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Today's OI Read — NKE

Where the walls are, where price sits, and what the dealer positioning implies for Nike

In Between Walls?
NO
$42
2ND
$45
DOM
$42.35

Outside the dominant wall range — directional momentum more likely than mean reversion.

Magnet Strength
1.83× High (1.5–2×)
Current OI 163,351
30d Avg OI 89,080

Elevated OI — dealers carry larger hedges, making price walls structurally stronger.

Put/Call Ratio
0.92
NEUTRAL

Between 0.8–1.2 — balanced positioning. No strong directional lean from options flow alone.

Dominant Wall
$45
▲ Above spot

The highest OI concentration strike — the structural anchor dealers are most committed to hedging.

Distance to #1 Wall
$-2.65
-6.26%

Price is below the dominant wall — acts as resistance.

Wall Skew
+0.323
CALL HEAVY

Call-heavy at the dominant wall — call sellers cap rallies toward it. Acts as resistance.

Today's Top Setup — NKE

SQUEEZE, PIN, and CAGE scored 0–100 from OI structure. Highest score = today's highest-conviction setup.

PIN — 53.7% hit rate (n=1,719). CAGE — 45.4% (n=1,161). SQUEEZE — 49.5% (n=5,555). Half hit, half don't — the edge is asymmetric payoff.

Strength scores are locked

PRO

See exactly which setup is most likely — and by how much

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🚀 SQUEEZE
candidate
Strength ██%
5d horizon
Target · Stock pops ≥+5% within 10 trading days — the kind of move where the winners run far enough to outweigh the misses.
📌 PIN
AUC 0.83 measured
Strength ██%
1d horizon
Target · Price closes within 0.5% of $45 (dom strike) by +1d.
↔ CAGE
AUC 0.55 measured
Strength ██%
5d horizon
Target · Price stays between $42 – $45 through +5d.

Top OI Walls

Largest open interest concentrations · sorted by strike price · * OI projected from prior day

2026-05-12
Rank Strike Call OI Put OI Total OI P/C % of Max
#3 $50 Resistance 16,199 3,414 19,613 0.21
59%
#1 $45 Resistance 21,934 11,221 33,155 0.51
100%
#5 $44 Resistance 1,312 10,863 12,175 8.28
37%
#2 $42 Resistance 6,700 19,949 26,649 2.98
80%
▶ $42.35
#4 $40 Support 6,709 10,091 16,800 1.50
51%

SQUEEZE / PIN / CAGE Setup Backtest — NKE

Last 50 sessions — which setup fired, what the score was, and whether it hit. See the actual win/loss record.

