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CAT $909.81 +3.78% (updated 2026-06-02)

Today's OI Read — CAT

Where the walls are, where price sits, and what the dealer positioning implies for Caterpillar

In Between Walls?
NO
$840
DOM
$875
2ND
$909.81

Outside the dominant wall range — directional momentum more likely than mean reversion.

Magnet Strength
1.14× Elevated (1–1.5×)
Current OI 16,083
30d Avg OI 14,129

Slightly above average — mild additional pinning force at key strikes.

Put/Call Ratio
1.04
NEUTRAL

Between 0.8–1.2 — balanced positioning. No strong directional lean from options flow alone.

Dominant Wall
$840
▼ Below spot

The highest OI concentration strike — the structural anchor dealers are most committed to hedging.

Distance to #1 Wall
$+69.81
+7.67%

Price is above the dominant wall — acts as support.

Wall Skew
-0.939
PUT HEAVY

Put-heavy at the dominant wall — put sellers defend this level. Acts as structural support/magnet.

Today's Top Setup — CAT

SQUEEZE, PIN, and CAGE scored 0–100 from OI structure. Highest score = today's highest-conviction setup.

PIN — 53.7% hit rate (n=1,719). CAGE — 45.4% (n=1,161). SQUEEZE — 49.5% (n=5,555). Half hit, half don't — the edge is asymmetric payoff.

Strength scores are locked

PRO

See exactly which setup is most likely — and by how much

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🚀 SQUEEZE
candidate
Strength ██%
5d horizon
Target · Stock pops ≥+5% within 10 trading days — the kind of move where the winners run far enough to outweigh the misses.
📌 PIN
AUC 0.83 measured
Strength ██%
1d horizon
Target · Price closes within 0.5% of $840 (dom strike) by +1d.
↔ CAGE
AUC 0.55 measured
Strength ██%
5d horizon
Target · Price stays between $840 – $875 through +5d.

Top OI Walls

Largest open interest concentrations · sorted by strike price

2026-06-02
Rank Strike Call OI Put OI Total OI P/C % of Max
#3 $1000 Resistance 1,232 0 1,232 0.00
89%
▶ $909.81
#4 $900 Support 1,122 22 1,144 0.02
83%
#2 $875 Support 140 1,092 1,232 7.80
89%
#5 $850 Support 91 775 866 8.52
63%
#1 $840 Support 42 1,336 1,378 31.81
100%

SQUEEZE / PIN / CAGE Setup Backtest — CAT

Last 50 sessions — which setup fired, what the score was, and whether it hit. See the actual win/loss record.

