ORCL Gamma Squeeze, Pin & Wall Analysis

ORCL Oracle $186.83 -3.16% (updated 2026-05-12)

Today's OI Read — ORCL

Where the walls are, where price sits, and what the dealer positioning implies for Oracle

In Between Walls?

$200

DOM

$230

2ND

$186.83

Outside the dominant wall range — directional momentum more likely than mean reversion.

Magnet Strength Details →

1.67× High (1.5–2×)

Current OI 262,360

30d Avg OI 157,576

Elevated OI — dealers carry larger hedges, making price walls structurally stronger.

Put/Call Ratio

0.28

CALL HEAVY

Below 0.8 — call OI dominates. Bullish positioning; dealers are short calls and will sell delta into rallies.

Dominant Wall

$200

▲ Above spot

The highest OI concentration strike — the structural anchor dealers are most committed to hedging.

Distance to #1 Wall

$-13.17

-7.05%

Price is below the dominant wall — acts as resistance.

Wall Skew

+0.915

CALL HEAVY

Call-heavy at the dominant wall — call sellers cap rallies toward it. Acts as resistance.

Today's Top Setup — ORCL

SQUEEZE, PIN, and CAGE scored 0–100 from OI structure. Highest score = today's highest-conviction setup.

PIN — 53.7% hit rate (n=1,719). CAGE — 45.4% (n=1,161). SQUEEZE — 49.5% (n=5,555). Half hit, half don't — the edge is asymmetric payoff.

Strength scores are locked

PRO

See exactly which setup is most likely — and by how much

Unlock

🚀 SQUEEZE

candidate

Strength ██%

5d horizon

Target · Stock pops ≥+5% within 10 trading days — the kind of move where the winners run far enough to outweigh the misses.

📌 PIN

AUC 0.83 measured

Strength ██%

1d horizon

Target · Price closes within 0.5% of $200 (dom strike) by +1d.

↔ CAGE

AUC 0.55 measured

Strength ██%

5d horizon

Target · Price stays between $200 – $230 through +5d.

No cage setup today — walls are 16.1% apart. Dealers only defend tight ranges (<8%).

Top OI Walls

Largest open interest concentrations · sorted by strike price · * OI projected from prior day

2026-05-12

Rank	Strike	Call OI	Put OI	Total OI	P/C	% of Max
#2	$230 Resistance	26,731	0	26,731	0.00	84%
#3	$210 Resistance	25,983	209	26,192	0.01	82%
#1	$200 Resistance	30,606	1,361	31,967	0.04	100%
▶ $186.83
#4	$180 Support	12,323	10,721	23,044	0.87	72%
#5	$170 Support	12,044	8,294	20,338	0.69	64%

Dealer Magnet Strength

When total OI is elevated vs its 30-day rolling average, dealer hedging is heavier — walls act like magnets. Very High = stronger PIN / CAGE conviction. Near-normal = weaker structural hold.

Current Magnet Strength

High (1.5–2×)

Low (<0.7×)

66.4%

137 days · 1d

Normal (0.7–1×)

74.5%

94 days · 1d

Elevated (1–1.5×)

77.9%

68 days · 1d

High (1.5–2×)

67.4%

47 days · 1d

Very High (>2×)

64.9%

57 days · 1d

Containment Rate by OI Magnitude Bucket

OI ratio = today's total OI ÷ 30-day rolling average. Does elevated OI predict price staying inside the dominant wall range?

OI Level	Days	1d	2d	5d	10d	20d
Low (<0.7×)	137	66.4%	60.6%	43.8%	27.4%	14.9%
Normal (0.7–1×)	94	74.5%	61.7%	42.4%	36.0%	18.3%
Elevated (1–1.5×)	68	77.9%	67.6%	51.5%	47.1%	21.2%
High (1.5–2×)	47	67.4%	64.4%	59.1%	56.8%	43.2%
Very High (>2×)	57	64.9%	61.4%	57.9%	45.6%	35.1%

SQUEEZE / PIN / CAGE Setup Backtest — ORCL

Last 50 sessions — which setup fired, what the score was, and whether it hit. See the actual win/loss record.

