DE Gamma Squeeze, Pin & Wall Analysis

DE John Deere $589.19 -0.37% (updated 2026-05-12)

Today's OI Read — DE

Where the walls are, where price sits, and what the dealer positioning implies for John Deere

In Between Walls?

$650

2ND

$670

DOM

$589.19

Outside the dominant wall range — directional momentum more likely than mean reversion.

Magnet Strength Details →

2.67× Very High (>2×)

Current OI 6,462

30d Avg OI 2,421

Elevated OI — dealers carry larger hedges, making price walls structurally stronger.

Put/Call Ratio

0.47

CALL HEAVY

Below 0.8 — call OI dominates. Bullish positioning; dealers are short calls and will sell delta into rallies.

Dominant Wall

$670

▲ Above spot

The highest OI concentration strike — the structural anchor dealers are most committed to hedging.

Distance to #1 Wall

$-80.81

-13.72%

Price is below the dominant wall — acts as resistance.

Wall Skew

+1.000

CALL HEAVY

Call-heavy at the dominant wall — call sellers cap rallies toward it. Acts as resistance.

Today's Top Setup — DE

SQUEEZE, PIN, and CAGE scored 0–100 from OI structure. Highest score = today's highest-conviction setup.

PIN — 53.7% hit rate (n=1,719). CAGE — 45.4% (n=1,161). SQUEEZE — 49.5% (n=5,555). Half hit, half don't — the edge is asymmetric payoff.

Strength scores are locked

PRO

See exactly which setup is most likely — and by how much

Unlock

🚀 SQUEEZE

candidate

Strength ██%

5d horizon

Target · Stock pops ≥+5% within 10 trading days — the kind of move where the winners run far enough to outweigh the misses.

📌 PIN

AUC 0.83 measured

Strength ██%

1d horizon

Target · Price closes within 0.5% of $670 (dom strike) by +1d.

↔ CAGE

AUC 0.55 measured

Strength ██%

5d horizon

Target · Price stays between $650 – $670 through +5d.

Top OI Walls

Largest open interest concentrations · sorted by strike price · * OI projected from prior day

2026-05-12

Rank	Strike	Call OI	Put OI	Total OI	P/C	% of Max
#1	$670 Resistance	895	0	895	0.00	100%
#2	$650 Resistance	830	0	830	0.00	93%
#3	$610 Resistance	340	25	365	0.07	41%
#5	$595 Resistance	321	0	321	0.00	36%
▶ $589.19
#4	$550 Support	202	155	357	0.77	40%

Dealer Magnet Strength

When total OI is elevated vs its 30-day rolling average, dealer hedging is heavier — walls act like magnets. Very High = stronger PIN / CAGE conviction. Near-normal = weaker structural hold.

Current Magnet Strength

Very High (>2×)

Low (<0.7×)

75.6%

217 days · 1d

Normal (0.7–1×)

62.7%

51 days · 1d

Elevated (1–1.5×)

75.7%

37 days · 1d

High (1.5–2×)

82.6%

23 days · 1d

Very High (>2×)

87.7%

74 days · 1d

Containment Rate by OI Magnitude Bucket

OI ratio = today's total OI ÷ 30-day rolling average. Does elevated OI predict price staying inside the dominant wall range?

OI Level	Days	1d	2d	5d	10d	20d
Low (<0.7×)	217	75.6%	65.9%	53.9%	45.8%	35.4%
Normal (0.7–1×)	51	62.7%	64.7%	46.9%	46.8%	36.2%
Elevated (1–1.5×)	37	75.7%	62.2%	48.6%	51.4%	38.9%
High (1.5–2×)	23	82.6%	65.2%	56.5%	56.5%	68.2%
Very High (>2×)	74	87.7%	83.3%	77.5%	70.4%	40.8%

SQUEEZE / PIN / CAGE Setup Backtest — DE

Last 50 sessions — which setup fired, what the score was, and whether it hit. See the actual win/loss record.

