LRCX Gamma Squeeze, Pin & Wall Analysis

LRCX Lam Research $289.24 +0.71% (updated 2026-05-12)

Today's OI Read — LRCX

Where the walls are, where price sits, and what the dealer positioning implies for Lam Research

In Between Walls?

$250

2ND

$260

DOM

$289.24

Outside the dominant wall range — directional momentum more likely than mean reversion.

Magnet Strength Details →

1.80× High (1.5–2×)

Current OI 61,263

30d Avg OI 34,007

Elevated OI — dealers carry larger hedges, making price walls structurally stronger.

Put/Call Ratio

0.56

CALL HEAVY

Below 0.8 — call OI dominates. Bullish positioning; dealers are short calls and will sell delta into rallies.

Dominant Wall

$260

▼ Below spot

The highest OI concentration strike — the structural anchor dealers are most committed to hedging.

Distance to #1 Wall

$+29.24

+10.11%

Price is above the dominant wall — acts as support.

Wall Skew

-0.613

PUT HEAVY

Put-heavy at the dominant wall — put sellers defend this level. Acts as structural support/magnet.

Today's Top Setup — LRCX

SQUEEZE, PIN, and CAGE scored 0–100 from OI structure. Highest score = today's highest-conviction setup.

PIN — 53.7% hit rate (n=1,719). CAGE — 45.4% (n=1,161). SQUEEZE — 49.5% (n=5,555). Half hit, half don't — the edge is asymmetric payoff.

Strength scores are locked

PRO

See exactly which setup is most likely — and by how much

Unlock

🚀 SQUEEZE

candidate

Strength ██%

5d horizon

Target · Stock pops ≥+5% within 10 trading days — the kind of move where the winners run far enough to outweigh the misses.

📌 PIN

AUC 0.83 measured

Strength ██%

1d horizon

Target · Price closes within 0.5% of $260 (dom strike) by +1d.

↔ CAGE

AUC 0.55 measured

Strength ██%

5d horizon

Target · Price stays between $250 – $260 through +5d.

Top OI Walls

Largest open interest concentrations · sorted by strike price · * OI projected from prior day

2026-05-12

Rank	Strike	Call OI	Put OI	Total OI	P/C	% of Max
#4	$310 Resistance	4,687	92	4,779	0.02	59%
▶ $289.24
#5	$280 Support	3,877	896	4,773	0.23	59%
#3	$270 Support	4,300	557	4,857	0.13	60%
#1	$260 Support	1,561	6,515	8,076	4.17	100%
#2	$250 Support	2,621	4,743	7,364	1.81	91%

Dealer Magnet Strength

When total OI is elevated vs its 30-day rolling average, dealer hedging is heavier — walls act like magnets. Very High = stronger PIN / CAGE conviction. Near-normal = weaker structural hold.

Current Magnet Strength

High (1.5–2×)

Low (<0.7×)

70.5%

183 days · 1d

Normal (0.7–1×)

68.4%

79 days · 1d

Elevated (1–1.5×)

70.5%

44 days · 1d

High (1.5–2×)

71.4%

29 days · 1d

Very High (>2×)

72.7%

68 days · 1d

Containment Rate by OI Magnitude Bucket

OI ratio = today's total OI ÷ 30-day rolling average. Does elevated OI predict price staying inside the dominant wall range?

OI Level	Days	1d	2d	5d	10d	20d
Low (<0.7×)	183	70.5%	59.6%	48.1%	33.0%	29.1%
Normal (0.7–1×)	79	68.4%	59.5%	42.3%	30.3%	31.9%
Elevated (1–1.5×)	44	70.5%	63.6%	48.8%	56.1%	23.7%
High (1.5–2×)	29	71.4%	51.9%	30.8%	38.5%	26.9%
Very High (>2×)	68	72.7%	68.2%	42.4%	39.4%	22.7%

SQUEEZE / PIN / CAGE Setup Backtest — LRCX

Last 50 sessions — which setup fired, what the score was, and whether it hit. See the actual win/loss record.