0 days ·

Min Strength 60

Magnet:

2026-05-05

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $168

Ceiling $180

Range 6.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $168–$180 for 5 days

What Happened

$186.83

+0.80%

Broke up — max move 5.7% (need ≤2%)

2026-05-04

📌 PIN

Strength 15%

Magnet

Floor $168

Ceiling $200

Range 18.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $168 by end of day

What Happened

$185.35

+2.81%

Closed 9.9% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +2.8%

2026-05-01

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $168

Ceiling $170

Range 1.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $168–$170 for 5 days

What Happened

$195.95

+14.04%

Broke up — max move 12.9% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-30

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $155

Ceiling $165

Range 6.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $155–$165 for 5 days

What Happened

$194.59

+20.57%

Broke up — max move 14.8% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-29

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $155

Ceiling $165

Range 6.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $155–$165 for 5 days

What Happened

$194.03

+18.43%

Broke down — max move 10.0% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-28

📌 PIN

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $155

Ceiling $165

Range 6.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $165 by end of day

What Happened

$163.83

-1.28%

Closed 0.7% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.3%

2026-04-27

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $165

Ceiling $200

Range 20.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $200 by end of day

What Happened

$165.96

-4.05%

Closed 19.7% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -4.0%

2026-04-24

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $165

Ceiling $200

Range 20.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $200 by end of day

What Happened

$172.96

-0.18%

Closed 15.6% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.2%

2026-04-23

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $200

Ceiling $210

Range 5.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $200–$210 for 5 days

What Happened

$161.39

-8.45%

Broke down — max move 5.9% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-22

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $200

Ceiling $210

Range 5.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $200–$210 for 5 days

What Happened

$163.83

-12.62%

Broke down — max move 7.8% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-21

📌 PIN

Strength 15%

Magnet

Floor $160

Ceiling $200

Range 22.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $200 by end of day

What Happened

$187.50

+3.49%

Closed 6.9% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +3.5%

2026-04-20

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $200

Ceiling $210

Range 5.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $200–$210 for 5 days

What Happened

$172.96

-2.60%

Broke up — max move 5.6% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-17

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $200

Ceiling $210

Range 5.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $200–$210 for 5 days

What Happened

$173.28

-1.02%

Broke up — max move 7.1% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-16

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $170

Ceiling $175

Range 2.8%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $170–$175 for 5 days

What Happened

$176.28

-1.16%

Broke down — max move 1.8% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-15

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $160

Ceiling $175

Range 8.8%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $175 by end of day

What Happened

$178.34

+5.02%

Closed 2.0% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +5.0%

2026-04-14

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $160

Ceiling $170

Range 6.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $160–$170 for 5 days

What Happened

$181.17

+11.15%

Broke up — max move 9.4% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-13

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $170

Ceiling $175

Range 3.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $170–$175 for 5 days

What Happened

$177.58

+14.11%

Broke up — max move 14.6% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-10

↔ CAGE

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $155

Ceiling $160

Range 3.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $155–$160 for 5 days

What Happened

$175.06

+26.77%

Broke up — max move 23.0% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-09

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $155

Ceiling $160

Range 3.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $155–$160 for 5 days

What Happened

$178.34

+29.36%

Broke up — max move 18.2% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-08

📌 PIN

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $145

Ceiling $170

Range 17.4%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $170 by end of day

What Happened

$137.86

-4.04%

Closed 22.4% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -4.0%

2026-04-07

↔ CAGE

Strength 40%

Magnet

Floor $160

Ceiling $170

Range 7.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $160–$170 for 5 days

What Happened

$163.00

+13.85%

Broke up — max move 3.7% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-06

↔ CAGE

Strength 40%

Magnet

Floor $160

Ceiling $170

Range 6.9%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $160–$170 for 5 days

What Happened

$155.62

+6.93%

Broke down — max move 5.3% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-02

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $118

Ceiling $125

Range 4.8%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $118–$125 for 5 days

What Happened

$138.09

-5.66%

Broke down — max move 2.2% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-01

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $118

Ceiling $125

Range 4.8%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $118–$125 for 5 days

What Happened

$137.86

-5.07%

2026-03-31

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $118

Ceiling $125

Range 4.8%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $118–$125 for 5 days

What Happened

$143.66

-2.35%

2026-03-30

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $115

Ceiling $118

Range 2.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $115–$118 for 5 days

