PLTR Gamma Squeeze, Pin & Wall Analysis

PLTR Palantir $136.00 -0.44% (updated 2026-05-12)

Today's OI Read — PLTR

Where the walls are, where price sits, and what the dealer positioning implies for Palantir

In Between Walls?

$140

2ND

$150

DOM

$136.00

Outside the dominant wall range — directional momentum more likely than mean reversion.

Magnet Strength Details →

1.43× Elevated (1–1.5×)

Current OI 376,962

30d Avg OI 264,480

Slightly above average — mild additional pinning force at key strikes.

Put/Call Ratio

0.78

CALL HEAVY

Below 0.8 — call OI dominates. Bullish positioning; dealers are short calls and will sell delta into rallies.

Dominant Wall

$150

▲ Above spot

The highest OI concentration strike — the structural anchor dealers are most committed to hedging.

Distance to #1 Wall

$-14.00

-10.29%

Price is below the dominant wall — acts as resistance.

Wall Skew

+0.576

CALL HEAVY

Call-heavy at the dominant wall — call sellers cap rallies toward it. Acts as resistance.

Today's Top Setup — PLTR

SQUEEZE, PIN, and CAGE scored 0–100 from OI structure. Highest score = today's highest-conviction setup.

PIN — 53.7% hit rate (n=1,719). CAGE — 45.4% (n=1,161). SQUEEZE — 49.5% (n=5,555). Half hit, half don't — the edge is asymmetric payoff.

Strength scores are locked

PRO

See exactly which setup is most likely — and by how much

Unlock

🚀 SQUEEZE

candidate

Strength ██%

5d horizon

Target · Stock pops ≥+5% within 10 trading days — the kind of move where the winners run far enough to outweigh the misses.

📌 PIN

AUC 0.83 measured

Strength ██%

1d horizon

Target · Price closes within 0.5% of $150 (dom strike) by +1d.

↔ CAGE

AUC 0.55 measured

Strength ██%

5d horizon

Target · Price stays between $140 – $150 through +5d.

Top OI Walls

Largest open interest concentrations · sorted by strike price · * OI projected from prior day

2026-05-12

Rank	Strike	Call OI	Put OI	Total OI	P/C	% of Max
#1	$150 Resistance	40,928	10,997	51,925	0.27	100%
#3	$145 Resistance	15,430	9,865	25,295	0.64	49%
#2	$140 Resistance	19,110	16,853	35,963	0.88	69%
▶ $136.00
#4	$130 Support	3,299	21,384	24,683	6.48	48%
#5	$125 Support	1,943	22,417	24,360	11.54	47%

Dealer Magnet Strength

When total OI is elevated vs its 30-day rolling average, dealer hedging is heavier — walls act like magnets. Very High = stronger PIN / CAGE conviction. Near-normal = weaker structural hold.

Current Magnet Strength

Elevated (1–1.5×)

Low (<0.7×)

75.8%

62 days · 1d

Normal (0.7–1×)

64.3%

131 days · 1d

Elevated (1–1.5×)

73.8%

162 days · 1d

High (1.5–2×)

85.7%

35 days · 1d

Very High (>2×)

75.0%

12 days · 1d

Containment Rate by OI Magnitude Bucket

OI ratio = today's total OI ÷ 30-day rolling average. Does elevated OI predict price staying inside the dominant wall range?

OI Level	Days	1d	2d	5d	10d	20d
Low (<0.7×)	62	75.8%	64.5%	37.1%	23.0%	33.9%
Normal (0.7–1×)	131	64.3%	55.0%	36.4%	23.0%	29.2%
Elevated (1–1.5×)	162	73.8%	66.0%	50.0%	31.0%	27.1%
High (1.5–2×)	35	85.7%	60.0%	28.6%	22.9%	21.2%
Very High (>2×)	12	75.0%	83.3%	58.3%	58.3%	16.7%

SQUEEZE / PIN / CAGE Setup Backtest — PLTR

Last 50 sessions — which setup fired, what the score was, and whether it hit. See the actual win/loss record.

