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COF $183.71 -0.12% (updated 2026-05-12)

Today's OI Read — COF

Where the walls are, where price sits, and what the dealer positioning implies for Capital One

In Between Walls?
NO
$200
2ND
$210
DOM
$183.71

Outside the dominant wall range — directional momentum more likely than mean reversion.

Magnet Strength
2.89× Very High (>2×)
Current OI 34,150
30d Avg OI 11,821

Elevated OI — dealers carry larger hedges, making price walls structurally stronger.

Put/Call Ratio
0.41
CALL HEAVY

Below 0.8 — call OI dominates. Bullish positioning; dealers are short calls and will sell delta into rallies.

Dominant Wall
$210
▲ Above spot

The highest OI concentration strike — the structural anchor dealers are most committed to hedging.

Distance to #1 Wall
$-26.29
-14.31%

Price is below the dominant wall — acts as resistance.

Wall Skew
+0.934
CALL HEAVY

Call-heavy at the dominant wall — call sellers cap rallies toward it. Acts as resistance.

Today's Top Setup — COF

SQUEEZE, PIN, and CAGE scored 0–100 from OI structure. Highest score = today's highest-conviction setup.

PIN — 53.7% hit rate (n=1,719). CAGE — 45.4% (n=1,161). SQUEEZE — 49.5% (n=5,555). Half hit, half don't — the edge is asymmetric payoff.

Strength scores are locked

PRO

See exactly which setup is most likely — and by how much

Unlock
🚀 SQUEEZE
candidate
Strength ██%
5d horizon
Target · Stock pops ≥+5% within 10 trading days — the kind of move where the winners run far enough to outweigh the misses.
📌 PIN
AUC 0.83 measured
Strength ██%
1d horizon
Target · Price closes within 0.5% of $210 (dom strike) by +1d.
↔ CAGE
AUC 0.55 measured
Strength ██%
5d horizon
Target · Price stays between $200 – $210 through +5d.

Top OI Walls

Largest open interest concentrations · sorted by strike price · * OI projected from prior day

2026-05-12
Rank Strike Call OI Put OI Total OI P/C % of Max
#4 $220 Resistance 4,202 38 4,240 0.01
67%
#1 $210 Resistance 6,117 209 6,326 0.03
100%
#5 $205 Resistance 2,800 551 3,351 0.20
53%
#2 $200 Resistance 4,501 771 5,272 0.17
83%
#3 $195 Resistance 3,849 741 4,590 0.19
73%
▶ $183.71

SQUEEZE / PIN / CAGE Setup Backtest — COF

Last 50 sessions — which setup fired, what the score was, and whether it hit. See the actual win/loss record.

