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AVGO $419.30 -0.98% (updated 2026-05-12)

Today's OI Read — AVGO

Where the walls are, where price sits, and what the dealer positioning implies for Broadcom

In Between Walls?
YES
$400
2ND
$500
DOM
$419.30

Sandwiched between dominant walls — dealer hedging on both sides creates structural pinning.

Magnet Strength
1.62× High (1.5–2×)
Current OI 190,706
30d Avg OI 117,442

Elevated OI — dealers carry larger hedges, making price walls structurally stronger.

Put/Call Ratio
0.45
CALL HEAVY

Below 0.8 — call OI dominates. Bullish positioning; dealers are short calls and will sell delta into rallies.

Dominant Wall
$500
▲ Above spot

The highest OI concentration strike — the structural anchor dealers are most committed to hedging.

Distance to #1 Wall
$-80.70
-19.25%

Price is below the dominant wall — acts as resistance.

Wall Skew
+1.000
CALL HEAVY

Call-heavy at the dominant wall — call sellers cap rallies toward it. Acts as resistance.

Today's Top Setup — AVGO

SQUEEZE, PIN, and CAGE scored 0–100 from OI structure. Highest score = today's highest-conviction setup.

PIN — 53.7% hit rate (n=1,719). CAGE — 45.4% (n=1,161). SQUEEZE — 49.5% (n=5,555). Half hit, half don't — the edge is asymmetric payoff.

Strength scores are locked

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🚀 SQUEEZE
candidate
Strength ██%
5d horizon
Target · Stock pops ≥+5% within 10 trading days — the kind of move where the winners run far enough to outweigh the misses.
📌 PIN
AUC 0.83 measured
Strength ██%
1d horizon
Target · Price closes within 0.5% of $500 (dom strike) by +1d.
↔ CAGE
AUC 0.55 measured
Strength ██%
5d horizon
Target · Price stays between $400 – $500 through +5d.
No cage setup today — walls are 23.8% apart. Dealers only defend tight ranges (<8%).

Top OI Walls

Largest open interest concentrations · sorted by strike price · * OI projected from prior day

2026-05-12
Rank Strike Call OI Put OI Total OI P/C % of Max
#1 $500 Resistance 17,548 0 17,548 0.00
100%
#3 $450 Resistance 13,133 410 13,543 0.03
77%
#4 $420 Resistance 8,201 4,448 12,649 0.54
72%
▶ $419.30
#2 $400 Support 10,834 5,401 16,235 0.50
93%
#5 $370 Support 6,947 4,465 11,412 0.64
65%

SQUEEZE / PIN / CAGE Setup Backtest — AVGO

Last 50 sessions — which setup fired, what the score was, and whether it hit. See the actual win/loss record.

