NVDA Gamma Squeeze, Pin & Wall Analysis

NVDA NVIDIA $222.82 -1.92% (updated 2026-06-02)

Today's OI Read — NVDA

Where the walls are, where price sits, and what the dealer positioning implies for NVIDIA

In Between Walls?

YES

$195

2ND

$225

DOM

$222.82

Sandwiched between dominant walls — dealer hedging on both sides creates structural pinning.

Magnet Strength Details →

1.02× Elevated (1–1.5×)

Current OI 1,044,380

30d Avg OI 1,027,234

Slightly above average — mild additional pinning force at key strikes.

Put/Call Ratio

0.49

CALL HEAVY

Below 0.8 — call OI dominates. Bullish positioning; dealers are short calls and will sell delta into rallies.

Dominant Wall

$225

▲ Above spot

The highest OI concentration strike — the structural anchor dealers are most committed to hedging.

Distance to #1 Wall

$-2.18

-0.98%

Price is below the dominant wall — acts as resistance.

Wall Skew

+0.872

CALL HEAVY

Call-heavy at the dominant wall — call sellers cap rallies toward it. Acts as resistance.

Today's Top Setup — NVDA

SQUEEZE, PIN, and CAGE scored 0–100 from OI structure. Highest score = today's highest-conviction setup.

PIN — 53.7% hit rate (n=1,719). CAGE — 45.4% (n=1,161). SQUEEZE — 49.5% (n=5,555). Half hit, half don't — the edge is asymmetric payoff.

Strength scores are locked

PRO

See exactly which setup is most likely — and by how much

Unlock

🚀 SQUEEZE

candidate

Strength ██%

5d horizon

Target · Stock pops ≥+5% within 10 trading days — the kind of move where the winners run far enough to outweigh the misses.

📌 PIN

AUC 0.83 measured

Strength ██%

1d horizon

Target · Price closes within 0.5% of $225 (dom strike) by +1d.

↔ CAGE

AUC 0.55 measured

Strength ██%

5d horizon

Target · Price stays between $195 – $225 through +5d.

No cage setup today — walls are 13.5% apart. Dealers only defend tight ranges (<8%).

Top OI Walls

Largest open interest concentrations · sorted by strike price

2026-06-02

Rank	Strike	Call OI	Put OI	Total OI	P/C	% of Max
#3	$230 Resistance	71,326	2,632	73,958	0.04	65%
#1	$225 Resistance	106,163	7,241	113,404	0.07	100%
▶ $222.82
#5	$220 Support	50,667	18,436	69,103	0.36	61%
#4	$218 Support	61,882	11,927	73,809	0.19	65%
#2	$195 Support	4,359	76,271	80,630	17.50	71%

Dealer Magnet Strength

When total OI is elevated vs its 30-day rolling average, dealer hedging is heavier — walls act like magnets. Very High = stronger PIN / CAGE conviction. Near-normal = weaker structural hold.

Current Magnet Strength

Elevated (1–1.5×)

Low (<0.7×)

73.7%

95 days · 1d

Normal (0.7–1×)

75.5%

159 days · 1d

Elevated (1–1.5×)

69.7%

90 days · 1d

High (1.5–2×)

80.4%

56 days · 1d

Very High (>2×)

82.4%

17 days · 1d

Containment Rate by OI Magnitude Bucket

OI ratio = today's total OI ÷ 30-day rolling average. Does elevated OI predict price staying inside the dominant wall range?

OI Level	Days	1d	2d	5d	10d	20d
Low (<0.7×)	95	73.7%	65.3%	45.3%	36.8%	31.6%
Normal (0.7–1×)	159	75.5%	62.7%	51.0%	40.1%	35.6%
Elevated (1–1.5×)	90	69.7%	66.3%	58.4%	42.5%	33.3%
High (1.5–2×)	56	80.4%	71.4%	62.5%	44.6%	44.2%
Very High (>2×)	17	82.4%	64.7%	41.2%	23.5%	23.5%

SQUEEZE / PIN / CAGE Setup Backtest — NVDA

Last 50 sessions — which setup fired, what the score was, and whether it hit. See the actual win/loss record.

