HON Gamma Squeeze, Pin & Wall Analysis

HON Honeywell $218.54 -0.33% (updated 2026-05-12)

Today's OI Read — HON

Where the walls are, where price sits, and what the dealer positioning implies for Honeywell

In Between Walls?

YES

$210

DOM

$240

2ND

$218.54

Sandwiched between dominant walls — dealer hedging on both sides creates structural pinning.

Magnet Strength Details →

3.18× Very High (>2×)

Current OI 21,295

30d Avg OI 6,698

Elevated OI — dealers carry larger hedges, making price walls structurally stronger.

Put/Call Ratio

0.96

NEUTRAL

Between 0.8–1.2 — balanced positioning. No strong directional lean from options flow alone.

Dominant Wall

$210

▼ Below spot

The highest OI concentration strike — the structural anchor dealers are most committed to hedging.

Distance to #1 Wall

$+8.54

+3.91%

Price is above the dominant wall — acts as support.

Wall Skew

-0.937

PUT HEAVY

Put-heavy at the dominant wall — put sellers defend this level. Acts as structural support/magnet.

Today's Top Setup — HON

SQUEEZE, PIN, and CAGE scored 0–100 from OI structure. Highest score = today's highest-conviction setup.

PIN — 53.7% hit rate (n=1,719). CAGE — 45.4% (n=1,161). SQUEEZE — 49.5% (n=5,555). Half hit, half don't — the edge is asymmetric payoff.

Strength scores are locked

PRO

See exactly which setup is most likely — and by how much

Unlock

🚀 SQUEEZE

candidate

Strength ██%

5d horizon

Target · Stock pops ≥+5% within 10 trading days — the kind of move where the winners run far enough to outweigh the misses.

📌 PIN

AUC 0.83 measured

Strength ██%

1d horizon

Target · Price closes within 0.5% of $210 (dom strike) by +1d.

↔ CAGE

AUC 0.55 measured

Strength ██%

5d horizon

Target · Price stays between $210 – $240 through +5d.

No cage setup today — walls are 13.7% apart. Dealers only defend tight ranges (<8%).

Top OI Walls

Largest open interest concentrations · sorted by strike price · * OI projected from prior day

2026-05-12

Rank	Strike	Call OI	Put OI	Total OI	P/C	% of Max
#2	$240 Resistance	3,193	0	3,193	0.00	82%
#3	$230 Resistance	2,149	723	2,872	0.34	74%
#5	$225 Resistance	2,719	0	2,719	0.00	70%
▶ $218.54
#1	$210 Support	123	3,784	3,907	30.76	100%
#4	$205 Support	25	2,762	2,787	110.48	71%

Dealer Magnet Strength

When total OI is elevated vs its 30-day rolling average, dealer hedging is heavier — walls act like magnets. Very High = stronger PIN / CAGE conviction. Near-normal = weaker structural hold.

Current Magnet Strength

Very High (>2×)

Low (<0.7×)

75.4%

268 days · 1d

Normal (0.7–1×)

82.8%

29 days · 1d

Elevated (1–1.5×)

63.6%

11 days · 1d

High (1.5–2×)

77.8%

9 days · 1d

Very High (>2×)

83.3%

85 days · 1d

Containment Rate by OI Magnitude Bucket

OI ratio = today's total OI ÷ 30-day rolling average. Does elevated OI predict price staying inside the dominant wall range?

OI Level	Days	1d	2d	5d	10d	20d
Low (<0.7×)	268	75.4%	66.0%	45.5%	32.6%	24.0%
Normal (0.7–1×)	29	82.8%	65.5%	55.2%	37.9%	17.9%
Elevated (1–1.5×)	11	63.6%	54.5%	45.5%	36.4%	27.3%
High (1.5–2×)	9	77.8%	88.9%	55.6%	44.4%	12.5%
Very High (>2×)	85	83.3%	73.5%	53.7%	48.8%	46.9%

SQUEEZE / PIN / CAGE Setup Backtest — HON

Last 50 sessions — which setup fired, what the score was, and whether it hit. See the actual win/loss record.

