MS Gamma Squeeze, Pin & Wall Analysis

MS Morgan Stanley $191.88 +0.88% (updated 2026-05-12)

Today's OI Read — MS

Where the walls are, where price sits, and what the dealer positioning implies for Morgan Stanley

In Between Walls?

YES

$185

2ND

$200

DOM

$191.88

Sandwiched between dominant walls — dealer hedging on both sides creates structural pinning.

Magnet Strength Details →

1.45× Elevated (1–1.5×)

Current OI 28,636

30d Avg OI 19,720

Slightly above average — mild additional pinning force at key strikes.

Put/Call Ratio

0.87

NEUTRAL

Between 0.8–1.2 — balanced positioning. No strong directional lean from options flow alone.

Dominant Wall

$200

▲ Above spot

The highest OI concentration strike — the structural anchor dealers are most committed to hedging.

Distance to #1 Wall

$-8.12

-4.23%

Price is below the dominant wall — acts as resistance.

Wall Skew

+1.000

CALL HEAVY

Call-heavy at the dominant wall — call sellers cap rallies toward it. Acts as resistance.

Today's Top Setup — MS

SQUEEZE, PIN, and CAGE scored 0–100 from OI structure. Highest score = today's highest-conviction setup.

PIN — 53.7% hit rate (n=1,719). CAGE — 45.4% (n=1,161). SQUEEZE — 49.5% (n=5,555). Half hit, half don't — the edge is asymmetric payoff.

Strength scores are locked

PRO

See exactly which setup is most likely — and by how much

Unlock

🚀 SQUEEZE

candidate

Strength ██%

5d horizon

Target · Stock pops ≥+5% within 10 trading days — the kind of move where the winners run far enough to outweigh the misses.

📌 PIN

AUC 0.83 measured

Strength ██%

1d horizon

Target · Price closes within 0.5% of $200 (dom strike) by +1d.

↔ CAGE

AUC 0.55 measured

Strength ██%

5d horizon

Target · Price stays between $185 – $200 through +5d.

Top OI Walls

Largest open interest concentrations · sorted by strike price · * OI projected from prior day

2026-05-12

Rank	Strike	Call OI	Put OI	Total OI	P/C	% of Max
#1	$200 Resistance	3,411	0	3,411	0.00	100%
▶ $191.88
#5	$190 Support	2,077	612	2,689	0.29	79%
#2	$185 Support	2,300	1,039	3,339	0.45	98%
#4	$180 Support	1,152	1,803	2,955	1.57	87%
#3	$160 Support	54	2,920	2,974	54.07	87%

Dealer Magnet Strength

When total OI is elevated vs its 30-day rolling average, dealer hedging is heavier — walls act like magnets. Very High = stronger PIN / CAGE conviction. Near-normal = weaker structural hold.

Current Magnet Strength

Elevated (1–1.5×)

Low (<0.7×)

71.5%

250 days · 1d

Normal (0.7–1×)

64.3%

28 days · 1d

Elevated (1–1.5×)

65.4%

27 days · 1d

High (1.5–2×)

78.6%

14 days · 1d

Very High (>2×)

78.6%

84 days · 1d

Containment Rate by OI Magnitude Bucket

OI ratio = today's total OI ÷ 30-day rolling average. Does elevated OI predict price staying inside the dominant wall range?

OI Level	Days	1d	2d	5d	10d	20d
Low (<0.7×)	250	71.5%	61.4%	51.8%	33.1%	19.7%
Normal (0.7–1×)	28	64.3%	42.9%	32.1%	39.3%	21.4%
Elevated (1–1.5×)	27	65.4%	53.8%	64.0%	52.0%	32.0%
High (1.5–2×)	14	78.6%	69.2%	53.8%	84.6%	46.2%
Very High (>2×)	84	78.6%	63.1%	52.4%	56.0%	23.2%

SQUEEZE / PIN / CAGE Setup Backtest — MS

Last 50 sessions — which setup fired, what the score was, and whether it hit. See the actual win/loss record.