0 days ·
Min Strength 60
Magnet:
2026-05-05
📌 PIN
Strength 20%
Magnet
Floor $390
Ceiling $460
Range 16.4%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $390 by end of day
What Happened
$425.44
-0.45%
Closed 8.3% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.4%
2026-05-04
📌 PIN
Strength 15%
Magnet
Floor $350
Ceiling $460
Range 26.4%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $350 by end of day
What Happened
$427.36
+2.61%
Closed 18.6% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +2.6%
2026-05-01
📌 PIN
Strength 5%
Magnet
Floor $350
Ceiling $400
Range 11.9%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $350 by end of day
What Happened
$416.50
-1.13%
Closed 15.8% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.1%
2026-04-30
📌 PIN
Strength 15%
Magnet
Floor $380
Ceiling $450
Range 16.8%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $450 by end of day
What Happened
$421.28
+0.92%
Closed 6.9% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.9%
2026-04-29
📌 PIN
Strength 20%
Magnet
Floor $380
Ceiling $420
Range 9.9%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $380 by end of day
What Happened
$417.43
+2.95%
Closed 9.2% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +3.0%
2026-04-28
📌 PIN
Strength 20%
Magnet
Floor $380
Ceiling $440
Range 15.0%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $440 by end of day
What Happened
$405.45
+1.41%
Closed 8.6% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.4%
2026-04-27
📌 PIN
Strength 20%
Magnet
Floor $380
Ceiling $440
Range 14.3%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $440 by end of day
What Happened
$399.83
-4.39%
Closed 9.6% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -4.4%
2026-04-24
📌 PIN
Strength 5%
Magnet
Floor $360
Ceiling $440
Range 18.9%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $440 by end of day
What Happened
$418.20
-1.08%
Closed 5.2% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.1%
2026-04-23
📌 PIN
Strength 5%
Magnet
Floor $380
Ceiling $440
Range 14.3%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $440 by end of day
What Happened
$422.76
+0.67%
Closed 4.1% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.7%
2026-04-22
📌 PIN
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $380
Ceiling $420
Range 9.5%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $420 by end of day
What Happened
$419.94
-0.64%
2026-04-21
📌 PIN
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $400
Ceiling $410
Range 2.5%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $410 by end of day
What Happened
$422.65
+5.09%
Closed 3.1% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +5.1%
2026-04-20
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $400
Ceiling $410
Range 2.5%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $400–$410 for 5 days
What Happened
$418.20
+4.65%
Broke up — max move 5.8% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-17
📌 PIN
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $350
Ceiling $400
Range 12.3%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $400 by end of day
What Happened
$399.63
-1.70%
2026-04-16
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $350
Ceiling $360
Range 2.5%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $350–$360 for 5 days
What Happened
$419.94
+5.39%
Broke up — max move 2.0% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-15
📌 PIN
Strength 5%
Magnet
Floor $350
Ceiling $390
Range 10.1%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $350 by end of day
What Happened
$398.47
+0.44%
Closed 12.2% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.4%
2026-04-14
📌 PIN
Strength 5%
Magnet
Floor $350
Ceiling $390
Range 10.5%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $390 by end of day
What Happened
$396.72
+4.19%
Closed 1.8% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +4.2%
2026-04-13
📌 PIN
Strength 5%
Magnet
Floor $350
Ceiling $390
Range 10.5%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $350 by end of day
What Happened
$380.78
+0.27%
Closed 8.1% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.3%
2026-04-10
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $320
Ceiling $330
Range 2.7%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $320–$330 for 5 days
What Happened
$406.54
+9.42%
Broke up — max move 6.8% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-09
📌 PIN
Strength 5%
Magnet
Floor $300
Ceiling $330
Range 8.5%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $300 by end of day
What Happened
$371.55
+4.69%
Closed 20.2% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +4.7%
2026-04-08
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $320
Ceiling $330
Range 2.9%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $320–$330 for 5 days
What Happened
$396.72
+13.14%
Broke up — max move 8.3% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-07
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $320
Ceiling $330
Range 3.0%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $320–$330 for 5 days
What Happened
$380.78
+14.02%
Broke up — max move 11.3% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-06
↔ CAGE
Strength 75%
Magnet
Floor $320
Ceiling $330
Range 3.2%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $320–$330 for 5 days
What Happened
$379.75
+20.77%
Broke up — max move 12.9% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-02
📌 PIN
Strength 20%
Magnet
Floor $280
Ceiling $330
Range 15.9%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $330 by end of day
What Happened
$314.43
-0.04%
Closed 4.9% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.0%
2026-04-01
📌 PIN
Strength 20%
Magnet
Floor $265
Ceiling $315
Range 15.9%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $265 by end of day
What Happened
$314.55
+0.34%
Closed 15.8% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.3%
2026-03-31
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $265
