COIN Gamma Squeeze, Pin & Wall Analysis

COIN Coinbase $207.64 -2.01% (updated 2026-05-12)

Today's OI Read — COIN

Where the walls are, where price sits, and what the dealer positioning implies for Coinbase

In Between Walls?

$190

DOM

$198

2ND

$207.64

Outside the dominant wall range — directional momentum more likely than mean reversion.

Magnet Strength Details →

1.46× Elevated (1–1.5×)

Current OI 143,428

30d Avg OI 98,247

Slightly above average — mild additional pinning force at key strikes.

Put/Call Ratio

0.37

CALL HEAVY

Below 0.8 — call OI dominates. Bullish positioning; dealers are short calls and will sell delta into rallies.

Dominant Wall

$190

▼ Below spot

The highest OI concentration strike — the structural anchor dealers are most committed to hedging.

Distance to #1 Wall

$+17.64

+8.50%

Price is above the dominant wall — acts as support.

Wall Skew

+0.213

CALL HEAVY

Call-heavy at the dominant wall — call sellers cap rallies toward it. Acts as resistance.

Today's Top Setup — COIN

SQUEEZE, PIN, and CAGE scored 0–100 from OI structure. Highest score = today's highest-conviction setup.

PIN — 53.7% hit rate (n=1,719). CAGE — 45.4% (n=1,161). SQUEEZE — 49.5% (n=5,555). Half hit, half don't — the edge is asymmetric payoff.

Strength scores are locked

PRO

See exactly which setup is most likely — and by how much

Unlock

🚀 SQUEEZE

candidate

Strength ██%

5d horizon

Target · Stock pops ≥+5% within 10 trading days — the kind of move where the winners run far enough to outweigh the misses.

📌 PIN

AUC 0.83 measured

Strength ██%

1d horizon

Target · Price closes within 0.5% of $190 (dom strike) by +1d.

↔ CAGE

AUC 0.55 measured

Strength ██%

5d horizon

Target · Price stays between $190 – $198 through +5d.

Top OI Walls

Largest open interest concentrations · sorted by strike price · * OI projected from prior day

2026-05-12

Rank	Strike	Call OI	Put OI	Total OI	P/C	% of Max
#3	$220 Resistance	11,993	1,810	13,803	0.15	93%
#4	$210 Resistance	11,109	2,504	13,613	0.23	92%
▶ $207.64
#5	$200 Support	8,508	3,944	12,452	0.46	84%
#2	$198 Support	13,253	566	13,819	0.04	93%
#1	$190 Support	9,021	5,856	14,877	0.65	100%

Dealer Magnet Strength

When total OI is elevated vs its 30-day rolling average, dealer hedging is heavier — walls act like magnets. Very High = stronger PIN / CAGE conviction. Near-normal = weaker structural hold.

Current Magnet Strength

Elevated (1–1.5×)

Low (<0.7×)

70.0%

70 days · 1d

Normal (0.7–1×)

67.4%

138 days · 1d

Elevated (1–1.5×)

69.1%

140 days · 1d

High (1.5–2×)

62.9%

35 days · 1d

Very High (>2×)

68.4%

19 days · 1d

Containment Rate by OI Magnitude Bucket

OI ratio = today's total OI ÷ 30-day rolling average. Does elevated OI predict price staying inside the dominant wall range?

OI Level	Days	1d	2d	5d	10d	20d
Low (<0.7×)	70	70.0%	61.4%	54.3%	37.7%	13.2%
Normal (0.7–1×)	138	67.4%	60.1%	54.0%	33.8%	21.1%
Elevated (1–1.5×)	140	69.1%	59.7%	43.8%	38.0%	23.7%
High (1.5–2×)	35	62.9%	50.0%	52.9%	29.4%	37.5%
Very High (>2×)	19	68.4%	57.9%	36.8%	10.5%	15.8%

SQUEEZE / PIN / CAGE Setup Backtest — COIN

Last 50 sessions — which setup fired, what the score was, and whether it hit. See the actual win/loss record.