0 days ·

Min Strength 60

Magnet:

2026-05-05

↔ CAGE

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $150

Ceiling $155

Range 3.7%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $150–$155 for 5 days

What Happened

$136.00

+0.07%

2026-05-04

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $150

Ceiling $155

Range 3.4%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $150–$155 for 5 days

What Happened

$136.89

-6.26%

Broke down — max move 8.4% (need ≤2%)

2026-05-01

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $142

Ceiling $155

Range 9.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $155 by end of day

What Happened

$146.03

+1.36%

Closed 6.2% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.4%

2026-04-30

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $148

Ceiling $155

Range 5.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $148–$155 for 5 days

What Happened

$137.05

-1.48%

Broke up — max move 5.0% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-29

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $148

Ceiling $152

Range 3.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $148–$152 for 5 days

What Happened

$133.79

-3.03%

Broke up — max move 5.8% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-28

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $148

Ceiling $152

Range 3.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $148–$152 for 5 days

What Happened

$135.91

-3.73%

Broke down — max move 2.3% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-27

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $152

Ceiling $155

Range 1.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $152–$155 for 5 days

What Happened

$146.03

+2.05%

Broke down — max move 3.6% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-24

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $152

Ceiling $155

Range 1.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $152–$155 for 5 days

What Happened

$144.07

+0.68%

Broke up — max move 3.6% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-23

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $150

Ceiling $155

Range 3.5%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $150–$155 for 5 days

What Happened

$139.11

-1.74%

2026-04-22

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $147

Ceiling $150

Range 2.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $147–$150 for 5 days

What Happened

$137.97

-9.60%

Broke down — max move 7.2% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-21

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $150

Ceiling $155

Range 3.4%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $150–$155 for 5 days

What Happened

$141.18

-3.28%

Broke up — max move 4.6% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-20

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $150

Ceiling $155

Range 3.4%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $150–$155 for 5 days

What Happened

$143.10

-1.91%

Broke up — max move 4.6% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-17

📌 PIN

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $145

Ceiling $150

Range 3.4%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $145 by end of day

What Happened

$145.89

-0.34%

Closed 0.6% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.3%

2026-04-16

📌 PIN

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $140

Ceiling $150

Range 7.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $140 by end of day

What Happened

$146.39

+2.54%

Closed 4.5% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +2.5%

2026-04-15

📌 PIN

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $130

Ceiling $140

Range 7.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $140 by end of day

What Happened

$142.76

+0.43%

Closed 1.9% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.4%

2026-04-14

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $130

Ceiling $140

Range 7.4%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $130–$140 for 5 days

What Happened

$145.97

+7.57%

Broke up — max move 7.9% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-13

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $130

Ceiling $140

Range 7.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $130–$140 for 5 days

What Happened

$145.89

+10.21%

Broke up — max move 7.8% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-10

↔ CAGE

Strength 40%

Magnet

Floor $140

Ceiling $150

Range 7.8%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $140–$150 for 5 days

What Happened

$146.39

+14.31%

Broke up — max move 11.0% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-09

↔ CAGE

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $150

Ceiling $155

Range 3.8%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $150–$155 for 5 days

What Happened

$142.76

+9.40%

Broke down — max move 4.0% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-06

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $152

Ceiling $155

Range 1.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $152–$155 for 5 days

What Happened

$132.37

-10.52%

Broke down — max move 100.0% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-02

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $152

Ceiling $155

Range 1.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $152–$155 for 5 days

What Happened

$128.06

-13.74%

Broke down — max move 100.0% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-01

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $152

Ceiling $155

Range 1.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $152–$155 for 5 days

What Happened

$130.49

-10.92%

Broke up — max move 100.0% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-31

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $155

Ceiling $160

Range 3.4%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $155–$160 for 5 days

What Happened

Data pending

2026-03-30

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $152

Ceiling $155

Range 1.8%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $152–$155 for 5 days

What Happened

Data pending

2026-03-27

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $152

Ceiling $155

Range 1.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $152–$155 for 5 days

What Happened

$147.93

+3.40%

Broke down — max move 3.9% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-26