0 days ·

Min Strength 60

Magnet:

2026-05-05

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $595

Ceiling $600

Range 0.9%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $595–$600 for 5 days

What Happened

$589.19

+2.33%

Broke up — max move 2.8% (need ≤2%)

2026-05-04

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $532

Ceiling $595

Range 10.8%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $595 by end of day

What Happened

$575.79

-0.45%

Closed 3.3% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.4%

2026-05-01

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $532

Ceiling $585

Range 9.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $532 by end of day

What Happened

$578.39

+0.20%

Closed 7.9% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.2%

2026-04-30

📌 PIN

Strength 70%

Magnet

Floor $560

Ceiling $595

Range 5.9%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $595 by end of day

What Happened

$577.26

-2.14%

Closed 3.0% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -2.1%

2026-04-29

📌 PIN

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $560

Ceiling $575

Range 2.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $560 by end of day

What Happened

$589.87

+5.33%

Closed 5.3% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +5.3%

2026-04-28

📌 PIN

Strength 60%

Magnet

Floor $560

Ceiling $580

Range 3.5%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $560 by end of day

What Happened

$560.02

-0.68%

2026-04-27

📌 PIN

Strength 45%

Magnet

Floor $560

Ceiling $575

Range 2.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $560 by end of day

What Happened

$563.86

-0.67%

Closed 0.7% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.7%

2026-04-24

↔ CAGE

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $595

Ceiling $600

Range 0.9%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $595–$600 for 5 days

What Happened

$577.26

+2.60%

2026-04-23

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $575

Ceiling $605

Range 5.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $575–$605 for 5 days

What Happened

$589.87

-0.35%

Broke down — max move 5.0% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-22

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $575

Ceiling $605

Range 5.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $575–$605 for 5 days

What Happened

$560.02

-3.44%

Broke up — max move 3.0% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-21

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $605

Ceiling $640

Range 6.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $605–$640 for 5 days

What Happened

$563.86

-3.99%

Broke down — max move 4.2% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-20

📌 PIN

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $575

Ceiling $605

Range 5.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $605 by end of day

What Happened

$587.30

-1.21%

Closed 3.0% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.2%

2026-04-17

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $575

Ceiling $605

Range 5.1%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $575–$605 for 5 days

What Happened

$562.64

-4.71%

2026-04-16

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $600

Ceiling $620

Range 3.4%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $600–$620 for 5 days

What Happened

$591.95

+1.33%

2026-04-15

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $600

Ceiling $650

Range 8.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $600 by end of day

What Happened

$584.19

+1.31%

Closed 2.7% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.3%

2026-04-14

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $600

Ceiling $650

Range 8.4%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $650 by end of day

What Happened

$576.64

-3.25%

Closed 12.3% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -3.3%

2026-04-13

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $640

Ceiling $650

Range 1.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $640–$650 for 5 days

What Happened

$594.52

-1.41%

Broke down — max move 4.4% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-10

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $640

Ceiling $650

Range 1.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $640–$650 for 5 days

What Happened

$590.46

-2.40%

Broke down — max move 4.7% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-09

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $562

Ceiling $582

Range 3.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $562–$582 for 5 days

What Happened

$584.19

-5.47%

Broke down — max move 3.6% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-08

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $565

Ceiling $582

Range 2.9%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $565–$582 for 5 days

What Happened

$576.64

-5.36%

2026-04-07

📌 PIN

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $582

Ceiling $600

Range 3.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $582 by end of day

What Happened

$609.32

+5.78%

Closed 4.7% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +5.8%

2026-04-06

↔ CAGE

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $570

Ceiling $582

Range 2.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $570–$582 for 5 days

What Happened

$603.04

+4.86%

Broke up — max move 7.5% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-02

📌 PIN

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $580

Ceiling $595

Range 2.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $580 by end of day

What Happened

$575.09

-0.11%

Closed 0.9% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.1%

2026-04-01

📌 PIN

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $580

Ceiling $595

Range 2.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $580 by end of day

What Happened

$575.71

+0.88%

Closed 0.8% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.9%

2026-03-31

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $572

Ceiling $580

Range 1.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $572–$580 for 5 days

What Happened

$609.32

+8.17%

Broke up — max move 2.2% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-30

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $565

Ceiling $590

Range 4.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $565–$590 for 5 days

What Happened

$576.00

+3.69%

Broke up — max move 3.6% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-27

↔ CAGE

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $580

Ceiling $590

Range 1.8%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $580–$590 for 5 days

