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PM $186.93 +1.71% (updated 2026-05-12)

Today's OI Read — PM

Where the walls are, where price sits, and what the dealer positioning implies for Philip Morris

In Between Walls?
NO
$170
2ND
$175
DOM
$186.93

Outside the dominant wall range — directional momentum more likely than mean reversion.

Magnet Strength
2.54× Very High (>2×)
Current OI 14,913
30d Avg OI 5,881

Elevated OI — dealers carry larger hedges, making price walls structurally stronger.

Put/Call Ratio
0.48
CALL HEAVY

Below 0.8 — call OI dominates. Bullish positioning; dealers are short calls and will sell delta into rallies.

Dominant Wall
$175
▼ Below spot

The highest OI concentration strike — the structural anchor dealers are most committed to hedging.

Distance to #1 Wall
$+11.93
+6.38%

Price is above the dominant wall — acts as support.

Wall Skew
+0.793
CALL HEAVY

Call-heavy at the dominant wall — call sellers cap rallies toward it. Acts as resistance.

Today's Top Setup — PM

SQUEEZE, PIN, and CAGE scored 0–100 from OI structure. Highest score = today's highest-conviction setup.

PIN — 53.7% hit rate (n=1,719). CAGE — 45.4% (n=1,161). SQUEEZE — 49.5% (n=5,555). Half hit, half don't — the edge is asymmetric payoff.

Strength scores are locked

PRO

See exactly which setup is most likely — and by how much

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🚀 SQUEEZE
candidate
Strength ██%
5d horizon
Target · Stock pops ≥+5% within 10 trading days — the kind of move where the winners run far enough to outweigh the misses.
📌 PIN
AUC 0.83 measured
Strength ██%
1d horizon
Target · Price closes within 0.5% of $175 (dom strike) by +1d.
↔ CAGE
AUC 0.55 measured
Strength ██%
5d horizon
Target · Price stays between $170 – $175 through +5d.

Top OI Walls

Largest open interest concentrations · sorted by strike price · * OI projected from prior day

2026-05-12
Rank Strike Call OI Put OI Total OI P/C % of Max
▶ $186.93
#4 $185 Support 1,383 0 1,383 0.00
55%
#1 $175 Support 2,257 260 2,517 0.12
100%
#2 $170 Support 1,817 606 2,423 0.33
96%
#3 $165 Support 873 666 1,539 0.76
61%
#5 $150 Support 40 1,198 1,238 29.95
49%

SQUEEZE / PIN / CAGE Setup Backtest — PM

Last 50 sessions — which setup fired, what the score was, and whether it hit. See the actual win/loss record.