0 days ·
Min Strength 60
Magnet:
2026-05-05
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $195
Ceiling $198
Range 1.3%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $195–$198 for 5 days
What Happened
$183.71
-3.15%
2026-05-04
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $202
Ceiling $208
Range 2.6%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $202–$208 for 5 days
What Happened
$183.93
-3.15%
2026-05-01
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $202
Ceiling $208
Range 2.6%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $202–$208 for 5 days
What Happened
$189.48
-1.27%
2026-04-30
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $202
Ceiling $205
Range 1.3%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $202–$205 for 5 days
What Happened
$192.59
+0.67%
2026-04-29
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $205
Ceiling $210
Range 2.6%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $205–$210 for 5 days
What Happened
$193.40
+1.34%
2026-04-28
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $205
Ceiling $210
Range 2.6%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $205–$210 for 5 days
What Happened
$189.68
-1.26%
2026-04-27
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $205
Ceiling $210
Range 2.6%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $205–$210 for 5 days
What Happened
$189.92
-2.16%
2026-04-24
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $205
Ceiling $210
Range 2.6%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $205–$210 for 5 days
What Happened
$191.91
+0.27%
2026-04-23
↔ CAGE
Strength 20%
Magnet
Floor $200
Ceiling $215
Range 7.6%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $200–$215 for 5 days
What Happened
$191.30
-2.71%
Broke down — max move 2.7% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-22
↔ CAGE
Strength 20%
Magnet
Floor $200
Ceiling $215
Range 7.5%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $200–$215 for 5 days
What Happened
$190.84
-4.31%
Broke down — max move 4.0% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-21
📌 PIN
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $200
Ceiling $210
Range 4.9%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $200 by end of day
What Happened
$199.43
-1.52%
2026-04-20
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $200
Ceiling $210
Range 4.9%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $200–$210 for 5 days
What Happened
$194.11
-5.64%
Broke down — max move 4.4% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-17
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $190
Ceiling $200
Range 4.8%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $190–$200 for 5 days
What Happened
$191.39
-7.30%
Broke down — max move 3.4% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-16
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $180
Ceiling $190
Range 5.0%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $180–$190 for 5 days
What Happened
$196.63
-2.03%
Broke up — max move 2.9% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-15
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $170
Ceiling $180
Range 4.9%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $170–$180 for 5 days
What Happened
$199.43
-1.75%
2026-04-14
↔ CAGE
Strength 40%
Magnet
Floor $170
Ceiling $180
Range 5.0%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $170–$180 for 5 days
What Happened
$202.50
+1.33%
Broke up — max move 3.3% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-13
↔ CAGE
Strength 40%
Magnet
Floor $170
Ceiling $180
Range 5.1%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $170–$180 for 5 days
What Happened
$205.71
+4.13%
Broke up — max move 2.7% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-10
↔ CAGE
Strength 40%
Magnet
Floor $170
Ceiling $180
Range 5.2%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $170–$180 for 5 days
What Happened
$206.47
+6.98%
Broke up — max move 5.2% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-09
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $185
Ceiling $190
Range 2.6%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $185–$190 for 5 days
What Happened
$200.71
+3.07%
Broke down — max move 2.6% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-08
↔ CAGE
Strength 20%
Magnet
Floor $180
Ceiling $190
Range 5.2%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $180–$190 for 5 days
What Happened
$202.98
+5.47%
Broke up — max move 2.6% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-07
📌 PIN
Strength 70%
Magnet
Floor $180
Ceiling $190
Range 5.5%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $180 by end of day
What Happened
$192.46
+6.24%
Closed 6.9% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +6.2%
2026-04-06
↔ CAGE
Strength 40%
Magnet
Floor $180
Ceiling $190
Range 5.4%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $180–$190 for 5 days
What Happened
$197.55
+7.24%
Broke down — max move 5.7% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-02
↔ CAGE
Strength 20%
Magnet
Floor $182
Ceiling $195
Range 6.9%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $182–$195 for 5 days
What Happened
$193.00
+6.09%
Broke up — max move 5.8% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-01
↔ CAGE
Strength 20%
Magnet
Floor $182
Ceiling $195
Range 6.8%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $182–$195 for 5 days
What Happened
$194.73
+5.54%
2026-03-31
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $188
Ceiling $195
Range 4.1%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $188–$195 for 5 days
What Happened