0 days ·

Min Strength 60

Magnet:

2026-05-26

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $225

Ceiling $230

Range 2.3%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $225–$230 for 5 days

What Happened

$222.82

+3.70%

2026-05-22

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $225

Ceiling $230

Range 2.3%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $225–$230 for 5 days

What Happened

$224.36

+4.19%

2026-05-21

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $240

Ceiling $250

Range 4.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $240–$250 for 5 days

What Happened

$211.14

-3.81%

Broke down — max move 3.1% (need ≤2%)

2026-05-20

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $240

Ceiling $250

Range 4.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $240–$250 for 5 days

What Happened

$214.25

-4.13%

Broke down — max move 3.9% (need ≤2%)

2026-05-19

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $240

Ceiling $250

Range 4.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $240–$250 for 5 days

What Happened

$212.60

-3.63%

Broke up — max move 2.4% (need ≤2%)

2026-05-18

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $210

Ceiling $250

Range 18.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $250 by end of day

What Happened

$220.61

-0.77%

Closed 13.2% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.8%

2026-05-15

📌 PIN

Strength 15%

Magnet

Floor $210

Ceiling $250

Range 17.8%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $250 by end of day

What Happened

$222.32

-1.33%

Closed 12.3% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.3%

2026-05-14

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $190

Ceiling $200

Range 4.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $190–$200 for 5 days

What Happened

$219.51

-6.88%

Broke down — max move 6.4% (need ≤2%)

2026-05-13

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $190

Ceiling $200

Range 4.4%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $190–$200 for 5 days

What Happened

$223.47

-1.05%

Broke up — max move 4.4% (need ≤2%)

2026-05-12

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $190

Ceiling $200

Range 4.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $190–$200 for 5 days

What Happened

$220.61

-0.08%

Broke up — max move 6.8% (need ≤2%)

2026-05-11

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $190

Ceiling $200

Range 4.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $190–$200 for 5 days

What Happened

$222.32

+1.31%

Broke up — max move 7.4% (need ≤2%)

2026-05-08

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $190

Ceiling $200

Range 4.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $190–$200 for 5 days

What Happened

$225.32

+4.70%

Broke up — max move 4.9% (need ≤2%)

2026-05-07

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $205

Ceiling $210

Range 2.4%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $205–$210 for 5 days

What Happened

$235.74

+11.46%

Broke up — max move 4.4% (need ≤2%)

2026-05-06

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $205

Ceiling $210

Range 2.4%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $205–$210 for 5 days

What Happened

$225.83

+8.66%

Broke up — max move 5.6% (need ≤2%)

2026-05-05

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $190

Ceiling $205

Range 7.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $190–$205 for 5 days

What Happened

$220.78

+12.36%

Broke up — max move 9.5% (need ≤2%)

2026-05-04

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $205

Ceiling $210

Range 2.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $205–$210 for 5 days

What Happened

$219.44

+10.56%

Broke down — max move 6.6% (need ≤2%)

2026-05-01

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $200

Ceiling $205

Range 2.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $200–$205 for 5 days

What Happened

$215.20

+8.44%

Broke up — max move 4.7% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-30

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $195

Ceiling $220

Range 12.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $220 by end of day

What Happened

$198.45

-0.56%

Closed 10.8% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.6%

2026-04-29

📌 PIN

Strength 15%

Magnet

Floor $195

Ceiling $220

Range 11.9%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $220 by end of day

What Happened

$199.57

-4.63%

Closed 9.8% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -4.6%

2026-04-28

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $195

Ceiling $220

Range 11.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $220 by end of day

What Happened

$209.25

-1.84%

Closed 5.0% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.8%

2026-04-27

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $195

Ceiling $212

Range 8.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $195 by end of day

What Happened

$213.17

-1.59%

Closed 8.4% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.6%

2026-04-24

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $195

Ceiling $200

Range 2.4%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $195–$200 for 5 days

What Happened

$198.45

-4.72%

Broke up — max move 4.0% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-23

📌 PIN

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $190

Ceiling $202

Range 6.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $202 by end of day

What Happened

$208.27

+4.32%

Closed 2.9% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +4.3%

2026-04-22

📌 PIN

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $200

Ceiling $202

Range 1.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $202 by end of day

What Happened

$199.64

-1.41%

Closed 1.4% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.4%

2026-04-21

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $200

Ceiling $202

Range 1.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $200–$202 for 5 days