0 days ·
Min Strength 60
Magnet:
2026-05-05
↔ CAGE
Strength 75%
Magnet
Floor $44
Ceiling $45
Range 2.3%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $44–$45 for 5 days
What Happened
$42.35
-1.65%
Broke up — max move 3.1% (need ≤2%)
2026-05-04
↔ CAGE
Strength 40%
Magnet
Floor $44
Ceiling $47
Range 7.0%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $44–$47 for 5 days
What Happened
$42.39
-1.62%
Broke down — max move 3.1% (need ≤2%)
2026-05-01
📌 PIN
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $44
Ceiling $47
Range 6.8%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $44 by end of day
What Happened
$43.09
-2.95%
Closed 2.0% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -3.0%
2026-04-30
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $44
Ceiling $46
Range 4.5%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $44–$46 for 5 days
What Happened
$44.41
+0.11%
Broke up — max move 2.9% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-29
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $45
Ceiling $46
Range 2.3%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $45–$46 for 5 days
What Happened
$43.88
-1.15%
Broke down — max move 2.9% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-28
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $45
Ceiling $46
Range 2.2%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $45–$46 for 5 days
What Happened
$43.06
-4.37%
2026-04-27
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $45
Ceiling $46
Range 2.2%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $45–$46 for 5 days
What Happened
$43.09
-4.54%
2026-04-24
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $45
Ceiling $46
Range 2.2%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $45–$46 for 5 days
What Happened
$44.40
-0.65%
2026-04-23
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $46
Ceiling $47
Range 2.2%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $46–$47 for 5 days
What Happened
$44.36
-0.94%
2026-04-22
📌 PIN
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $46
Ceiling $47
Range 2.2%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $46 by end of day
What Happened
$44.78
-1.97%
Closed 2.7% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -2.0%
2026-04-21
📌 PIN
Strength 65%
Magnet
Floor $46
Ceiling $47
Range 2.2%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $46 by end of day
What Happened
$45.68
-1.53%
Closed 0.7% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.5%
2026-04-20
📌 PIN
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $47
Ceiling $50
Range 6.5%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $47 by end of day
What Happened
$46.39
-0.19%
Closed 1.3% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.2%
2026-04-17
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $50
Ceiling $51
Range 2.2%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $50–$51 for 5 days
What Happened
$44.69
-2.91%
2026-04-16
📌 PIN
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $44
Ceiling $46
Range 4.4%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $46 by end of day
What Happened
$46.03
+0.72%
2026-04-15
📌 PIN
Strength 5%
Magnet
Floor $40
Ceiling $44
Range 8.8%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $44 by end of day
What Happened
$45.70
+0.57%
Closed 3.7% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.6%
2026-04-14
📌 PIN
Strength 5%
Magnet
Floor $40
Ceiling $45
Range 11.3%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $40 by end of day
What Happened
$45.44
+2.81%
Closed 12.3% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +2.8%
2026-04-13
📌 PIN
Strength 15%
Magnet
Floor $40
Ceiling $45
Range 11.7%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $40 by end of day
What Happened
$44.20
+3.01%
Closed 9.8% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +3.0%
2026-04-10
📌 PIN
Strength 15%
Magnet
Floor $40
Ceiling $45
Range 11.7%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $40 by end of day
What Happened
$42.91
+0.68%
Closed 6.8% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.7%
2026-04-09
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $44
Ceiling $45
Range 2.3%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $44–$45 for 5 days
What Happened
$45.70
+3.86%
Broke down — max move 3.1% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-08
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $45
Ceiling $46
Range 3.5%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $45–$46 for 5 days
What Happened
$45.44
+5.36%
Broke up — max move 2.0% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-07
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $45
Ceiling $46
Range 3.5%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $45–$46 for 5 days
What Happened
$44.20
+3.54%
Broke up — max move 3.1% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-06
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $45
Ceiling $46
Range 3.4%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $45–$46 for 5 days
What Happened
$42.91
-2.54%
Broke down — max move 3.0% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-02
📌 PIN
Strength 5%
Magnet
Floor $45
Ceiling $50
Range 11.3%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $50 by end of day
What Happened
$44.03
-0.36%
Closed 13.5% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.4%
2026-04-01
📌 PIN
Strength 5%
Magnet
Floor $45
Ceiling $50
Range 11.2%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $50 by end of day
What Happened
$44.19
-0.99%
Closed 13.0% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.0%
2026-03-31
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $54
Ceiling $55
Range 1.9%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $54–$55 for 5 days