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $160

Ceiling $165

Range 3.4%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $160–$165 for 5 days

What Happened

$148.46

+0.61%

Broke down — max move 6.8% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-25

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $158

Ceiling $160

Range 1.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $158–$160 for 5 days

What Happened

$146.49

-5.47%

Broke down — max move 11.2% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-24

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $158

Ceiling $160

Range 1.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $158–$160 for 5 days

What Happened

$146.28

-5.49%

Broke up — max move 7.6% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-23

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $158

Ceiling $160

Range 1.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $158–$160 for 5 days

What Happened

$137.55

-14.48%

Broke down — max move 8.3% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-20

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $150

Ceiling $160

Range 6.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $150–$160 for 5 days

What Happened

$143.06

-5.06%

Broke up — max move 6.7% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-19

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $150

Ceiling $160

Range 6.4%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $150–$160 for 5 days

What Happened

$147.56

-5.22%

Broke down — max move 3.3% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-18

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $150

Ceiling $160

Range 6.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $150–$160 for 5 days

What Happened

$154.96

+1.43%

Broke up — max move 5.3% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-17

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $150

Ceiling $160

Range 6.4%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $150–$160 for 5 days

What Happened

$154.78

-0.19%

Broke down — max move 2.8% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-16

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $150

Ceiling $160

Range 6.5%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $150–$160 for 5 days

What Happened

$160.84

+5.32%

2026-03-13

📌 PIN

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $150

Ceiling $160

Range 6.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $150 by end of day

What Happened

$152.72

+1.17%

Closed 1.8% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.2%

2026-03-12

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $158

Ceiling $160

Range 1.6%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $158–$160 for 5 days

What Happened

$155.68

+1.42%

2026-03-11

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $155

Ceiling $160

Range 3.3%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $155–$160 for 5 days

What Happened

$152.77

+0.77%

2026-03-10

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $158

Ceiling $160

Range 1.7%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $158–$160 for 5 days

What Happened

$155.08

+2.61%

2026-03-09

📌 PIN

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $158

Ceiling $160

Range 1.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $158 by end of day

What Happened

$151.14

-3.38%

Closed 4.1% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -3.4%

2026-03-06

📌 PIN

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $158

Ceiling $162

Range 3.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $158 by end of day

What Happened

$156.43

-0.46%

Closed 0.7% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.5%

2026-03-05

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $139

Ceiling $140

Range 0.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $139–$140 for 5 days

What Happened

$153.50

+0.54%

Broke up — max move 2.9% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-04

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $139

Ceiling $140

Range 0.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $139–$140 for 5 days

What Happened

$151.60

-1.04%

Broke down — max move 2.6% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-03

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $139

Ceiling $140

Range 0.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $139–$140 for 5 days

What Happened

$151.14

+2.66%

Broke up — max move 6.8% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-02

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $140

Ceiling $145

Range 3.4%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $140–$145 for 5 days

What Happened

$156.43

+7.76%

Broke up — max move 5.5% (need ≤2%)

2026-02-27

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $140

Ceiling $145

Range 3.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $140–$145 for 5 days

What Happened

$157.16

+14.56%

Broke up — max move 11.7% (need ≤2%)

2026-02-26

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $140

Ceiling $145

Range 3.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $140–$145 for 5 days

What Happened

$152.67

+12.31%

Broke up — max move 8.3% (need ≤2%)

2026-02-25

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $139

Ceiling $140

Range 0.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $139–$140 for 5 days

What Happened

$153.19

+14.16%

Broke up — max move 8.2% (need ≤2%)

2026-02-24

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $139

Ceiling $145

Range 4.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $139–$145 for 5 days

What Happened

$147.22

+14.27%

Broke up — max move 6.5% (need ≤2%)

2026-02-23

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $139

Ceiling $145

Range 4.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $139–$145 for 5 days

What Happened

$145.17

+11.16%

Broke down — max move 4.1% (need ≤2%)

2026-02-20

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $140

Ceiling $150

Range 7.4%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $140–$150 for 5 days

What Happened

$137.19

+1.44%

Broke down — max move 4.7% (need ≤2%)