MS Gamma Squeeze, Pin & Wall Analysis

MS Morgan Stanley $214.98 +2.24% (updated 2026-06-02)

Today's OI Read — MS

Where the walls are, where price sits, and what the dealer positioning implies for Morgan Stanley

In Between Walls?

YES

$205

2ND

$225

DOM

$214.98

Sandwiched between dominant walls — dealer hedging on both sides creates structural pinning.

Magnet Strength Details →

0.86× Normal (0.7–1×)

Current OI 9,865

30d Avg OI 11,525

Near or below average — wall levels carry typical structural weight.

Put/Call Ratio

0.26

CALL HEAVY

Below 0.8 — call OI dominates. Bullish positioning; dealers are short calls and will sell delta into rallies.

Dominant Wall

$225

▲ Above spot

The highest OI concentration strike — the structural anchor dealers are most committed to hedging.

Distance to #1 Wall

$-10.02

-4.66%

Price is below the dominant wall — acts as resistance.

Wall Skew

+1.000

CALL HEAVY

Call-heavy at the dominant wall — call sellers cap rallies toward it. Acts as resistance.

Today's Top Setup — MS

SQUEEZE, PIN, and CAGE scored 0–100 from OI structure. Highest score = today's highest-conviction setup.

PIN — 53.7% hit rate (n=1,719). CAGE — 45.4% (n=1,161). SQUEEZE — 49.5% (n=5,555). Half hit, half don't — the edge is asymmetric payoff.

Strength scores are locked

PRO

See exactly which setup is most likely — and by how much

Unlock

🚀 SQUEEZE

candidate

Strength ██%

5d horizon

Target · Stock pops ≥+5% within 10 trading days — the kind of move where the winners run far enough to outweigh the misses.

📌 PIN

AUC 0.83 measured

Strength ██%

1d horizon

Target · Price closes within 0.5% of $225 (dom strike) by +1d.

↔ CAGE

AUC 0.55 measured

Strength ██%

5d horizon

Target · Price stays between $205 – $225 through +5d.

No cage setup today — walls are 9.3% apart. Dealers only defend tight ranges (<8%).

Top OI Walls

Largest open interest concentrations · sorted by strike price

2026-06-02

Rank	Strike	Call OI	Put OI	Total OI	P/C	% of Max
#1	$225 Resistance	2,917	0	2,917	0.00	100%
▶ $214.98
#5	$210 Support	552	151	703	0.27	24%
#2	$205 Support	1,077	123	1,200	0.11	41%
#3	$198 Support	1,000	186	1,186	0.19	41%
#4	$195 Support	278	522	800	1.88	27%

Dealer Magnet Strength

When total OI is elevated vs its 30-day rolling average, dealer hedging is heavier — walls act like magnets. Very High = stronger PIN / CAGE conviction. Near-normal = weaker structural hold.

Current Magnet Strength

Normal (0.7–1×)

Low (<0.7×)

70.4%

261 days · 1d

Normal (0.7–1×)

64.3%

29 days · 1d

Elevated (1–1.5×)

69.0%

29 days · 1d

High (1.5–2×)

78.6%

14 days · 1d

Very High (>2×)

78.6%

84 days · 1d

Containment Rate by OI Magnitude Bucket

OI ratio = today's total OI ÷ 30-day rolling average. Does elevated OI predict price staying inside the dominant wall range?

OI Level	Days	1d	2d	5d	10d	20d
Low (<0.7×)	261	70.4%	60.2%	50.4%	33.1%	19.1%
Normal (0.7–1×)	29	64.3%	42.9%	32.1%	39.3%	21.4%
Elevated (1–1.5×)	29	69.0%	58.6%	69.0%	44.8%	32.0%
High (1.5–2×)	14	78.6%	71.4%	57.1%	78.6%	46.2%
Very High (>2×)	84	78.6%	63.1%	52.4%	56.0%	25.0%

SQUEEZE / PIN / CAGE Setup Backtest — MS

Last 50 sessions — which setup fired, what the score was, and whether it hit. See the actual win/loss record.