What Happened

$575.09

+1.49%

2026-03-26

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $575

Ceiling $588

Range 2.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $575–$588 for 5 days

What Happened

$575.71

-0.94%

Broke down — max move 4.4% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-25

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $575

Ceiling $588

Range 2.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $575–$588 for 5 days

What Happened

$570.70

-1.26%

Broke up — max move 3.9% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-24

📌 PIN

Strength 65%

Magnet

Floor $575

Ceiling $588

Range 2.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $588 by end of day

What Happened

$577.99

-0.86%

Closed 1.6% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.9%

2026-03-23

↔ CAGE

Strength 40%

Magnet

Floor $532

Ceiling $575

Range 7.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $532–$575 for 5 days

What Happened

$555.50

-2.38%

Broke up — max move 2.5% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-20

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $565

Ceiling $575

Range 1.8%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $565–$575 for 5 days

What Happened

$566.64

+1.23%

Broke up — max move 4.2% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-19

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $530

Ceiling $580

Range 8.8%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $530 by end of day

What Happened

$559.73

-1.38%

Closed 5.2% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.4%

2026-03-18

📌 PIN

Strength 15%

Magnet

Floor $530

Ceiling $600

Range 12.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $530 by end of day

What Happened

$567.58

-0.60%

Closed 6.6% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.6%

2026-03-17

📌 PIN

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $530

Ceiling $600

Range 12.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $530 by end of day

What Happened

$571.02

-0.56%

Closed 7.1% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.6%

2026-03-16

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $530

Ceiling $580

Range 8.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $530 by end of day

What Happened

$574.26

+0.31%

Closed 7.7% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.3%

2026-03-13

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $530

Ceiling $580

Range 8.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $530 by end of day

What Happened

$572.48

-0.87%

Closed 7.4% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.9%

2026-03-12

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $550

Ceiling $598

Range 8.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $550 by end of day

What Happened

$577.50

-1.42%

Closed 4.7% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.4%

2026-03-11

📌 PIN

Strength 30%

Magnet

Floor $550

Ceiling $640

Range 15.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $550 by end of day

What Happened

$585.83

-1.38%

Closed 6.0% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.4%

2026-03-10

📌 PIN

Strength 30%

Magnet

Floor $550

Ceiling $640

Range 15.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $550 by end of day

What Happened

$594.04

+0.22%

Closed 7.4% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.2%

2026-03-09

📌 PIN

Strength 15%

Magnet

Floor $550

Ceiling $640

Range 15.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $550 by end of day

What Happened

$592.72

-1.13%

Closed 7.1% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.1%

2026-03-06

📌 PIN

Strength 15%

Magnet

Floor $550

Ceiling $645

Range 16.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $550 by end of day

What Happened

$599.48

+1.65%

Closed 8.4% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.6%

2026-03-05

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $600

Ceiling $605

Range 0.8%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $600–$605 for 5 days

What Happened

$585.83

-0.82%

2026-03-04

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $600

Ceiling $635

Range 5.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $600–$635 for 5 days

What Happened

$594.04

-3.26%

Broke down — max move 4.0% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-03

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $635

Ceiling $640

Range 0.8%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $635–$640 for 5 days

What Happened

$592.72

-4.28%

Broke down — max move 4.8% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-02

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $605

Ceiling $635

Range 4.8%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $605–$635 for 5 days

What Happened

$599.48

-4.98%

Broke down — max move 6.4% (need ≤2%)

2026-02-27

↔ CAGE

Strength 40%

Magnet

Floor $600

Ceiling $640

Range 6.4%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $600–$640 for 5 days

What Happened

$589.77

-6.34%

Broke up — max move 2.5% (need ≤2%)

2026-02-26

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $620

Ceiling $700

Range 12.9%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $700 by end of day

What Happened

$629.71

+1.65%

Closed 11.3% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.7%

2026-02-25

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $620

Ceiling $700

Range 12.8%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $700 by end of day

What Happened

$619.46

-0.67%

Closed 12.9% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.7%

2026-02-24

📌 PIN

Strength 15%

Magnet

Floor $560

Ceiling $700

Range 21.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $700 by end of day

What Happened

$623.61

-3.25%

Closed 11.9% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -3.2%