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MCD $274.84 -1.21% (updated 2026-05-12)

Today's OI Read — MCD

Where the walls are, where price sits, and what the dealer positioning implies for McDonald's

In Between Walls?
NO
$282
DOM
$290
2ND
$274.84

Outside the dominant wall range — directional momentum more likely than mean reversion.

Magnet Strength
2.05× Very High (>2×)
Current OI 33,348
30d Avg OI 16,296

Elevated OI — dealers carry larger hedges, making price walls structurally stronger.

Put/Call Ratio
0.81
NEUTRAL

Between 0.8–1.2 — balanced positioning. No strong directional lean from options flow alone.

Dominant Wall
$282
▲ Above spot

The highest OI concentration strike — the structural anchor dealers are most committed to hedging.

Distance to #1 Wall
$-7.66
-2.79%

Price is below the dominant wall — acts as resistance.

Wall Skew
+0.766
CALL HEAVY

Call-heavy at the dominant wall — call sellers cap rallies toward it. Acts as resistance.

Today's Top Setup — MCD

SQUEEZE, PIN, and CAGE scored 0–100 from OI structure. Highest score = today's highest-conviction setup.

PIN — 53.7% hit rate (n=1,719). CAGE — 45.4% (n=1,161). SQUEEZE — 49.5% (n=5,555). Half hit, half don't — the edge is asymmetric payoff.

Strength scores are locked

PRO

See exactly which setup is most likely — and by how much

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🚀 SQUEEZE
candidate
Strength ██%
5d horizon
Target · Stock pops ≥+5% within 10 trading days — the kind of move where the winners run far enough to outweigh the misses.
📌 PIN
AUC 0.83 measured
Strength ██%
1d horizon
Target · Price closes within 0.5% of $282 (dom strike) by +1d.
↔ CAGE
AUC 0.55 measured
Strength ██%
5d horizon
Target · Price stays between $282 – $290 through +5d.

Top OI Walls

Largest open interest concentrations · sorted by strike price · * OI projected from prior day

2026-05-12
Rank Strike Call OI Put OI Total OI P/C % of Max
#3 $310 Resistance 2,233 323 2,556 0.14
88%
#2 $290 Resistance 1,113 1,594 2,707 1.43
93%
#1 $282 Resistance 2,563 339 2,902 0.13
100%
#4 $280 Resistance 577 1,781 2,358 3.09
81%
#5 $275 Resistance 295 2,023 2,318 6.86
80%
▶ $274.84

SQUEEZE / PIN / CAGE Setup Backtest — MCD

Last 50 sessions — which setup fired, what the score was, and whether it hit. See the actual win/loss record.