$192.46
+5.50%
2026-03-30
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $188
Ceiling $195
Range 4.2%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $188–$195 for 5 days
What Happened
$181.15
+1.70%
Broke up — max move 3.6% (need ≤2%)
2026-03-27
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $188
Ceiling $195
Range 4.3%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $188–$195 for 5 days
What Happened
$184.21
+4.61%
Broke up — max move 4.8% (need ≤2%)
2026-03-26
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $188
Ceiling $195
Range 4.1%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $188–$195 for 5 days
What Happened
$181.92
-0.11%
Broke down — max move 3.3% (need ≤2%)
2026-03-25
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $192
Ceiling $195
Range 1.3%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $192–$195 for 5 days
What Happened
$184.50
-0.39%
Broke down — max move 4.9% (need ≤2%)
2026-03-24
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $192
Ceiling $195
Range 1.4%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $192–$195 for 5 days
What Happened
$182.43
-1.20%
Broke up — max move 4.6% (need ≤2%)
2026-03-23
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $188
Ceiling $195
Range 4.1%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $188–$195 for 5 days
What Happened
$178.13
-3.19%
2026-03-20
📌 PIN
Strength 15%
Magnet
Floor $170
Ceiling $195
Range 13.8%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $195 by end of day
What Happened
$184.00
+1.40%
Closed 6.1% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.4%
2026-03-19
↔ CAGE
Strength 20%
Magnet
Floor $195
Ceiling $205
Range 5.6%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $195–$205 for 5 days
What Happened
$182.12
+1.33%
Broke up — max move 2.7% (need ≤2%)
2026-03-18
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $200
Ceiling $205
Range 2.8%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $200–$205 for 5 days
What Happened
$185.23
+2.83%
Broke down — max move 2.1% (need ≤2%)
2026-03-17
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $200
Ceiling $205
Range 2.7%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $200–$205 for 5 days
What Happened
$184.64
+0.67%
Broke down — max move 2.0% (need ≤2%)
2026-03-16
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $200
Ceiling $205
Range 2.8%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $200–$205 for 5 days
What Happened
$184.00
+1.79%
2026-03-13
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $200
Ceiling $205
Range 2.8%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $200–$205 for 5 days
What Happened
$181.46
+0.93%
Broke up — max move 2.0% (need ≤2%)
2026-03-12
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $190
Ceiling $195
Range 2.8%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $190–$195 for 5 days
What Happened
$179.73
+1.28%
Broke up — max move 3.4% (need ≤2%)
2026-03-11
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $190
Ceiling $195
Range 2.7%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $190–$195 for 5 days
What Happened
$180.14
-1.03%
Broke down — max move 2.5% (need ≤2%)
2026-03-10
📌 PIN
Strength 5%
Magnet
Floor $195
Ceiling $212
Range 9.5%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $212 by end of day
What Happened
$182.02
-1.54%
Closed 16.5% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.5%
2026-03-09
📌 PIN
Strength 5%
Magnet
Floor $195
Ceiling $212
Range 9.4%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $212 by end of day
What Happened
$184.87
-0.46%
Closed 14.9% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.5%
2026-03-06
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $205
Ceiling $208
Range 1.3%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $205–$208 for 5 days
What Happened
$179.79
-4.22%
Broke down — max move 3.0% (need ≤2%)
2026-03-05
↔ CAGE
Strength 20%
Magnet
Floor $202
Ceiling $215
Range 6.4%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $202–$215 for 5 days
What Happened
$177.45
-8.66%
Broke down — max move 4.8% (need ≤2%)
2026-03-04
↔ CAGE
Strength 20%
Magnet
Floor $202
Ceiling $215
Range 6.4%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $202–$215 for 5 days
What Happened
$182.02
-7.05%
Broke down — max move 5.2% (need ≤2%)
2026-03-03
↔ CAGE
Strength 20%
Magnet
Floor $202
Ceiling $215
Range 6.5%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $202–$215 for 5 days
What Happened
$184.87
-4.57%
Broke up — max move 3.1% (need ≤2%)
2026-03-02
↔ CAGE
Strength 20%
Magnet
Floor $202
Ceiling $215
Range 6.4%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $202–$215 for 5 days
What Happened
$185.73
-4.42%
2026-02-27
↔ CAGE
Strength 75%
Magnet
Floor $198
Ceiling $202
Range 2.6%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $198–$202 for 5 days
What Happened
$187.71
-4.05%
2026-02-26
📌 PIN
Strength 15%
Magnet
Floor $195
Ceiling $220
Range 12.0%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $220 by end of day
What Happened
$195.64
-6.15%
Closed 11.7% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -6.2%
2026-02-25
📌 PIN
Strength 15%
Magnet
Floor $195
Ceiling $220
Range 12.1%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $220 by end of day
What Happened
$208.47
+1.30%
Closed 5.6% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.3%
2026-02-24
📌 PIN
Strength 5%
Magnet
Floor $195
Ceiling $220
Range 12.7%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $220 by end of day
What Happened
$205.79
+4.70%
Closed 7.2% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +4.7%