0 days ·

Min Strength 60

Magnet:

2026-05-05

📌 PIN

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $190

Ceiling $192

Range 1.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $190 by end of day

What Happened

$193.35

+2.17%

Closed 1.8% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +2.2%

2026-05-04

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $190

Ceiling $192

Range 1.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $190–$192 for 5 days

What Happened

$191.10

+1.64%

Broke up — max move 2.8% (need ≤2%)

2026-05-01

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $190

Ceiling $192

Range 1.3%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $190–$192 for 5 days

What Happened

$193.09

+1.54%

2026-04-30

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $192

Ceiling $200

Range 3.9%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $192–$200 for 5 days

What Happened

$190.17

-0.22%

2026-04-29

📌 PIN

Strength 15%

Magnet

Floor $180

Ceiling $200

Range 10.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $200 by end of day

What Happened

$190.59

+1.88%

Closed 5.0% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.9%

2026-04-28

📌 PIN

Strength 30%

Magnet

Floor $180

Ceiling $200

Range 10.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $200 by end of day

What Happened

$187.08

-1.72%

Closed 6.8% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.7%

2026-04-27

📌 PIN

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $180

Ceiling $200

Range 10.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $200 by end of day

What Happened

$190.36

+0.09%

Closed 5.1% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.1%

2026-04-24

📌 PIN

Strength 15%

Magnet

Floor $180

Ceiling $200

Range 10.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $200 by end of day

What Happened

$190.18

+1.12%

Closed 5.2% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.1%

2026-04-23

📌 PIN

Strength 80%

Magnet

Floor $188

Ceiling $190

Range 1.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $190 by end of day

What Happened

$188.07

-0.31%

Closed 1.0% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.3%

2026-04-22

↔ CAGE

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $188

Ceiling $190

Range 1.3%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $188–$190 for 5 days

What Happened

$187.08

-2.08%

2026-04-21

↔ CAGE

Strength 40%

Magnet

Floor $170

Ceiling $185

Range 7.9%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $170–$185 for 5 days

What Happened

$190.36

+0.55%

2026-04-20

↔ CAGE

Strength 40%

Magnet

Floor $170

Ceiling $185

Range 7.9%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $170–$185 for 5 days

What Happened

$190.18

-0.27%

2026-04-17

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $160

Ceiling $170

Range 5.3%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $160–$170 for 5 days

What Happened

$188.07

-0.40%

2026-04-16

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $175

Ceiling $180

Range 2.7%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $175–$180 for 5 days

What Happened

$188.65

+0.71%

2026-04-15

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $175

Ceiling $180

Range 2.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $175–$180 for 5 days

What Happened

$191.05

-0.30%

Broke down — max move 2.2% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-14

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $175

Ceiling $180

Range 2.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $175–$180 for 5 days

What Happened

$189.31

+3.26%

Broke up — max move 4.5% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-13

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $175

Ceiling $180

Range 2.8%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $175–$180 for 5 days

What Happened

$190.70

+5.28%

Broke up — max move 5.8% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-10

📌 PIN

Strength 45%

Magnet

Floor $175

Ceiling $180

Range 2.8%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $175 by end of day

What Happened

$181.14

+1.97%

Closed 3.5% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +2.0%

2026-04-09

↔ CAGE

Strength 40%

Magnet

Floor $160

Ceiling $170

Range 5.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $160–$170 for 5 days

What Happened

$187.32

+5.14%

Broke down — max move 2.9% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-08

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $160

Ceiling $170

Range 5.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $160–$170 for 5 days

What Happened

$191.62

+8.86%

Broke up — max move 2.9% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-07

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $160

Ceiling $170

Range 5.9%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $160–$170 for 5 days

What Happened

$183.34

+8.85%

Broke up — max move 5.8% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-06

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $160

Ceiling $170

Range 6.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $160–$170 for 5 days

What Happened

$181.14

+8.76%

Broke up — max move 7.0% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-02

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $155

Ceiling $170

Range 9.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $170 by end of day

What Happened

$166.55

+0.45%

Closed 2.1% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.4%

2026-04-01

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $155

Ceiling $170

Range 9.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $170 by end of day

What Happened

$165.81

-0.22%

Closed 2.5% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.2%

2026-03-31

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $155

Ceiling $158

Range 1.5%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $155–$158 for 5 days

What Happened

$176.02

+6.96%

2026-03-30

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $155

Ceiling $170

Range 9.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $170 by end of day

What Happened

$164.57

+3.91%

Closed 3.4% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +3.9%

2026-03-27

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $158

Ceiling $170

Range 7.9%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $158–$170 for 5 days