0 days ·
Min Strength 60
Magnet:
2026-05-05
↔ CAGE
Strength 40%
Magnet
Floor $285
Ceiling $300
Range 5.3%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $285–$300 for 5 days
What Happened
$274.84
-3.62%
Broke down — max move 3.3% (need ≤2%)
2026-05-04
📌 PIN
Strength 50%
Magnet
Floor $280
Ceiling $305
Range 8.8%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $280 by end of day
What Happened
$285.17
+0.38%
Closed 1.8% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.4%
2026-05-01
↔ CAGE
Strength 40%
Magnet
Floor $305
Ceiling $325
Range 7.0%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $305–$325 for 5 days
What Happened
$275.75
-3.80%
2026-04-30
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $295
Ceiling $300
Range 1.7%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $295–$300 for 5 days
What Happened
$283.70
-3.37%
Broke down — max move 3.2% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-29
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $300
Ceiling $305
Range 1.7%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $300–$305 for 5 days
What Happened
$284.10
-2.06%
Broke up — max move 2.1% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-28
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $300
Ceiling $305
Range 1.7%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $300–$305 for 5 days
What Happened
$285.17
-2.47%
2026-04-27
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $305
Ceiling $310
Range 1.7%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $305–$310 for 5 days
What Happened
$284.10
-2.11%
2026-04-24
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $305
Ceiling $310
Range 1.7%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $305–$310 for 5 days
What Happened
$286.64
-4.25%
Broke down — max move 3.1% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-23
↔ CAGE
Strength 20%
Magnet
Floor $302
Ceiling $320
Range 5.8%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $302–$320 for 5 days
What Happened
$293.59
-2.96%
Broke down — max move 4.1% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-22
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $305
Ceiling $320
Range 5.0%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $305–$320 for 5 days
What Happened
$290.08
-3.33%
Broke up — max move 3.3% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-21
↔ CAGE
Strength 20%
Magnet
Floor $300
Ceiling $320
Range 6.6%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $300–$320 for 5 days
What Happened
$292.39
-3.13%
2026-04-20
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $305
Ceiling $320
Range 4.9%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $305–$320 for 5 days
What Happened
$290.21
-5.45%
Broke down — max move 2.2% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-17
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $305
Ceiling $308
Range 0.8%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $305–$308 for 5 days
What Happened
$299.36
-3.85%
Broke down — max move 3.6% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-16
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $310
Ceiling $315
Range 1.6%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $310–$315 for 5 days
What Happened
$302.53
-1.44%
2026-04-15
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $310
Ceiling $325
Range 4.9%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $310–$325 for 5 days
What Happened
$300.07
-2.02%
2026-04-14
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $310
Ceiling $325
Range 4.9%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $310–$325 for 5 days
What Happened
$301.84
-0.46%
Broke up — max move 2.7% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-13
📌 PIN
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $310
Ceiling $325
Range 4.9%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $310 by end of day
What Happened
$303.22
-0.42%
Closed 2.2% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.4%
2026-04-10
📌 PIN
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $310
Ceiling $325
Range 4.9%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $310 by end of day
What Happened
$304.51
-0.38%
Closed 1.8% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.4%
2026-04-09
↔ CAGE
Strength 75%
Magnet
Floor $305
Ceiling $310
Range 1.6%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $305–$310 for 5 days
What Happened
$306.96
-0.84%
Broke down — max move 2.0% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-08
↔ CAGE
Strength 75%
Magnet
Floor $305
Ceiling $310
Range 1.6%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $305–$310 for 5 days
What Happened
$306.26
-0.24%
2026-04-07
↔ CAGE
Strength 75%
Magnet
Floor $310
Ceiling $315
Range 1.6%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $310–$315 for 5 days
What Happened
$303.22
-0.53%
2026-04-06
📌 PIN
Strength 90%
Magnet
Floor $308
Ceiling $310
Range 0.8%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $310 by end of day
What Happened
$304.85
-1.59%
Closed 1.7% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.6%
2026-04-02
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $295
Ceiling $310
Range 4.9%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $295–$310 for 5 days
What Happened
$305.68
-0.48%
2026-04-01
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $295
Ceiling $310
Range 4.9%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $295–$310 for 5 days
What Happened
$309.55
+0.74%
2026-03-31
↔ CAGE
Strength 20%
Magnet
Floor $295
Ceiling $315
Range 6.4%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $295–$315 for 5 days