0 days ·

Min Strength 60

Magnet:

2026-05-05

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $215

Ceiling $222

Range 3.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $215–$222 for 5 days

What Happened

$218.54

+4.53%

Broke up — max move 3.7% (need ≤2%)

2026-05-04

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $215

Ceiling $222

Range 3.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $215–$222 for 5 days

What Happened

$219.11

+4.54%

Broke down — max move 3.5% (need ≤2%)

2026-05-01

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $215

Ceiling $222

Range 3.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $215–$222 for 5 days

What Happened

$213.12

+0.29%

Broke down — max move 2.1% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-30

↔ CAGE

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $212

Ceiling $215

Range 1.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $212–$215 for 5 days

What Happened

$216.07

+0.81%

Broke down — max move 2.5% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-29

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $215

Ceiling $220

Range 2.4%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $215–$220 for 5 days

What Happened

$216.86

+3.12%

2026-04-28

📌 PIN

Strength 70%

Magnet

Floor $215

Ceiling $230

Range 7.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $215 by end of day

What Happened

$210.30

-1.24%

Closed 2.2% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.2%

2026-04-27

↔ CAGE

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $215

Ceiling $220

Range 2.4%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $215–$220 for 5 days

What Happened

$209.59

-1.16%

2026-04-24

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $215

Ceiling $220

Range 2.3%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $215–$220 for 5 days

What Happened

$212.50

-0.31%

2026-04-23

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $230

Ceiling $232

Range 1.2%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $230–$232 for 5 days

What Happened

$214.33

-0.00%

2026-04-22

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $230

Ceiling $232

Range 1.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $230–$232 for 5 days

What Happened

$210.30

-4.40%

Broke down — max move 3.6% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-21

↔ CAGE

Strength 40%

Magnet

Floor $230

Ceiling $245

Range 6.8%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $230–$245 for 5 days

What Happened

$212.93

-4.18%

Broke down — max move 4.1% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-20

↔ CAGE

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $230

Ceiling $232

Range 1.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $230–$232 for 5 days

What Happened

$212.05

-7.70%

Broke down — max move 6.7% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-17

📌 PIN

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $230

Ceiling $232

Range 1.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $232 by end of day

What Happened

$229.74

-1.63%

Closed 1.2% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.6%

2026-04-16

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $215

Ceiling $220

Range 2.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $215–$220 for 5 days

What Happened

$214.34

-6.56%

Broke up — max move 3.1% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-15

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $230

Ceiling $240

Range 4.3%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $230–$240 for 5 days

What Happened

$219.97

-5.26%

2026-04-14

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $215

Ceiling $220

Range 2.1%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $215–$220 for 5 days

What Happened

$222.22

-4.72%

2026-04-13

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $215

Ceiling $220

Range 2.1%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $215–$220 for 5 days

What Happened

$229.74

-1.67%

2026-04-10

📌 PIN

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $220

Ceiling $240

Range 8.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $220 by end of day

What Happened

$233.64

-0.60%

Closed 5.8% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.6%

2026-04-09

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $228

Ceiling $230

Range 1.1%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $228–$230 for 5 days

What Happened

$229.38

-2.83%

2026-04-08

↔ CAGE

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $228

Ceiling $230

Range 1.1%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $228–$230 for 5 days

What Happened

$232.19

-0.12%

2026-04-07

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $228

Ceiling $230

Range 1.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $228–$230 for 5 days

What Happened

$233.24

+4.20%

Broke up — max move 5.5% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-06

📌 PIN

Strength 45%

Magnet

Floor $225

Ceiling $230

Range 2.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $225 by end of day

What Happened

$223.84

-1.91%

Closed 0.5% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.9%

2026-04-02

📌 PIN

Strength 90%

Magnet

Floor $220

Ceiling $230

Range 4.4%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $230 by end of day

What Happened

$228.21

-0.54%

Closed 0.8% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.5%

2026-04-01

📌 PIN

Strength 70%

Magnet

Floor $220

Ceiling $230

Range 4.4%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $230 by end of day

What Happened

$229.45

+0.55%

2026-03-31

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $220

Ceiling $225

Range 2.2%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $220–$225 for 5 days

What Happened

$232.47

+2.85%

2026-03-30

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $220

Ceiling $225

Range 2.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $220–$225 for 5 days