0 days ·

Min Strength 60

Magnet:

2026-05-26

📌 PIN

Strength 45%

Magnet

Floor $200

Ceiling $205

Range 2.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $205 by end of day

What Happened

$201.61

-0.07%

Closed 1.7% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.1%

2026-05-22

📌 PIN

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $200

Ceiling $205

Range 2.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $205 by end of day

What Happened

$201.76

+0.36%

Closed 1.6% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.4%

2026-05-21

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $192

Ceiling $205

Range 6.2%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $192–$205 for 5 days

What Happened

$208.00

+3.74%

2026-05-20

↔ CAGE

Strength 40%

Magnet

Floor $182

Ceiling $192

Range 5.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $182–$192 for 5 days

What Happened

$203.79

+3.04%

Broke up — max move 2.0% (need ≤2%)

2026-05-19

↔ CAGE

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $192

Ceiling $195

Range 1.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $192–$195 for 5 days

What Happened

$201.61

+6.35%

Broke up — max move 6.0% (need ≤2%)

2026-05-18

📌 PIN

Strength 90%

Magnet

Floor $190

Ceiling $192

Range 1.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $192 by end of day

What Happened

$189.58

-1.61%

Closed 1.5% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.6%

2026-05-15

📌 PIN

Strength 45%

Magnet

Floor $190

Ceiling $195

Range 2.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $190 by end of day

What Happened

$192.69

+0.09%

Closed 1.4% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.1%

2026-05-14

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $200

Ceiling $202

Range 1.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $200–$202 for 5 days

What Happened

$200.51

+3.07%

Broke down — max move 2.5% (need ≤2%)

2026-05-13

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $185

Ceiling $200

Range 7.7%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $185–$200 for 5 days

What Happened

$197.77

+2.03%

2026-05-12

↔ CAGE

Strength 40%

Magnet

Floor $185

Ceiling $200

Range 7.8%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $185–$200 for 5 days

What Happened

$189.58

-1.20%

2026-05-11

↔ CAGE

Strength 40%

Magnet

Floor $185

Ceiling $200

Range 7.8%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $185–$200 for 5 days

What Happened

$192.69

+0.83%

2026-05-08

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $185

Ceiling $200

Range 7.8%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $185–$200 for 5 days

What Happened

$192.51

-0.30%

2026-05-07

📌 PIN

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $190

Ceiling $192

Range 1.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $190 by end of day

What Happened

$193.09

+1.54%

Closed 1.6% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.5%

2026-05-06

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $190

Ceiling $192

Range 1.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $190–$192 for 5 days

What Happened

$193.83

+0.25%

Broke down — max move 1.6% (need ≤2%)

2026-05-05

📌 PIN

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $190

Ceiling $192

Range 1.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $190 by end of day

What Happened

$193.35

+2.17%

Closed 1.8% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +2.2%

2026-05-04

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $190

Ceiling $192

Range 1.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $190–$192 for 5 days

What Happened

$191.10

+1.64%

Broke up — max move 2.8% (need ≤2%)

2026-05-01

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $190

Ceiling $192

Range 1.3%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $190–$192 for 5 days

What Happened

$193.09

+1.54%

2026-04-30

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $192

Ceiling $200

Range 3.9%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $192–$200 for 5 days

What Happened

$190.17

-0.22%

2026-04-29

📌 PIN

Strength 15%

Magnet

Floor $180

Ceiling $200

Range 10.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $200 by end of day

What Happened

$190.59

+1.88%

Closed 5.0% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.9%

2026-04-28

📌 PIN

Strength 30%

Magnet

Floor $180

Ceiling $200

Range 10.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $200 by end of day

What Happened

$187.08

-1.72%

Closed 6.8% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.7%

2026-04-27

📌 PIN

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $180

Ceiling $200

Range 10.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $200 by end of day

What Happened

$190.36

+0.09%

Closed 5.1% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.1%

2026-04-24

📌 PIN

Strength 15%

Magnet

Floor $180

Ceiling $200

Range 10.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $200 by end of day

What Happened

$190.18

+1.12%

Closed 5.2% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.1%

2026-04-23

📌 PIN

Strength 80%

Magnet

Floor $188

Ceiling $190

Range 1.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $190 by end of day

What Happened

$188.07

-0.31%

Closed 1.0% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.3%

2026-04-22

↔ CAGE

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $188

Ceiling $190

Range 1.3%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $188–$190 for 5 days

What Happened

$187.08

-2.08%

2026-04-21

↔ CAGE

Strength 40%

Magnet

Floor $170

Ceiling $185

Range 7.9%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $170–$185 for 5 days