What Happened
$307.01
-1.22%
2026-03-30
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $295
Ceiling $310
Range 4.9%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $295–$310 for 5 days
What Happened
$304.85
-1.19%
2026-03-27
📌 PIN
Strength 15%
Magnet
Floor $295
Ceiling $320
Range 8.2%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $295 by end of day
What Happened
$308.53
+0.86%
Closed 4.4% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.9%
2026-03-26
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $310
Ceiling $320
Range 3.2%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $310–$320 for 5 days
What Happened
$307.14
-0.58%
2026-03-25
📌 PIN
Strength 20%
Magnet
Floor $295
Ceiling $320
Range 8.0%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $320 by end of day
What Happened
$308.93
-0.89%
Closed 3.6% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.9%
2026-03-24
📌 PIN
Strength 30%
Magnet
Floor $295
Ceiling $320
Range 8.1%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $320 by end of day
What Happened
$311.70
+1.25%
Closed 2.7% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.3%
2026-03-23
📌 PIN
Strength 30%
Magnet
Floor $295
Ceiling $320
Range 8.1%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $320 by end of day
What Happened
$307.84
-0.20%
Closed 3.9% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.2%
2026-03-20
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $320
Ceiling $325
Range 1.6%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $320–$325 for 5 days
What Happened
$305.90
-0.96%
2026-03-19
📌 PIN
Strength 30%
Magnet
Floor $295
Ceiling $325
Range 9.7%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $325 by end of day
What Happened
$308.85
-0.24%
Closed 5.2% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.2%
2026-03-18
📌 PIN
Strength 20%
Magnet
Floor $295
Ceiling $325
Range 9.5%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $325 by end of day
What Happened
$309.58
-1.95%
Closed 4.9% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.9%
2026-03-17
📌 PIN
Strength 90%
Magnet
Floor $295
Ceiling $325
Range 9.2%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $325 by end of day
What Happened
$315.73
-3.24%
Closed 2.8% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -3.2%
2026-03-16
📌 PIN
Strength 70%
Magnet
Floor $295
Ceiling $325
Range 9.2%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $325 by end of day
What Happened
$326.30
-0.11%
2026-03-13
📌 PIN
Strength 90%
Magnet
Floor $295
Ceiling $325
Range 9.2%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $325 by end of day
What Happened
$326.65
+0.06%
Closed 0.5% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.1%
2026-03-12
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $330
Ceiling $335
Range 1.5%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $330–$335 for 5 days
What Happened
$309.58
-4.42%
2026-03-11
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $330
Ceiling $335
Range 1.5%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $330–$335 for 5 days
What Happened
$315.73
-2.92%
2026-03-10
📌 PIN
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $330
Ceiling $335
Range 1.5%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $330 by end of day
What Happened
$325.21
-0.83%
Closed 1.5% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.8%
2026-03-09
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $330
Ceiling $335
Range 1.5%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $330–$335 for 5 days
What Happened
$326.65
-1.25%
Broke down — max move 2.1% (need ≤2%)
2026-03-06
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $330
Ceiling $335
Range 1.5%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $330–$335 for 5 days
What Happened
$326.46
-0.49%
2026-03-05
📌 PIN
Strength 70%
Magnet
Floor $330
Ceiling $340
Range 3.1%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $330 by end of day
What Happened
$328.06
+0.19%
Closed 0.6% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.2%
2026-03-04
📌 PIN
Strength 70%
Magnet
Floor $330
Ceiling $340
Range 3.0%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $330 by end of day
What Happened
$327.45
-1.29%
Closed 0.8% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.3%
2026-03-03
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $330
Ceiling $340
Range 3.0%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $330–$340 for 5 days
What Happened
$327.94
-1.27%
2026-03-02
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $325
Ceiling $340
Range 4.5%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $325–$340 for 5 days
What Happened
$330.80
-1.20%
Broke down — max move 2.2% (need ≤2%)
2026-02-27
↔ CAGE
Strength 75%
Magnet
Floor $325
Ceiling $330
Range 1.5%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $325–$330 for 5 days
What Happened
$328.06
-3.81%
Broke down — max move 2.7% (need ≤2%)
2026-02-26
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $330
Ceiling $332
Range 0.7%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $330–$332 for 5 days
What Happened
$327.45
-2.12%
2026-02-25
📌 PIN
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $330
Ceiling $332
Range 0.8%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $330 by end of day
What Happened
$334.53
+0.46%
Closed 1.4% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.5%
2026-02-24
📌 PIN
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $330
Ceiling $332
Range 0.8%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $330 by end of day
What Happened
$333.01
-0.01%
Closed 0.9% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.0%