0 days ·
Min Strength 60
Magnet:
2026-05-26
📌 PIN
Strength 15%
Magnet
Floor $860
Ceiling $940
Range 8.8%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $940 by end of day
What Happened
$909.93
+0.15%
Closed 3.3% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.2%
2026-05-22
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $850
Ceiling $860
Range 1.1%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $850–$860 for 5 days
What Happened
$865.36
-1.65%
Broke up — max move 3.4% (need ≤2%)
2026-05-21
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $900
Ceiling $920
Range 2.3%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $900–$920 for 5 days
What Happened
$875.87
+1.15%
Broke up — max move 5.1% (need ≤2%)
2026-05-20
📌 PIN
Strength 20%
Magnet
Floor $850
Ceiling $930
Range 9.2%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $930 by end of day
What Happened
$865.95
-0.76%
Closed 7.3% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.8%
2026-05-19
📌 PIN
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $850
Ceiling $930
Range 9.3%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $850 by end of day
What Happened
$872.56
+1.44%
Closed 2.6% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.4%
2026-05-18
📌 PIN
Strength 50%
Magnet
Floor $850
Ceiling $930
Range 9.3%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $850 by end of day
What Happened
$860.15
-0.44%
Closed 1.2% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.4%
2026-05-15
📌 PIN
Strength 15%
Magnet
Floor $850
Ceiling $930
Range 9.0%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $850 by end of day
What Happened
$863.95
-2.74%
Closed 1.6% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -2.7%
2026-05-14
📌 PIN
Strength 10%
Magnet
Floor $780
Ceiling $890
Range 12.0%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $780 by end of day
What Happened
$888.31
-3.47%
Closed 11.8% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -3.5%
2026-05-13
📌 PIN
Strength 5%
Magnet
Floor $780
Ceiling $890
Range 12.2%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $780 by end of day
What Happened
$920.22
+1.99%
Closed 15.5% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +2.0%
2026-05-12
📌 PIN
Strength 5%
Magnet
Floor $780
Ceiling $890
Range 12.1%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $780 by end of day
What Happened
$902.30
-1.08%
Closed 13.4% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.1%
2026-05-11
📌 PIN
Strength 5%
Magnet
Floor $780
Ceiling $890
Range 11.9%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $780 by end of day
What Happened
$912.14
-1.58%
Closed 14.3% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.6%
2026-05-08
↔ CAGE
Strength 20%
Magnet
Floor $720
Ceiling $780
Range 6.7%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $720–$780 for 5 days
What Happened
$888.31
-1.02%
Broke up — max move 3.3% (need ≤2%)
2026-05-07
📌 PIN
Strength 20%
Magnet
Floor $880
Ceiling $1000
Range 13.4%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $1000 by end of day
What Happened
$897.45
+0.20%
Closed 11.4% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.2%
2026-05-06
↔ CAGE
Strength 20%
Magnet
Floor $830
Ceiling $880
Range 5.4%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $830–$880 for 5 days
What Happened
$902.30
-2.66%
Broke down — max move 3.4% (need ≤2%)
2026-05-05
↔ CAGE
Strength 20%
Magnet
Floor $830
Ceiling $900
Range 7.7%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $830–$900 for 5 days
What Happened
$912.14
+0.83%
Broke up — max move 2.5% (need ≤2%)
2026-05-04
📌 PIN
Strength 30%
Magnet
Floor $830
Ceiling $900
Range 8.0%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $830 by end of day
What Happened
$904.59
+3.41%
Closed 8.5% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +3.4%
2026-05-01
↔ CAGE
Strength 75%
Magnet
Floor $880
Ceiling $900
Range 2.2%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $880–$900 for 5 days
What Happened
$897.45
+0.87%
Broke down — max move 4.2% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-30
📌 PIN
Strength 10%
Magnet
Floor $770
Ceiling $900
Range 14.6%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $770 by end of day
What Happened
$889.67
-0.05%
Closed 13.4% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.0%
2026-04-29
📌 PIN
Strength 15%
Magnet
Floor $750
Ceiling $900
Range 18.5%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $750 by end of day
What Happened
$890.11
+9.88%
Closed 17.3% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +9.9%
2026-04-28
📌 PIN
Strength 15%
Magnet
Floor $750
Ceiling $900
Range 18.3%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $900 by end of day
What Happened
$810.05
-0.96%
Closed 11.0% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.0%
2026-04-27
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $750
Ceiling $770
Range 2.4%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $750–$770 for 5 days
What Happened
$874.78
+5.55%
Broke down — max move 7.4% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-24
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $750
Ceiling $770
Range 2.4%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $750–$770 for 5 days
What Happened
$889.67
+7.09%
Broke down — max move 2.5% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-23
↔ CAGE
Strength 75%
Magnet
Floor $790
Ceiling $800
Range 1.2%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $790–$800 for 5 days
What Happened
$890.11
+6.57%
Broke down — max move 2.1% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-22
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $770
Ceiling $800
Range 3.7%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $770–$800 for 5 days
What Happened
$810.05
+0.15%
Broke up — max move 3.3% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-21
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $770
Ceiling $800
Range 3.7%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $770–$800 for 5 days
What Happened
$817.87
+2.18%