What Happened

$213.17

+6.65%

Broke up — max move 4.2% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-20

📌 PIN

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $182

Ceiling $202

Range 9.9%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $202 by end of day

What Happened

$199.88

-1.08%

Closed 1.3% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.1%

2026-04-17

📌 PIN

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $182

Ceiling $202

Range 9.9%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $202 by end of day

What Happened

$202.06

+0.19%

2026-04-16

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $185

Ceiling $190

Range 2.5%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $185–$190 for 5 days

What Happened

$199.64

+0.65%

2026-04-15

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $185

Ceiling $190

Range 2.5%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $185–$190 for 5 days

What Happened

$202.50

+1.83%

2026-04-14

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $185

Ceiling $190

Range 2.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $185–$190 for 5 days

What Happened

$199.88

+1.71%

Broke up — max move 2.6% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-13

📌 PIN

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $185

Ceiling $190

Range 2.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $190 by end of day

What Happened

$196.51

+3.80%

Closed 3.4% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +3.8%

2026-04-10

📌 PIN

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $185

Ceiling $190

Range 2.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $185 by end of day

What Happened

$189.31

+0.36%

Closed 2.3% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.4%

2026-04-09

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $178

Ceiling $180

Range 1.4%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $178–$180 for 5 days

What Happened

$198.35

+7.85%

Broke up — max move 6.9% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-08

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $178

Ceiling $180

Range 1.4%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $178–$180 for 5 days

What Happened

$198.87

+9.22%

Broke up — max move 4.0% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-07

📌 PIN

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $175

Ceiling $178

Range 1.4%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $178 by end of day

What Happened

$182.08

+2.23%

Closed 2.6% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +2.2%

2026-04-06

📌 PIN

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $178

Ceiling $182

Range 2.8%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $178 by end of day

What Happened

$178.10

+0.26%

2026-04-02

📌 PIN

Strength 60%

Magnet

Floor $175

Ceiling $180

Range 2.8%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $175 by end of day

What Happened

$177.64

+0.14%

Closed 1.5% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.1%

2026-04-01

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $175

Ceiling $180

Range 2.8%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $175–$180 for 5 days

What Happened

$183.91

+4.64%

2026-03-31

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $170

Ceiling $180

Range 5.7%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $170–$180 for 5 days

What Happened

$182.08

+4.40%

2026-03-30

📌 PIN

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $160

Ceiling $180

Range 12.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $160 by end of day

What Happened

$174.40

+5.59%

Closed 8.7% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +5.6%

2026-03-27

📌 PIN

Strength 30%

Magnet

Floor $160

Ceiling $180

Range 11.9%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $160 by end of day

What Happened

$165.17

-1.40%

Closed 3.1% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.4%

2026-03-26

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $180

Ceiling $185

Range 2.9%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $180–$185 for 5 days

What Happened

$177.39

+3.59%

Broke down — max move 3.5% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-25

📌 PIN

Strength 60%

Magnet

Floor $180

Ceiling $185

Range 2.8%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $180 by end of day

What Happened

$171.24

-4.16%

Closed 4.9% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -4.2%

2026-03-24

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $180

Ceiling $185

Range 2.9%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $180–$185 for 5 days

What Happened

$174.40

-0.46%

Broke up — max move 4.4% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-23

📌 PIN

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $150

Ceiling $180

Range 17.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $150 by end of day

What Happened

$175.20

-0.25%

Closed 14.3% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.3%

2026-03-20

↔ CAGE

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $180

Ceiling $185

Range 2.9%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $180–$185 for 5 days

What Happened

$167.52

-3.00%

Broke up — max move 3.5% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-19

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $190

Ceiling $200

Range 5.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $190–$200 for 5 days

What Happened

$171.24

-4.10%

Broke down — max move 3.3% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-18

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $190

Ceiling $200

Range 5.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $190–$200 for 5 days

What Happened

$178.68

-0.95%

Broke down — max move 4.3% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-17

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $190

Ceiling $200

Range 5.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $190–$200 for 5 days

What Happened

$175.20

-3.70%

Broke down — max move 5.1% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-16

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $190

Ceiling $200

Range 5.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $190–$200 for 5 days

What Happened

$175.64

-4.14%

Broke down — max move 2.5% (need ≤2%)