What Happened

$143.17

+3.15%

Broke up — max move 6.0% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-27

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $115

Ceiling $118

Range 2.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $115–$118 for 5 days

What Happened

$145.54

+4.21%

Broke down — max move 5.3% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-26

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $122

Ceiling $133

Range 7.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $122–$133 for 5 days

What Happened

$146.38

+2.50%

Broke down — max move 3.0% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-25

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $122

Ceiling $134

Range 8.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $122 by end of day

What Happened

$142.81

-2.20%

Closed 14.3% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -2.2%

2026-03-24

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $122

Ceiling $135

Range 8.8%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $135 by end of day

What Happened

$146.02

-0.73%

Closed 7.5% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.7%

2026-03-23

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $134

Ceiling $135

Range 0.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $134–$135 for 5 days

What Happened

$138.80

-10.07%

Broke down — max move 7.5% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-20

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $134

Ceiling $135

Range 0.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $134–$135 for 5 days

What Happened

$139.66

-6.69%

Broke up — max move 3.1% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-19

📌 PIN

Strength 15%

Magnet

Floor $126

Ceiling $180

Range 34.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $180 by end of day

What Happened

$149.68

-3.76%

Closed 19.5% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -3.8%

2026-03-18

📌 PIN

Strength 15%

Magnet

Floor $126

Ceiling $180

Range 35.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $180 by end of day

What Happened

$155.52

+1.71%

Closed 16.0% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.7%

2026-03-17

📌 PIN

Strength 15%

Magnet

Floor $126

Ceiling $180

Range 34.9%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $180 by end of day

What Happened

$152.90

-1.16%

Closed 17.5% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.2%

2026-03-16

📌 PIN

Strength 15%

Magnet

Floor $126

Ceiling $180

Range 34.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $180 by end of day

What Happened

$154.69

-0.82%

Closed 16.2% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.8%

2026-03-13

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $170

Ceiling $180

Range 6.4%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $170–$180 for 5 days

What Happened

$149.68

-3.50%

2026-03-12

📌 PIN

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $142

Ceiling $180

Range 23.9%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $142 by end of day

What Happened

$155.11

-2.54%

Closed 8.2% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -2.5%

2026-03-11

📌 PIN

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $160

Ceiling $180

Range 12.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $160 by end of day

What Happened

$159.16

-2.43%

Closed 0.5% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -2.4%

2026-03-10

📌 PIN

Strength 30%

Magnet

Floor $130

Ceiling $170

Range 26.8%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $130 by end of day

What Happened

$163.12

+9.18%

Closed 22.2% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +9.2%

2026-03-09

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $170

Ceiling $180

Range 6.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $170–$180 for 5 days

What Happened

$155.97

+2.91%

Broke down — max move 7.6% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-06

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $170

Ceiling $180

Range 6.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $170–$180 for 5 days

What Happened

$155.11

+1.41%

Broke down — max move 6.6% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-05

📌 PIN

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $140

Ceiling $170

Range 19.4%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $140 by end of day

What Happened

$152.96

-1.18%

Closed 8.4% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.2%

2026-03-04

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $130

Ceiling $140

Range 6.6%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $130–$140 for 5 days

What Happened

$163.12

+7.06%

2026-03-03

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $130

Ceiling $140

Range 6.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $130–$140 for 5 days

What Happened

$149.40

+0.26%

Broke up — max move 3.9% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-02

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $130

Ceiling $145

Range 10.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $130 by end of day

What Happened

$149.01

-0.16%

Closed 12.7% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.2%

2026-02-27

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $130

Ceiling $135

Range 3.4%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $130–$135 for 5 days

What Happened

$152.96

+5.20%

Broke up — max move 4.8% (need ≤2%)

2026-02-26

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $125

Ceiling $130

Range 3.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $125–$130 for 5 days

What Happened

$154.79

+2.98%

Broke down — max move 3.3% (need ≤2%)

2026-02-25

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $125

Ceiling $130

Range 3.4%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $125–$130 for 5 days

What Happened

$152.37

+3.03%

2026-02-24

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $125

Ceiling $127

Range 1.4%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $125–$127 for 5 days

What Happened

$149.01

+1.96%

Broke up — max move 2.9% (need ≤2%)