0 days ·
Min Strength 60
Magnet:
2026-05-05
↔ CAGE
Strength 75%
Magnet
Floor $165
Ceiling $168
Range 1.5%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $165–$168 for 5 days
What Happened
$186.93
+10.31%
2026-05-04
↔ CAGE
Strength 75%
Magnet
Floor $165
Ceiling $168
Range 1.5%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $165–$168 for 5 days
What Happened
$182.11
+7.64%
2026-05-01
📌 PIN
Strength 65%
Magnet
Floor $165
Ceiling $168
Range 1.5%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $165 by end of day
What Happened
$169.19
+1.69%
Closed 2.5% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.7%
2026-04-30
📌 PIN
Strength 75%
Magnet
Floor $165
Ceiling $170
Range 3.0%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $165 by end of day
What Happened
$166.38
+0.79%
Closed 0.8% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.8%
2026-04-29
📌 PIN
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $165
Ceiling $170
Range 3.1%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $165 by end of day
What Happened
$165.07
+1.45%
2026-04-28
📌 PIN
Strength 5%
Magnet
Floor $148
Ceiling $165
Range 10.2%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $148 by end of day
What Happened
$162.71
-1.92%
Closed 8.9% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.9%
2026-04-27
📌 PIN
Strength 5%
Magnet
Floor $148
Ceiling $165
Range 10.6%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $148 by end of day
What Happened
$165.89
+3.10%
Closed 11.1% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +3.1%
2026-04-24
📌 PIN
Strength 5%
Magnet
Floor $148
Ceiling $165
Range 10.4%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $148 by end of day
What Happened
$160.90
-2.01%
Closed 7.9% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -2.0%
2026-04-23
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $155
Ceiling $158
Range 1.5%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $155–$158 for 5 days
What Happened
$165.07
-2.44%
Broke down — max move 4.9% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-22
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $147
Ceiling $155
Range 4.9%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $147–$155 for 5 days
What Happened
$162.71
-0.76%
Broke up — max move 3.2% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-21
↔ CAGE
Strength 75%
Magnet
Floor $158
Ceiling $160
Range 1.6%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $158–$160 for 5 days
What Happened
$165.89
+8.25%
Broke up — max move 10.4% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-20
📌 PIN
Strength 50%
Magnet
Floor $155
Ceiling $170
Range 9.5%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $155 by end of day
What Happened
$153.25
-2.73%
Closed 1.1% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -2.7%
2026-04-17
📌 PIN
Strength 5%
Magnet
Floor $155
Ceiling $185
Range 19.0%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $185 by end of day
What Happened
$157.55
-0.15%
Closed 17.4% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.2%
2026-04-16
↔ CAGE
Strength 40%
Magnet
Floor $170
Ceiling $180
Range 6.4%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $170–$180 for 5 days
What Happened
$169.19
+8.29%
2026-04-15
↔ CAGE
Strength 40%
Magnet
Floor $170
Ceiling $180
Range 6.4%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $170–$180 for 5 days
What Happened
$163.95
+4.30%
2026-04-14
↔ CAGE
Strength 40%
Magnet
Floor $170
Ceiling $180
Range 6.3%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $170–$180 for 5 days
What Happened
$153.25
-3.90%
Broke down — max move 2.0% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-13
↔ CAGE
Strength 40%
Magnet
Floor $170
Ceiling $180
Range 6.1%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $170–$180 for 5 days
What Happened
$157.55
-3.20%
Broke down — max move 4.0% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-10
↔ CAGE
Strength 40%
Magnet
Floor $170
Ceiling $180
Range 6.2%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $170–$180 for 5 days
What Happened
$157.79
-1.66%
Broke up — max move 2.0% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-09
📌 PIN
Strength 5%
Magnet
Floor $152
Ceiling $180
Range 17.1%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $152 by end of day
What Happened
$160.45
-0.50%
Closed 4.9% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.5%
2026-04-08
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $152
Ceiling $158
Range 3.1%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $152–$158 for 5 days
What Happened
$157.19
-2.33%
2026-04-07
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $152
Ceiling $158
Range 3.2%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $152–$158 for 5 days
What Happened
$159.47
+1.26%
Broke up — max move 2.4% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-06
📌 PIN
Strength 20%
Magnet
Floor $152
Ceiling $180
Range 17.2%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $152 by end of day
What Happened
$157.49
-1.78%
Closed 3.1% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.8%
2026-04-02
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $165
Ceiling $170
Range 3.2%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $165–$170 for 5 days
What Happened
$160.45
+1.49%
2026-04-01
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $165
Ceiling $170
Range 3.2%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $165–$170 for 5 days
What Happened
$161.25
+2.49%
2026-03-31
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $165
Ceiling $170
Range 3.0%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $165–$170 for 5 days
What Happened
$160.94
-2.66%