What Happened

$190.36

+0.55%

2026-04-20

↔ CAGE

Strength 40%

Magnet

Floor $170

Ceiling $185

Range 7.9%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $170–$185 for 5 days

What Happened

$190.18

-0.27%

2026-04-17

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $160

Ceiling $170

Range 5.3%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $160–$170 for 5 days

What Happened

$188.07

-0.40%

2026-04-16

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $175

Ceiling $180

Range 2.7%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $175–$180 for 5 days

What Happened

$188.65

+0.71%

2026-04-15

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $175

Ceiling $180

Range 2.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $175–$180 for 5 days

What Happened

$191.05

-0.30%

Broke down — max move 2.2% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-14

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $175

Ceiling $180

Range 2.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $175–$180 for 5 days

What Happened

$189.31

+3.26%

Broke up — max move 4.5% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-13

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $175

Ceiling $180

Range 2.8%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $175–$180 for 5 days

What Happened

$190.70

+5.28%

Broke up — max move 5.8% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-10

📌 PIN

Strength 45%

Magnet

Floor $175

Ceiling $180

Range 2.8%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $175 by end of day

What Happened

$181.14

+1.97%

Closed 3.5% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +2.0%

2026-04-09

↔ CAGE

Strength 40%

Magnet

Floor $160

Ceiling $170

Range 5.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $160–$170 for 5 days

What Happened

$187.32

+5.14%

Broke down — max move 2.9% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-08

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $160

Ceiling $170

Range 5.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $160–$170 for 5 days

What Happened

$191.62

+8.86%

Broke up — max move 2.9% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-07

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $160

Ceiling $170

Range 5.9%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $160–$170 for 5 days

What Happened

$183.34

+8.85%

Broke up — max move 5.8% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-06

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $160

Ceiling $170

Range 6.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $160–$170 for 5 days

What Happened

$181.14

+8.76%

Broke up — max move 7.0% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-02

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $155

Ceiling $170

Range 9.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $170 by end of day

What Happened

$166.55

+0.45%

Closed 2.1% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.4%

2026-04-01

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $155

Ceiling $170

Range 9.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $170 by end of day

What Happened

$165.81

-0.22%

Closed 2.5% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.2%

2026-03-31

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $155

Ceiling $158

Range 1.5%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $155–$158 for 5 days

What Happened

$176.02

+6.96%

2026-03-30

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $155

Ceiling $170

Range 9.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $170 by end of day

What Happened

$164.57

+3.91%

Closed 3.4% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +3.9%

2026-03-27

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $158

Ceiling $170

Range 7.9%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $158–$170 for 5 days

What Happened

$166.55

+5.15%

Broke down — max move 4.9% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-26

📌 PIN

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $165

Ceiling $170

Range 3.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $165 by end of day

What Happened

$158.39

-2.97%

Closed 4.0% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -3.0%

2026-03-25

📌 PIN

Strength 90%

Magnet

Floor $145

Ceiling $165

Range 12.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $165 by end of day

What Happened

$163.23

-1.46%

Closed 1.1% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.5%

2026-03-24

📌 PIN

Strength 70%

Magnet

Floor $145

Ceiling $165

Range 12.1%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $165 by end of day

What Happened

$165.65

-0.13%

2026-03-23

📌 PIN

Strength 90%

Magnet

Floor $145

Ceiling $165

Range 12.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $165 by end of day

What Happened

$165.87

+0.94%

Closed 0.5% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.9%

2026-03-20

📌 PIN

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $143

Ceiling $180

Range 22.9%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $180 by end of day

What Happened

$164.32

+1.77%

Closed 9.7% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.8%

2026-03-19

📌 PIN

Strength 10%

Magnet

Floor $175

Ceiling $190

Range 9.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $175 by end of day

What Happened

$161.47

+1.84%

Closed 8.5% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.8%

2026-03-18

📌 PIN

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $175

Ceiling $190

Range 9.4%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $175 by end of day

What Happened

$158.55

-0.24%

Closed 10.4% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.2%

2026-03-17

📌 PIN

Strength 15%

Magnet

Floor $140

Ceiling $175

Range 22.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $175 by end of day

What Happened

$158.93

+0.70%

Closed 10.2% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.7%

2026-03-16

📌 PIN

Strength 15%

Magnet

Floor $140

Ceiling $175

Range 22.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $175 by end of day

What Happened

$157.83

+1.37%

Closed 11.0% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.4%