What Happened

$223.84

+0.16%

Broke up — max move 2.7% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-27

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $220

Ceiling $230

Range 4.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $220–$230 for 5 days

What Happened

$228.21

+2.28%

Broke up — max move 2.3% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-26

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $220

Ceiling $228

Range 3.3%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $220–$228 for 5 days

What Happened

$229.45

+1.90%

2026-03-25

📌 PIN

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $220

Ceiling $228

Range 3.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $228 by end of day

What Happened

$225.17

-0.27%

Closed 1.0% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.3%

2026-03-24

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $220

Ceiling $228

Range 3.4%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $220–$228 for 5 days

What Happened

$226.03

+2.01%

2026-03-23

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $220

Ceiling $228

Range 3.4%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $220–$228 for 5 days

What Happened

$223.48

+0.21%

2026-03-20

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $225

Ceiling $245

Range 9.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $245 by end of day

What Happened

$223.01

+0.68%

Closed 9.9% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.7%

2026-03-19

📌 PIN

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $230

Ceiling $240

Range 4.4%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $230 by end of day

What Happened

$221.50

-3.29%

Closed 3.7% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -3.3%

2026-03-18

📌 PIN

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $230

Ceiling $240

Range 4.3%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $230 by end of day

What Happened

$229.03

-0.39%

2026-03-17

📌 PIN

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $230

Ceiling $240

Range 4.3%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $230 by end of day

What Happened

$229.92

-0.65%

2026-03-16

📌 PIN

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $220

Ceiling $230

Range 4.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $230 by end of day

What Happened

$231.42

-1.32%

Closed 0.6% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.3%

2026-03-13

📌 PIN

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $220

Ceiling $230

Range 4.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $230 by end of day

What Happened

$234.51

+0.00%

Closed 1.9% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.0%

2026-03-12

📌 PIN

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $235

Ceiling $240

Range 2.1%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $235 by end of day

What Happened

$234.50

+0.47%

2026-03-11

📌 PIN

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $235

Ceiling $250

Range 6.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $235 by end of day

What Happened

$233.40

-2.52%

Closed 0.7% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -2.5%

2026-03-10

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $235

Ceiling $240

Range 2.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $235–$240 for 5 days

What Happened

$231.42

-3.82%

Broke down — max move 3.0% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-09

📌 PIN

Strength 45%

Magnet

Floor $235

Ceiling $240

Range 2.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $235 by end of day

What Happened

$240.61

+1.27%

Closed 2.4% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.3%

2026-03-06

📌 PIN

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $235

Ceiling $240

Range 2.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $235 by end of day

What Happened

$237.59

+0.98%

Closed 1.1% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.0%

2026-03-05

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $240

Ceiling $250

Range 4.2%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $240–$250 for 5 days

What Happened

$233.40

-2.09%

2026-03-04

📌 PIN

Strength 45%

Magnet

Floor $240

Ceiling $250

Range 4.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $250 by end of day

What Happened

$238.38

-3.09%

Closed 4.7% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -3.1%

2026-03-03

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $245

Ceiling $250

Range 2.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $245–$250 for 5 days

What Happened

$240.61

-1.33%

Broke up — max move 3.5% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-02

📌 PIN

Strength 70%

Magnet

Floor $245

Ceiling $250

Range 2.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $250 by end of day

What Happened

$243.85

-1.69%

Closed 2.5% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.7%

2026-02-27

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $240

Ceiling $250

Range 4.1%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $240–$250 for 5 days

What Happened

$235.29

-3.41%

2026-02-26

📌 PIN

Strength 45%

Magnet

Floor $235

Ceiling $245

Range 4.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $245 by end of day

What Happened

$243.59

+1.13%

Closed 0.6% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.1%

2026-02-25

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $245

Ceiling $248

Range 1.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $245–$248 for 5 days

What Happened

$245.97

+1.56%

Broke down — max move 2.4% (need ≤2%)

2026-02-24

📌 PIN

Strength 70%

Magnet

Floor $235

Ceiling $245

Range 4.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $245 by end of day

What Happened

$242.20

-0.58%

Closed 1.1% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.6%