What Happened

$166.55

+5.15%

Broke down — max move 4.9% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-26

📌 PIN

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $165

Ceiling $170

Range 3.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $165 by end of day

What Happened

$158.39

-2.97%

Closed 4.0% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -3.0%

2026-03-25

📌 PIN

Strength 90%

Magnet

Floor $145

Ceiling $165

Range 12.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $165 by end of day

What Happened

$163.23

-1.46%

Closed 1.1% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.5%

2026-03-24

📌 PIN

Strength 70%

Magnet

Floor $145

Ceiling $165

Range 12.1%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $165 by end of day

What Happened

$165.65

-0.13%

2026-03-23

📌 PIN

Strength 90%

Magnet

Floor $145

Ceiling $165

Range 12.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $165 by end of day

What Happened

$165.87

+0.94%

Closed 0.5% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.9%

2026-03-20

📌 PIN

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $143

Ceiling $180

Range 22.9%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $180 by end of day

What Happened

$164.32

+1.77%

Closed 9.7% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.8%

2026-03-19

📌 PIN

Strength 10%

Magnet

Floor $175

Ceiling $190

Range 9.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $175 by end of day

What Happened

$161.47

+1.84%

Closed 8.5% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.8%

2026-03-18

📌 PIN

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $175

Ceiling $190

Range 9.4%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $175 by end of day

What Happened

$158.55

-0.24%

Closed 10.4% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.2%

2026-03-17

📌 PIN

Strength 15%

Magnet

Floor $140

Ceiling $175

Range 22.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $175 by end of day

What Happened

$158.93

+0.70%

Closed 10.2% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.7%

2026-03-16

📌 PIN

Strength 15%

Magnet

Floor $140

Ceiling $175

Range 22.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $175 by end of day

What Happened

$157.83

+1.37%

Closed 11.0% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.4%

2026-03-13

📌 PIN

Strength 30%

Magnet

Floor $140

Ceiling $175

Range 22.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $175 by end of day

What Happened

$155.70

+0.54%

Closed 12.5% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.5%

2026-03-12

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $160

Ceiling $185

Range 16.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $160 by end of day

What Happened

$154.87

+0.32%

Closed 3.3% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.3%

2026-03-11

📌 PIN

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $160

Ceiling $185

Range 15.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $160 by end of day

What Happened

$154.37

-4.05%

Closed 3.5% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -4.1%

2026-03-10

📌 PIN

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $150

Ceiling $160

Range 6.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $160 by end of day

What Happened

$160.89

+0.09%

Closed 0.6% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.1%

2026-03-09

📌 PIN

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $160

Ceiling $185

Range 15.6%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $160 by end of day

What Happened

$160.75

+0.19%

2026-03-06

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $150

Ceiling $185

Range 21.8%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $185 by end of day

What Happened

$160.45

+0.11%

Closed 15.3% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.1%

2026-03-05

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $150

Ceiling $165

Range 9.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $150 by end of day

What Happened

$160.27

-1.40%

Closed 6.3% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.4%

2026-03-04

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $150

Ceiling $165

Range 9.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $150 by end of day

What Happened

$162.55

-3.00%

Closed 7.5% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -3.0%

2026-03-03

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $150

Ceiling $165

Range 9.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $150 by end of day

What Happened

$167.58

+0.98%

Closed 10.6% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.0%

2026-03-02

📌 PIN

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $165

Ceiling $185

Range 12.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $165 by end of day

What Happened

$165.95

-0.63%

Closed 0.6% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.6%

2026-02-27

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $160

Ceiling $185

Range 15.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $185 by end of day

What Happened

$167.00

+0.29%

Closed 10.8% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.3%

2026-02-26

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $160

Ceiling $175

Range 8.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $160 by end of day

What Happened

$166.51

-6.19%

Closed 3.7% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -6.2%

2026-02-25

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $160

Ceiling $175

Range 8.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $160 by end of day

What Happened

$177.49

+2.16%

Closed 10.1% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +2.2%

2026-02-24

📌 PIN

Strength 15%

Magnet

Floor $160

Ceiling $175

Range 8.9%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $160 by end of day

What Happened

$173.73

+2.93%

Closed 8.1% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +2.9%