Ceiling $270
Range 1.6%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $265–$270 for 5 days
What Happened
$350.63
+13.29%
2026-03-30
↔ CAGE
Strength 20%
Magnet
Floor $265
Ceiling $288
Range 7.7%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $265–$288 for 5 days
What Happened
$333.97
+13.82%
Broke up — max move 7.2% (need ≤2%)
2026-03-27
↔ CAGE
Strength 20%
Magnet
Floor $265
Ceiling $288
Range 7.5%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $265–$288 for 5 days
What Happened
$314.43
+4.57%
Broke down — max move 4.3% (need ≤2%)
2026-03-26
📌 PIN
Strength 15%
Magnet
Floor $288
Ceiling $335
Range 15.4%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $288 by end of day
What Happened
$300.68
-2.82%
Closed 4.3% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -2.8%
2026-03-25
📌 PIN
Strength 5%
Magnet
Floor $265
Ceiling $335
Range 22.0%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $265 by end of day
What Happened
$309.42
-2.95%
Closed 13.9% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -2.9%
2026-03-24
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $265
Ceiling $270
Range 1.6%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $265–$270 for 5 days
What Happened
$309.51
-2.76%
Broke up — max move 5.5% (need ≤2%)
2026-03-23
↔ CAGE
Strength 20%
Magnet
Floor $265
Ceiling $288
Range 7.0%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $265–$288 for 5 days
What Happened
$293.41
-9.02%
Broke down — max move 4.1% (need ≤2%)
2026-03-20
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $288
Ceiling $295
Range 2.4%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $288–$295 for 5 days
What Happened
$300.68
-3.17%
Broke up — max move 3.9% (need ≤2%)
2026-03-19
📌 PIN
Strength 20%
Magnet
Floor $275
Ceiling $330
Range 17.2%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $275 by end of day
What Happened
$310.51
-2.92%
Closed 11.1% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -2.9%
2026-03-18
📌 PIN
Strength 5%
Magnet
Floor $275
Ceiling $330
Range 17.4%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $275 by end of day
What Happened
$319.84
+1.24%
Closed 14.2% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.2%
2026-03-17
📌 PIN
Strength 15%
Magnet
Floor $275
Ceiling $350
Range 23.3%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $275 by end of day
What Happened
$315.93
-1.67%
Closed 12.7% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.7%
2026-03-16
📌 PIN
Strength 5%
Magnet
Floor $275
Ceiling $340
Range 20.0%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $275 by end of day
What Happened
$321.31
-1.11%
Closed 14.3% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.1%
2026-03-13
📌 PIN
Strength 15%
Magnet
Floor $300
Ceiling $350
Range 15.5%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $350 by end of day
What Happened
$324.92
+0.86%
Closed 7.8% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.9%
2026-03-12
📌 PIN
Strength 5%
Magnet
Floor $298
Ceiling $340
Range 12.6%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $298 by end of day
What Happened
$322.16
-4.11%
Closed 7.3% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -4.1%
2026-03-11
📌 PIN
Strength 5%
Magnet
Floor $298
Ceiling $325
Range 8.1%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $298 by end of day
What Happened
$335.97
-1.64%
Closed 11.3% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.6%
2026-03-10
📌 PIN
Strength 5%
Magnet
Floor $298
Ceiling $325
Range 8.0%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $298 by end of day
What Happened
$341.57
-0.29%
Closed 12.9% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.3%
2026-03-09
↔ CAGE
Strength 20%
Magnet
Floor $298
Ceiling $325
Range 8.0%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $298–$325 for 5 days
What Happened
$324.92
-6.02%
Broke down — max move 2.8% (need ≤2%)
2026-03-06
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $298
Ceiling $300
Range 0.8%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $298–$300 for 5 days
What Happened
$322.16
-2.52%
Broke up — max move 4.6% (need ≤2%)
2026-03-05
📌 PIN
Strength 15%
Magnet
Floor $310
Ceiling $350
Range 12.0%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $350 by end of day
What Happened
$330.48
-0.69%
Closed 5.9% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.7%
2026-03-04
📌 PIN
Strength 5%
Magnet
Floor $310
Ceiling $350
Range 12.6%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $310 by end of day
What Happened
$332.77
+4.80%
Closed 7.2% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +4.8%
2026-03-03
📌 PIN
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $310
Ceiling $350
Range 12.7%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $310 by end of day
What Happened
$317.53
+1.18%
Closed 2.4% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.2%
2026-03-02
📌 PIN
Strength 5%
Magnet
Floor $310
Ceiling $350
Range 12.5%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $310 by end of day
What Happened
$313.84
-1.56%
Closed 1.2% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.6%
2026-02-27
📌 PIN
Strength 5%
Magnet
Floor $310
Ceiling $350
Range 12.5%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $310 by end of day
What Happened
$318.82
-0.23%
Closed 2.8% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.2%
2026-02-26
↔ CAGE
Strength 20%
Magnet
Floor $285
Ceiling $308
Range 7.0%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $285–$308 for 5 days
What Happened
$332.77
+3.44%
Broke down — max move 2.4% (need ≤2%)
2026-02-25
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $285
Ceiling $292
Range 2.3%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $285–$292 for 5 days
What Happened
$317.53
-4.45%
Broke down — max move 4.1% (need ≤2%)
2026-02-24
↔ CAGE
Strength 20%
Magnet
Floor $292
Ceiling $310
Range 5.4%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $292–$310 for 5 days
What Happened
$313.84
-3.58%
Broke up — max move 2.1% (need ≤2%)