Broke down — max move 4.8% (need ≤2%)
2026-03-30
📌 PIN
Strength 75%
Magnet
Floor $158
Ceiling $165
Range 4.6%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $165 by end of day
What Happened
$165.34
+0.31%
2026-03-27
📌 PIN
Strength 60%
Magnet
Floor $165
Ceiling $175
Range 6.1%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $165 by end of day
What Happened
$164.83
+0.79%
2026-03-26
↔ CAGE
Strength 75%
Magnet
Floor $162
Ceiling $165
Range 1.5%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $162–$165 for 5 days
What Happened
$158.10
-2.70%
2026-03-25
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $160
Ceiling $162
Range 1.5%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $160–$162 for 5 days
What Happened
$157.33
-4.94%
Broke down — max move 1.8% (need ≤2%)
2026-03-24
↔ CAGE
Strength 75%
Magnet
Floor $162
Ceiling $165
Range 1.5%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $162–$165 for 5 days
What Happened
$165.34
+0.90%
2026-03-23
📌 PIN
Strength 60%
Magnet
Floor $160
Ceiling $165
Range 3.1%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $165 by end of day
What Happened
$163.87
+0.39%
Closed 0.7% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.4%
2026-03-20
📌 PIN
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $155
Ceiling $160
Range 3.1%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $160 by end of day
What Happened
$163.24
+0.08%
Closed 2.0% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.1%
2026-03-19
📌 PIN
Strength 20%
Magnet
Floor $165
Ceiling $180
Range 9.2%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $180 by end of day
What Happened
$163.11
-0.16%
Closed 10.3% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.2%
2026-03-18
📌 PIN
Strength 30%
Magnet
Floor $155
Ceiling $180
Range 15.0%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $155 by end of day
What Happened
$163.37
-1.67%
Closed 5.0% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.7%
2026-03-17
↔ CAGE
Strength 40%
Magnet
Floor $155
Ceiling $165
Range 5.8%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $155–$165 for 5 days
What Happened
$163.87
-5.18%
Broke down — max move 5.6% (need ≤2%)
2026-03-16
📌 PIN
Strength 20%
Magnet
Floor $165
Ceiling $180
Range 8.6%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $180 by end of day
What Happened
$172.83
-1.12%
Closed 4.1% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.1%
2026-03-13
📌 PIN
Strength 20%
Magnet
Floor $155
Ceiling $180
Range 14.3%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $155 by end of day
What Happened
$174.78
+0.07%
Closed 11.3% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.1%
2026-03-12
📌 PIN
Strength 80%
Magnet
Floor $170
Ceiling $172
Range 1.5%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $172 by end of day
What Happened
$174.66
+1.55%
Closed 1.3% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.5%
2026-03-11
📌 PIN
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $150
Ceiling $170
Range 12.0%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $170 by end of day
What Happened
$172.00
+3.09%
Closed 1.2% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +3.1%
2026-03-10
📌 PIN
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $150
Ceiling $170
Range 11.6%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $170 by end of day
What Happened
$166.84
-3.49%
Closed 1.8% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -3.5%
2026-03-09
📌 PIN
Strength 5%
Magnet
Floor $150
Ceiling $170
Range 11.5%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $150 by end of day
What Happened
$172.87
-0.22%
Closed 13.2% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.2%
2026-03-06
↔ CAGE
Strength 75%
Magnet
Floor $178
Ceiling $180
Range 1.5%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $178–$180 for 5 days
What Happened
$174.66
+2.75%
2026-03-05
↔ CAGE
Strength 20%
Magnet
Floor $175
Ceiling $185
Range 5.9%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $175–$185 for 5 days
What Happened
$172.00
+1.36%
Broke up — max move 2.1% (need ≤2%)
2026-03-04
↔ CAGE
Strength 40%
Magnet
Floor $175
Ceiling $185
Range 5.6%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $175–$185 for 5 days
What Happened
$166.84
-6.81%
Broke down — max move 5.2% (need ≤2%)
2026-03-03
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $185
Ceiling $188
Range 1.4%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $185–$188 for 5 days
What Happened
$172.87
-2.84%
Broke up — max move 4.6% (need ≤2%)
2026-03-02
📌 PIN
Strength 5%
Magnet
Floor $170
Ceiling $188
Range 9.5%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $188 by end of day
What Happened
$177.93
-3.20%
Closed 5.2% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -3.2%
2026-02-27
📌 PIN
Strength 80%
Magnet
Floor $185
Ceiling $190
Range 2.7%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $185 by end of day
What Happened
$183.82
-1.61%
Closed 0.6% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.6%
2026-02-26
↔ CAGE
Strength 20%
Magnet
Floor $175
Ceiling $185
Range 5.3%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $175–$185 for 5 days
What Happened
$169.70
-9.49%
Broke down — max move 5.1% (need ≤2%)
2026-02-25
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $175
Ceiling $182
Range 4.0%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $175–$182 for 5 days
What Happened
$179.04
-5.67%
Broke down — max move 3.2% (need ≤2%)
2026-02-24
📌 PIN
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $185
Ceiling $192
Range 4.0%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $185 by end of day
What Happened
$189.80
+1.50%
Closed 2.6% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.5%