What Happened
$43.13
-18.35%
Broke down — max move 16.6% (need ≤2%)
2026-03-30
↔ CAGE
Strength 20%
Magnet
Floor $50
Ceiling $54
Range 7.8%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $50–$54 for 5 days
What Happened
$42.69
-16.69%
Broke up — max move 13.8% (need ≤2%)
2026-03-27
📌 PIN
Strength 5%
Magnet
Floor $54
Ceiling $60
Range 11.7%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $54 by end of day
What Happened
$51.24
-0.25%
Closed 5.4% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.3%
2026-03-26
📌 PIN
Strength 75%
Magnet
Floor $52
Ceiling $54
Range 3.8%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $52 by end of day
What Happened
$51.37
-1.34%
Closed 1.2% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.3%
2026-03-25
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $50
Ceiling $52
Range 3.8%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $50–$52 for 5 days
What Happened
$44.63
-15.76%
Broke down — max move 3.3% (need ≤2%)
2026-03-24
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $50
Ceiling $52
Range 3.7%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $50–$52 for 5 days
What Happened
$52.82
-1.25%
Broke down — max move 4.0% (need ≤2%)
2026-03-23
📌 PIN
Strength 30%
Magnet
Floor $50
Ceiling $55
Range 9.5%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $50 by end of day
What Happened
$53.49
+1.48%
Closed 6.6% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.5%
2026-03-20
↔ CAGE
Strength 40%
Magnet
Floor $58
Ceiling $62
Range 7.6%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $58–$62 for 5 days
What Happened
$51.37
-1.91%
Broke up — max move 2.1% (need ≤2%)
2026-03-19
📌 PIN
Strength 5%
Magnet
Floor $55
Ceiling $60
Range 9.4%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $60 by end of day
What Happened
$52.37
-2.00%
Closed 14.3% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -2.0%
2026-03-18
📌 PIN
Strength 5%
Magnet
Floor $55
Ceiling $60
Range 9.4%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $60 by end of day
What Happened
$53.44
-0.06%
Closed 12.3% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.1%
2026-03-17
📌 PIN
Strength 5%
Magnet
Floor $60
Ceiling $65
Range 9.1%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $60 by end of day
What Happened
$53.47
-2.99%
Closed 11.8% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -3.0%
2026-03-16
📌 PIN
Strength 5%
Magnet
Floor $60
Ceiling $65
Range 9.1%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $60 by end of day
What Happened
$55.12
+0.60%
Closed 8.9% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.6%
2026-03-13
📌 PIN
Strength 5%
Magnet
Floor $55
Ceiling $60
Range 9.3%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $60 by end of day
What Happened
$54.79
+1.50%
Closed 9.7% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.5%
2026-03-12
↔ CAGE
Strength 40%
Magnet
Floor $57
Ceiling $60
Range 5.5%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $57–$60 for 5 days
What Happened
$53.44
-1.27%
2026-03-11
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $58
Ceiling $60
Range 3.6%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $58–$60 for 5 days
What Happened
$53.47
-4.00%
Broke down — max move 3.1% (need ≤2%)
2026-03-10
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $58
Ceiling $60
Range 3.6%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $58–$60 for 5 days
What Happened
$55.12
-1.71%
Broke down — max move 3.7% (need ≤2%)
2026-03-09
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $58
Ceiling $60
Range 3.5%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $58–$60 for 5 days
What Happened
$54.79
-3.08%
Broke down — max move 4.2% (need ≤2%)
2026-03-06
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $58
Ceiling $60
Range 3.5%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $58–$60 for 5 days
What Happened
$53.98
-5.31%
Broke down — max move 2.3% (need ≤2%)
2026-03-05
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $59
Ceiling $60
Range 1.7%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $59–$60 for 5 days
What Happened
$54.13
-6.70%
Broke down — max move 3.3% (need ≤2%)
2026-03-04
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $59
Ceiling $60
Range 1.7%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $59–$60 for 5 days
What Happened
$55.70
-5.01%
Broke down — max move 3.6% (need ≤2%)
2026-03-03
📌 PIN
Strength 50%
Magnet
Floor $60
Ceiling $63
Range 5.1%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $60 by end of day
What Happened
$58.64
-1.26%
Closed 2.3% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.3%
2026-03-02
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $60
Ceiling $63
Range 4.9%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $60–$63 for 5 days
What Happened
$56.53
-7.34%
Broke down — max move 4.9% (need ≤2%)
2026-02-27
📌 PIN
Strength 5%
Magnet
Floor $60
Ceiling $68
Range 12.9%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $60 by end of day
What Happened
$61.01
-1.88%
Closed 1.6% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.9%
2026-02-26
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $65
Ceiling $66
Range 1.6%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $65–$66 for 5 days
What Happened
$58.02
-9.27%
Broke down — max move 7.1% (need ≤2%)
2026-02-25
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $65
Ceiling $66
Range 1.6%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $65–$66 for 5 days
What Happened
$58.64
-7.51%
Broke up — max move 3.8% (need ≤2%)
2026-02-24
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $65
Ceiling $66
Range 1.6%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $65–$66 for 5 days
What Happened
$59.39
-7.33%
Broke down — max move 3.0% (need ≤2%)