0 days ·

Min Strength 60

Magnet:

2026-05-05

↔ CAGE

Strength 40%

Magnet

Floor $185

Ceiling $195

Range 5.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $185–$195 for 5 days

What Happened

$207.64

+5.00%

Broke up — max move 2.4% (need ≤2%)

2026-05-04

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $185

Ceiling $195

Range 4.9%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $185–$195 for 5 days

What Happened

$216.60

+6.70%

Broke down — max move 4.9% (need ≤2%)

2026-05-01

📌 PIN

Strength 45%

Magnet

Floor $185

Ceiling $195

Range 5.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $195 by end of day

What Happened

$202.99

+6.14%

Closed 4.2% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +6.1%

2026-04-30

📌 PIN

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $190

Ceiling $208

Range 9.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $190 by end of day

What Happened

$191.25

+1.85%

Closed 0.7% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.9%

2026-04-29

↔ CAGE

Strength 40%

Magnet

Floor $205

Ceiling $215

Range 5.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $205–$215 for 5 days

What Happened

$197.96

+8.93%

Broke up — max move 11.7% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-28

↔ CAGE

Strength 40%

Magnet

Floor $205

Ceiling $215

Range 5.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $205–$215 for 5 days

What Happened

$197.75

+1.88%

Broke down — max move 6.4% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-27

↔ CAGE

Strength 40%

Magnet

Floor $205

Ceiling $215

Range 5.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $205–$215 for 5 days

What Happened

$202.99

+3.21%

Broke down — max move 7.6% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-24

↔ CAGE

Strength 40%

Magnet

Floor $205

Ceiling $215

Range 5.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $205–$215 for 5 days

What Happened

$191.25

-4.26%

Broke down — max move 9.0% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-23

📌 PIN

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $200

Ceiling $220

Range 10.1%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $200 by end of day

What Happened

$199.77

+0.93%

2026-04-22

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $200

Ceiling $220

Range 9.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $200 by end of day

What Happened

$197.93

-4.03%

Closed 1.0% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -4.0%

2026-04-21

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $200

Ceiling $220

Range 10.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $200 by end of day

What Happened

$206.24

+5.25%

Closed 3.2% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +5.3%

2026-04-20

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $195

Ceiling $200

Range 2.4%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $195–$200 for 5 days

What Happened

$196.68

-7.06%

Broke down — max move 7.4% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-17

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $195

Ceiling $200

Range 2.4%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $195–$200 for 5 days

What Happened

$199.77

-3.18%

Broke up — max move 5.0% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-16

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $170

Ceiling $180

Range 5.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $170–$180 for 5 days

What Happened

$197.93

-0.95%

Broke up — max move 5.9% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-15

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $170

Ceiling $180

Range 5.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $170–$180 for 5 days

What Happened

$206.24

+5.28%

Broke up — max move 8.0% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-14

↔ CAGE

Strength 40%

Magnet

Floor $170

Ceiling $180

Range 5.4%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $170–$180 for 5 days

What Happened

$195.95

+6.26%

Broke up — max move 11.9% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-13

↔ CAGE

Strength 40%

Magnet

Floor $170

Ceiling $180

Range 5.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $170–$180 for 5 days

What Happened

$211.63

+21.26%

Broke up — max move 14.5% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-10

↔ CAGE

Strength 40%

Magnet

Floor $170

Ceiling $180

Range 6.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $170–$180 for 5 days

What Happened

$206.33

+22.93%

Broke up — max move 16.7% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-09

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $178

Ceiling $185

Range 4.4%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $178–$185 for 5 days

What Happened

$199.82

+18.22%

Broke down — max move 9.1% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-08

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $170

Ceiling $185

Range 8.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $185 by end of day

What Happened

$169.02

-3.47%

Closed 9.1% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -3.5%

2026-04-07

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $170

Ceiling $185

Range 8.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $185 by end of day

What Happened

$175.09

-0.05%

Closed 5.7% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.1%

2026-04-06

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $170

Ceiling $185

Range 8.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $185 by end of day

What Happened

$175.18

+0.22%

Closed 5.6% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.2%

2026-04-02

↔ CAGE

Strength 40%

Magnet

Floor $180

Ceiling $190

Range 5.8%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $180–$190 for 5 days

What Happened

$167.85

-2.11%

Broke up — max move 2.2% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-01

↔ CAGE

Strength 40%

Magnet

Floor $180

Ceiling $190

Range 5.8%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $180–$190 for 5 days

What Happened

$169.02

-2.29%

2026-03-31

↔ CAGE

Strength 40%

Magnet

Floor $180

Ceiling $190

Range 5.7%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $180–$190 for 5 days

What Happened

$175.09

+0.27%

2026-03-30

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $180

Ceiling $192

Range 7.8%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $180–$192 for 5 days

What Happened

$175.18

+8.95%

Broke up — max move 8.6% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-27

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $180

Ceiling $192

Range 7.8%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $180–$192 for 5 days