Broke up — max move 4.3% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-20
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $770
Ceiling $800
Range 3.8%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $770–$800 for 5 days
What Happened
$828.79
+3.81%
Broke up — max move 4.6% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-17
📌 PIN
Strength 20%
Magnet
Floor $770
Ceiling $850
Range 10.1%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $770 by end of day
What Happened
$798.40
+0.47%
Closed 3.6% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.5%
2026-04-16
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $800
Ceiling $810
Range 1.3%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $800–$810 for 5 days
What Happened
$835.24
+8.10%
Broke up — max move 3.6% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-15
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $810
Ceiling $820
Range 1.3%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $810–$820 for 5 days
What Happened
$808.87
+5.02%
Broke up — max move 3.7% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-14
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $810
Ceiling $820
Range 1.3%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $810–$820 for 5 days
What Happened
$800.45
+0.78%
Broke down — max move 3.0% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-13
↔ CAGE
Strength 20%
Magnet
Floor $810
Ceiling $850
Range 5.1%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $810–$850 for 5 days
What Happened
$798.40
+0.84%
Broke up — max move 2.7% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-10
📌 PIN
Strength 5%
Magnet
Floor $700
Ceiling $810
Range 13.9%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $810 by end of day
What Happened
$791.73
+0.14%
Closed 2.3% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.1%
2026-04-09
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $750
Ceiling $760
Range 1.3%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $750–$760 for 5 days
What Happened
$772.66
-1.83%
2026-04-08
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $750
Ceiling $760
Range 1.3%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $750–$760 for 5 days
What Happened
$770.17
-0.18%
Broke up — max move 2.6% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-07
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $750
Ceiling $760
Range 1.4%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $750–$760 for 5 days
What Happened
$794.25
+9.64%
Broke up — max move 9.1% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-06
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $750
Ceiling $760
Range 1.4%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $750–$760 for 5 days
What Happened
$791.73
+9.77%
Broke up — max move 9.1% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-02
📌 PIN
Strength 10%
Magnet
Floor $625
Ceiling $750
Range 17.4%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $625 by end of day
What Happened
$721.24
+0.56%
Closed 13.4% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.6%
2026-04-01
📌 PIN
Strength 10%
Magnet
Floor $625
Ceiling $750
Range 17.1%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $625 by end of day
What Happened
$717.22
-1.79%
Closed 12.6% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.8%
2026-03-31
📌 PIN
Strength 5%
Magnet
Floor $625
Ceiling $750
Range 17.6%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $625 by end of day
What Happened
$730.32
+3.09%
Closed 14.9% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +3.1%
2026-03-30
📌 PIN
Strength 5%
Magnet
Floor $625
Ceiling $750
Range 18.7%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $625 by end of day
What Happened
$708.46
+6.15%
Closed 12.5% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +6.1%
2026-03-27
📌 PIN
Strength 5%
Magnet
Floor $625
Ceiling $700
Range 10.8%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $625 by end of day
What Happened
$667.43
-4.02%
Closed 6.1% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -4.0%
2026-03-26
📌 PIN
Strength 5%
Magnet
Floor $625
Ceiling $730
Range 14.9%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $625 by end of day
What Happened
$695.40
-1.11%
Closed 10.0% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.1%
2026-03-25
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $640
Ceiling $670
Range 4.2%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $640–$670 for 5 days
What Happened
$730.32
+1.57%
Broke down — max move 7.2% (need ≤2%)
2026-03-24
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $640
Ceiling $670
Range 4.2%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $640–$670 for 5 days
What Happened
$708.46
-1.14%
Broke up — max move 3.0% (need ≤2%)
2026-03-23
📌 PIN
Strength 5%
Magnet
Floor $640
Ceiling $720
Range 11.4%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $720 by end of day
What Happened
$716.63
+2.13%
2026-03-20
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $720
Ceiling $745
Range 3.7%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $720–$745 for 5 days
What Happened
$695.40
+2.13%
Broke up — max move 5.6% (need ≤2%)
2026-03-19
📌 PIN
Strength 40%
Magnet
Floor $600
Ceiling $700
Range 14.5%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $700 by end of day
What Happened
$680.88
-1.13%
Closed 2.8% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.1%
2026-03-18
📌 PIN
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $600
Ceiling $700
Range 14.4%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $700 by end of day
What Happened
$688.65
-0.72%
Closed 1.6% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.7%
2026-03-17
📌 PIN
Strength 75%
Magnet
Floor $680
Ceiling $700
Range 2.8%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $700 by end of day
What Happened
$693.62
-1.19%
Closed 0.9% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.2%
2026-03-16
↔ CAGE
Strength 20%
Magnet
Floor $652
Ceiling $700
Range 6.8%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $652–$700 for 5 days
What Happened
$701.70
+0.27%