0 days ·

Min Strength 60

Magnet:

2026-05-05

↔ CAGE

Strength 40%

Magnet

Floor $230

Ceiling $250

Range 7.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $230–$250 for 5 days

What Happened

$289.24

+4.87%

Broke up — max move 7.7% (need ≤2%)

2026-05-04

↔ CAGE

Strength 40%

Magnet

Floor $230

Ceiling $250

Range 7.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $230–$250 for 5 days

What Happened

$296.05

+14.50%

Broke up — max move 14.9% (need ≤2%)

2026-05-01

📌 PIN

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $230

Ceiling $265

Range 13.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $230 by end of day

What Happened

$258.57

+0.72%

Closed 11.1% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.7%

2026-04-30

📌 PIN

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $220

Ceiling $260

Range 15.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $260 by end of day

What Happened

$256.72

-0.44%

Closed 1.3% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.4%

2026-04-29

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $250

Ceiling $260

Range 4.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $250–$260 for 5 days

What Happened

$297.17

+19.47%

Broke up — max move 3.9% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-28

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $250

Ceiling $260

Range 4.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $250–$260 for 5 days

What Happened

$275.80

+9.78%

Broke down — max move 2.6% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-27

📌 PIN

Strength 90%

Magnet

Floor $260

Ceiling $270

Range 3.9%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $260 by end of day

What Happened

$251.23

-3.18%

Closed 3.4% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -3.2%

2026-04-24

📌 PIN

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $270

Ceiling $320

Range 18.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $270 by end of day

What Happened

$259.47

-3.10%

Closed 3.9% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -3.1%

2026-04-23

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $250

Ceiling $265

Range 5.8%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $250–$265 for 5 days

What Happened

$257.86

-0.27%

Broke up — max move 3.6% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-22

📌 PIN

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $250

Ceiling $265

Range 5.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $265 by end of day

What Happened

$258.56

-2.63%

Closed 2.4% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -2.6%

2026-04-21

↔ CAGE

Strength 40%

Magnet

Floor $250

Ceiling $265

Range 5.8%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $250–$265 for 5 days

What Happened

$251.23

-2.76%

Broke up — max move 3.6% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-20

📌 PIN

Strength 30%

Magnet

Floor $242

Ceiling $280

Range 14.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $242 by end of day

What Happened

$258.37

-1.82%

Closed 6.0% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.8%

2026-04-17

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $242

Ceiling $250

Range 2.8%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $242–$250 for 5 days

What Happened

$267.78

+0.07%

Broke down — max move 3.4% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-16

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $240

Ceiling $250

Range 3.8%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $240–$250 for 5 days

What Happened

$258.56

-0.92%

Broke up — max move 2.5% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-15

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $240

Ceiling $260

Range 7.5%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $240–$260 for 5 days

What Happened

$265.55

+0.15%

2026-04-14

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $240

Ceiling $250

Range 3.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $240–$250 for 5 days

What Happened

$258.37

-5.15%

Broke down — max move 4.2% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-13

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $240

Ceiling $250

Range 3.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $240–$250 for 5 days

What Happened

$263.16

-1.56%

Broke up — max move 2.4% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-10

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $240

Ceiling $250

Range 3.8%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $240–$250 for 5 days

What Happened

$267.60

+1.49%

Broke up — max move 3.3% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-09

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $225

Ceiling $232

Range 2.9%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $225–$232 for 5 days

What Happened

$260.96

+0.85%

Broke up — max move 5.3% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-08

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $205

Ceiling $232

Range 11.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $205 by end of day

What Happened

$258.76

+4.98%

Closed 21.8% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +5.0%

2026-04-07

↔ CAGE

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $195

Ceiling $205

Range 4.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $195–$205 for 5 days

What Happened

$272.41

+21.42%

Broke up — max move 17.5% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-06

↔ CAGE

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $205

Ceiling $212

Range 3.4%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $205–$212 for 5 days

What Happened

$267.32

+21.15%

Broke up — max move 17.3% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-02

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $205

Ceiling $212

Range 3.4%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $205–$212 for 5 days

What Happened

$263.66

+20.70%

Broke up — max move 12.8% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-01

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $205

Ceiling $212

Range 3.4%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $205–$212 for 5 days

What Happened

$258.76

+16.55%

2026-03-31

↔ CAGE

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $205

Ceiling $212

Range 3.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $205–$212 for 5 days

What Happened

$246.49

+15.37%

Broke up — max move 3.9% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-30

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $205

Ceiling $225

Range 10.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $205 by end of day

What Happened

$213.66

+6.87%

Closed 4.3% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +6.9%

2026-03-27

📌 PIN

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $192

Ceiling $225

Range 15.4%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $225 by end of day

