 for 5 days

What Happened

$391.62

-1.04%

2026-04-10

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $400

Ceiling $430

Range 7.5%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $400–$430 for 5 days

What Happened

$396.94

-0.64%

2026-04-09

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $370

Ceiling $385

Range 3.8%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $370–$385 for 5 days

What Happened

$389.90

-1.99%

2026-04-08

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $340

Ceiling $350

Range 2.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $340–$350 for 5 days

What Happened

$394.26

+2.21%

Broke up — max move 3.6% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-07

↔ CAGE

Strength 40%

Magnet

Floor $340

Ceiling $365

Range 7.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $340–$365 for 5 days

What Happened

$395.64

+11.66%

Broke up — max move 12.8% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-06

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $340

Ceiling $355

Range 4.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $340–$355 for 5 days

What Happened

$395.73

+12.23%

Broke up — max move 12.8% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-02

📌 PIN

Strength 10%

Magnet

Floor $300

Ceiling $330

Range 8.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $300 by end of day

What Happened

$352.62

+1.19%

Closed 15.1% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.2%

2026-04-01

📌 PIN

Strength 10%

Magnet

Floor $300

Ceiling $330

Range 8.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $300 by end of day

What Happened

$348.47

-1.51%

Closed 13.7% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.5%

2026-03-31

📌 PIN

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $300

Ceiling $355

Range 16.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $300 by end of day

What Happened

$353.80

+3.51%

Closed 15.7% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +3.5%

2026-03-30

📌 PIN

Strength 15%

Magnet

Floor $270

Ceiling $385

Range 35.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $270 by end of day

What Happened

$341.79

+5.78%

Closed 22.2% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +5.8%

2026-03-27

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $370

Ceiling $385

Range 4.4%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $370–$385 for 5 days

What Happened

$352.62

+4.58%

Broke down — max move 4.9% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-26

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $355

Ceiling $370

Range 4.4%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $355–$370 for 5 days

What Happened

$348.47

+2.93%

Broke down — max move 4.6% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-25

📌 PIN

Strength 80%

Magnet

Floor $370

Ceiling $380

Range 2.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $370 by end of day

What Happened

$338.55

-8.34%

Closed 8.5% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -8.3%

2026-03-24

📌 PIN

Strength 50%

Magnet

Floor $370

Ceiling $395

Range 6.7%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $370 by end of day

What Happened

$369.34

-1.24%

2026-03-23

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $325

Ceiling $370

Range 12.4%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $370 by end of day

What Happened

$373.99

+3.37%

Closed 1.1% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +3.4%

2026-03-20

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $325

Ceiling $370

Range 12.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $370 by end of day

What Happened

$361.79

+1.32%

Closed 2.3% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.3%

2026-03-19

📌 PIN

Strength 10%

Magnet

Floor $290

Ceiling $350

Range 16.8%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $290 by end of day

What Happened

$357.06

-0.04%

Closed 18.8% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.0%

2026-03-18

↔ CAGE

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $290

Ceiling $300

Range 2.9%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $290–$300 for 5 days

What Happened

$369.34

+5.69%

Broke up — max move 3.5% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-17

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $290

Ceiling $350

Range 17.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $290 by end of day

What Happened

$349.47

-0.85%

Closed 16.9% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.8%

2026-03-16

📌 PIN

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $290

Ceiling $350

Range 17.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $290 by end of day

What Happened

$352.46

+1.81%

Closed 18.0% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.8%

2026-03-13

📌 PIN

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $290

Ceiling $350

Range 17.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $290 by end of day

What Happened

$346.18

+1.36%

Closed 16.4% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.4%

2026-03-12

📌 PIN

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $330

Ceiling $370

Range 11.9%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $330 by end of day

What Happened

$341.53

+1.26%

Closed 3.4% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.3%

2026-03-11

↔ CAGE

Strength 40%

Magnet

Floor $350

Ceiling $370

Range 5.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $350–$370 for 5 days

What Happened

$349.47

-0.46%

Broke down — max move 3.9% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-10

↔ CAGE

Strength 40%

Magnet

Floor $350

Ceiling $370

Range 5.8%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $350–$370 for 5 days

What Happened

$352.46

+1.90%

Broke up — max move 2.5% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-09

↔ CAGE

Strength 40%

Magnet

Floor $350

Ceiling $370

Range 5.9%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $350–$370 for 5 days

What Happened

$346.18

+2.14%

Broke up — max move 3.6% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-06

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $360

Ceiling $370

Range 3.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $360–$370 for 5 days

What Happened

$341.53

+5.17%

Broke up — max move 8.1% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-05

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $300

Ceiling $315

Range 4.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $300–$315 for 5 days

What Happened

$337.27

-2.67%

Broke down — max move 6.3% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-04

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $300

Ceiling $315

Range 4.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $300–$315 for 5 days

What Happened

$351.07

-1.87%

Broke down — max move 9.2% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-03

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $300

Ceiling $315

Range 4.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $300–$315 for 5 days

What Happened

$345.88

-1.55%

Broke up — max move 7.6% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-02

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $300

Ceiling $315

Range 4.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $300–$315 for 5 days

What Happened

$338.94

-8.93%

Broke down — max move 6.9% (need ≤2%)

2026-02-27

📌 PIN

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $305

Ceiling $378

Range 19.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $305 by end of day

What Happened

$372.18

-0.03%

Closed 18.0% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.0%

2026-02-26

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $362

Ceiling $380

Range 4.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $362–$380 for 5 days

What Happened

$346.53

-7.77%

Broke down — max move 6.5% (need ≤2%)

2026-02-25

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $380

Ceiling $400

Range 5.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $380–$400 for 5 days

What Happened

$357.76

-9.42%

Broke down — max move 5.8% (need ≤2%)

2026-02-24

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $330

Ceiling $400

Range 18.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $400 by end of day

What Happened

$394.95

+4.50%

Closed 1.3% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +4.5%