What Happened

$174.79

+8.47%

Broke down — max move 8.4% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-26

↔ CAGE

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $202

Ceiling $205

Range 1.4%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $202–$205 for 5 days

What Happened

$171.46

-1.11%

Broke down — max move 7.3% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-25

↔ CAGE

Strength 40%

Magnet

Floor $205

Ceiling $215

Range 5.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $205–$215 for 5 days

What Happened

$172.99

-4.48%

Broke down — max move 11.2% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-24

↔ CAGE

Strength 40%

Magnet

Floor $205

Ceiling $215

Range 5.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $205–$215 for 5 days

What Happened

$174.61

-3.55%

Broke up — max move 11.0% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-23

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $205

Ceiling $215

Range 5.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $205–$215 for 5 days

What Happened

$160.79

-19.85%

Broke down — max move 13.6% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-20

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $220

Ceiling $225

Range 2.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $220–$225 for 5 days

What Happened

$161.14

-18.41%

Broke up — max move 8.3% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-19

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $200

Ceiling $210

Range 4.9%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $200–$210 for 5 days

What Happened

$173.38

-14.55%

Broke down — max move 10.8% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-18

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $200

Ceiling $210

Range 4.9%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $200–$210 for 5 days

What Happened

$181.10

-10.48%

Broke up — max move 2.4% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-17

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $200

Ceiling $210

Range 4.8%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $200–$210 for 5 days

What Happened

$181.04

-13.88%

Broke down — max move 6.1% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-16

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $200

Ceiling $210

Range 4.9%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $200–$210 for 5 days

What Happened

$200.62

-1.33%

Broke up — max move 3.4% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-13

↔ CAGE

Strength 60%

Magnet

Floor $200

Ceiling $210

Range 5.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $200–$210 for 5 days

What Happened

$197.50

+1.01%

Broke up — max move 7.5% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-12

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $202

Ceiling $210

Range 3.9%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $202–$210 for 5 days

What Happened

$202.91

+5.01%

Broke up — max move 8.8% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-11

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $210

Ceiling $218

Range 3.8%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $210–$218 for 5 days

What Happened

$202.29

+1.84%

Broke down — max move 2.7% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-10

↔ CAGE

Strength 40%

Magnet

Floor $218

Ceiling $228

Range 5.1%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $218–$228 for 5 days

What Happened

$210.23

+6.98%

2026-03-09

↔ CAGE

Strength 40%

Magnet

Floor $218

Ceiling $228

Range 5.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $218–$228 for 5 days

What Happened

$203.32

+1.77%

Broke down — max move 3.3% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-06

↔ CAGE

Strength 40%

Magnet

Floor $218

Ceiling $228

Range 5.1%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $218–$228 for 5 days

What Happened

$195.53

-0.86%

2026-03-05

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $188

Ceiling $198

Range 4.9%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $188–$198 for 5 days

What Happened

$193.23

-6.07%

Broke down — max move 4.5% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-04

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $188

Ceiling $198

Range 4.8%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $188–$198 for 5 days

What Happened

$198.63

-4.93%

Broke down — max move 5.6% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-03

↔ CAGE

Strength 40%

Magnet

Floor $188

Ceiling $198

Range 5.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $188–$198 for 5 days

What Happened

$196.52

+7.76%

Broke up — max move 14.6% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-02

↔ CAGE

Strength 40%

Magnet

Floor $188

Ceiling $198

Range 5.4%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $188–$198 for 5 days

What Happened

$199.79

+7.85%

Broke down — max move 12.8% (need ≤2%)

2026-02-27

↔ CAGE

Strength 40%

Magnet

Floor $188

Ceiling $198

Range 5.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $188–$198 for 5 days

What Happened

$197.22

+12.15%

Broke up — max move 18.8% (need ≤2%)

2026-02-26

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $175

Ceiling $178

Range 1.4%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $175–$178 for 5 days

What Happened

$205.71

+13.61%

Broke down — max move 2.9% (need ≤2%)

2026-02-25

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $178

Ceiling $180

Range 1.4%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $178–$180 for 5 days

What Happened

$208.93

+13.59%

Broke down — max move 4.4% (need ≤2%)

2026-02-24

↔ CAGE

Strength 40%

Magnet

Floor $180

Ceiling $190

Range 6.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $180–$190 for 5 days

What Happened

$182.36

+12.55%

Broke up — max move 13.5% (need ≤2%)