What Happened

$199.93

-5.43%

Closed 11.9% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -5.4%

2026-03-26

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $220

Ceiling $245

Range 11.8%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $220 by end of day

What Happened

$211.41

-0.10%

Closed 4.1% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.1%

2026-03-25

📌 PIN

Strength 30%

Magnet

Floor $220

Ceiling $245

Range 10.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $220 by end of day

What Happened

$211.62

-9.35%

Closed 3.6% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -9.4%

2026-03-24

↔ CAGE

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $215

Ceiling $220

Range 2.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $215–$220 for 5 days

What Happened

$213.66

-10.54%

Broke down — max move 11.5% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-23

↔ CAGE

Strength 40%

Magnet

Floor $205

Ceiling $220

Range 6.4%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $205–$220 for 5 days

What Happened

$199.93

-14.31%

Broke up — max move 9.3% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-20

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $212

Ceiling $220

Range 3.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $212–$220 for 5 days

What Happened

$211.41

-7.42%

Broke up — max move 4.6% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-19

📌 PIN

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $190

Ceiling $220

Range 12.8%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $220 by end of day

What Happened

$228.36

-2.41%

Closed 3.6% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -2.4%

2026-03-18

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $180

Ceiling $190

Range 4.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $180–$190 for 5 days

What Happened

$233.45

+3.89%

Broke up — max move 4.1% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-17

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $190

Ceiling $200

Range 4.4%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $190–$200 for 5 days

What Happened

$238.84

+5.46%

Broke down — max move 3.3% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-16

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $180

Ceiling $190

Range 4.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $180–$190 for 5 days

What Happened

$233.31

+6.34%

Broke up — max move 6.6% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-13

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $180

Ceiling $190

Range 4.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $180–$190 for 5 days

What Happened

$228.36

+7.62%

Broke up — max move 6.7% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-12

📌 PIN

Strength 30%

Magnet

Floor $190

Ceiling $220

Range 14.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $190 by end of day

What Happened

$212.20

+1.29%

Closed 10.6% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.3%

2026-03-11

📌 PIN

Strength 10%

Magnet

Floor $190

Ceiling $220

Range 13.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $190 by end of day

What Happened

$209.49

-4.29%

Closed 8.9% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -4.3%

2026-03-10

📌 PIN

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $190

Ceiling $220

Range 13.9%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $190 by end of day

What Happened

$218.87

+1.69%

Closed 13.4% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.7%

2026-03-09

📌 PIN

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $190

Ceiling $220

Range 14.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $190 by end of day

What Happened

$215.23

+1.93%

Closed 11.9% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.9%

2026-03-06

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $190

Ceiling $220

Range 15.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $190 by end of day

What Happened

$211.15

+5.93%

Closed 10.6% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +5.9%

2026-03-05

📌 PIN

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $218

Ceiling $250

Range 15.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $218 by end of day

What Happened

$199.33

-7.15%

Closed 8.5% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -7.2%

2026-03-04

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $218

Ceiling $250

Range 14.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $218 by end of day

What Happened

$214.68

-3.73%

Closed 1.3% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -3.7%

2026-03-03

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $218

Ceiling $250

Range 15.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $250 by end of day

What Happened

$222.99

+2.63%

Closed 12.4% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +2.6%

2026-03-02

📌 PIN

Strength 15%

Magnet

Floor $218

Ceiling $250

Range 14.1%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $218 by end of day

What Happened

$217.27

-5.94%

2026-02-27

📌 PIN

Strength 15%

Magnet

Floor $218

Ceiling $250

Range 13.9%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $250 by end of day

What Happened

$231.00

-1.24%

Closed 8.1% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.2%

2026-02-26

📌 PIN

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $222

Ceiling $250

Range 11.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $222 by end of day

What Happened

$233.89

-2.17%

Closed 4.8% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -2.2%

2026-02-25

📌 PIN

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $222

Ceiling $250

Range 11.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $222 by end of day

What Happened

$239.07

-4.17%

Closed 6.6% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -4.2%

2026-02-24

📌 PIN

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $222

Ceiling $245

Range 9.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $222 by end of day

What Happened

$249.48

+2.14%

Closed 11.0% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +2.1%