PYPL
$45.44
+1.14%
(updated 2026-05-12)
Today's OI Read — PYPL
Where the walls are, where price sits, and what the dealer positioning implies for PayPal
In Between Walls?
YES
$45
2ND
$50
DOM
$45.44
Sandwiched between dominant walls — dealer hedging on both sides creates structural pinning.
Magnet Strength
1.25×
Elevated (1–1.5×)
Current OI
114,633
30d Avg OI
91,406
Slightly above average — mild additional pinning force at key strikes.
Put/Call Ratio
0.67
CALL HEAVY
Below 0.8 — call OI dominates. Bullish positioning; dealers are short calls and will sell delta into rallies.
Dominant Wall
$50
▲ Above spot
The highest OI concentration strike — the structural anchor dealers are most committed to hedging.
Distance to #1 Wall
$-4.56
-10.04%
Price is below the dominant wall — acts as resistance.
Wall Skew
+0.639
CALL HEAVY
Call-heavy at the dominant wall — call sellers cap rallies toward it. Acts as resistance.
Today's Top Setup — PYPL
SQUEEZE, PIN, and CAGE scored 0–100 from OI structure. Highest score = today's highest-conviction setup.
PIN — 53.7% hit rate (n=1,719). CAGE — 45.4% (n=1,161). SQUEEZE — 49.5% (n=5,555). Half hit, half don't — the edge is asymmetric payoff.
Strength scores are locked
PROSee exactly which setup is most likely — and by how much
🚀 SQUEEZE
candidate
Strength
██%
5d horizon
Target · Stock pops ≥+5% within 10 trading days — the kind of move where the winners run far enough to outweigh the misses.
📌 PIN
AUC 0.83 measured
Strength
██%
1d horizon
Target · Price closes within 0.5% of $50 (dom strike) by +1d.
↔ CAGE
AUC 0.55 measured
Strength
██%
5d horizon
Target · Price stays between $45 – $50 through +5d.
No cage setup today — walls are 11.0% apart. Dealers only defend tight ranges (<8%).
Top OI Walls
Largest open interest concentrations · sorted by strike price · * OI projected from prior day
| Rank | Strike | Call OI | Put OI | Total OI | P/C | % of Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | $50 Resistance | 17,683 | 3,893 | 21,576 | 0.22 |
|
| #3 | $48 Resistance | 10,679 | 2,883 | 13,562 | 0.27 |
|
|
▶ $45.44
| ||||||
| #2 | $45 Support | 4,104 | 11,746 | 15,850 | 2.86 |
|
| #5 | $42 Support | 2,676 | 4,373 | 7,049 | 1.63 |
|
| #4 | $40 Support | 1,845 | 6,228 | 8,073 | 3.38 |
|
SQUEEZE / PIN / CAGE Setup Backtest — PYPL
Last 50 sessions — which setup fired, what the score was, and whether it hit. See the actual win/loss record.
0 days
·
Min Strength
60
Magnet:
2026-05-05
↔ CAGE
Strength
55%
Magnet
Floor
$51
Ceiling
$53
Range 4.3%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $51–$53 for 5 days
What Happened
$45.44
-2.26%
Broke down — max move 2.4% (need ≤2%)
2026-05-04
↔ CAGE
Strength
35%
Magnet
Floor
$51
Ceiling
$53
Range 4.0%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $51–$53 for 5 days
What Happened
$45.07
-10.56%
Broke down — max move 8.3% (need ≤2%)
2026-05-01
📌 PIN
Strength
5%
Magnet
Floor
$50
Ceiling
$60
Range 19.8%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $60 by end of day
What Happened
$50.39
-0.10%
Closed 19.1% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.1%
2026-04-30
↔ CAGE
Strength
55%
Magnet
Floor
$51
Ceiling
$52
Range 2.0%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $51–$52 for 5 days
What Happened
$46.22
-7.82%
Broke up — max move 7.3% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-29
📌 PIN
Strength
75%
Magnet
Floor
$51
Ceiling
$52
Range 2.0%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $51 by end of day
What Happened
$50.14
-1.57%
Closed 1.7% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.6%
2026-04-28
↔ CAGE
Strength
35%
Magnet
Floor
$50
Ceiling
$51
Range 3.0%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $50–$51 for 5 days
What Happened
$46.49
-6.35%
Broke up — max move 2.6% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-27
↔ CAGE
Strength
35%
Magnet
Floor
$50
Ceiling
$51
Range 3.0%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $50–$51 for 5 days
What Happened
$50.39
+1.25%
Broke down — max move 2.4% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-24
📌 PIN
Strength
35%
Magnet
Floor
$48
Ceiling
$51
Range 6.9%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $51 by end of day
What Happened
$49.77
-1.41%
Closed 2.4% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.4%
2026-04-23
↔ CAGE
Strength
55%
Magnet
Floor
$51
Ceiling
$52
Range 2.0%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $51–$52 for 5 days
What Happened
$50.14
+0.78%
2026-04-22
↔ CAGE
Strength
55%
Magnet
Floor
$51
Ceiling
$52
Range 2.0%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $51–$52 for 5 days
What Happened
$50.94
-0.55%
Broke down — max move 2.9% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-21
📌 PIN
Strength
75%
Magnet
Floor
$51
Ceiling
$52
Range 2.0%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $51 by end of day
What Happened
$51.22
+0.67%
2026-04-20
📌 PIN
Strength
65%
Magnet
Floor
$51
Ceiling
$52
Range 1.9%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $51 by end of day
What Happened
$50.88
-1.13%
2026-04-17
📌 PIN
Strength
75%
Magnet
Floor
$51
Ceiling
$52
Range 2.0%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $51 by end of day
What Happened
$51.46
+1.28%
Closed 0.9% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.3%
2026-04-16
📌 PIN
Strength
75%
Magnet
Floor
$45
Ceiling
$50
Range 10.0%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $50 by end of day
What Happened
$50.81
+2.01%
Closed 1.6% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +2.0%
2026-04-15
📌 PIN
Strength
55%
Magnet
Floor
$45
Ceiling
$50
Range 10.1%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $50 by end of day
What Happened
$49.81
+0.48%
2026-04-14
📌 PIN
Strength
15%
Magnet
Floor
$45
Ceiling
$50
Range 10.4%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $50 by end of day
What Happened
$49.57
+3.34%
Closed 0.9% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +3.3%
2026-04-13
📌 PIN
Strength
15%
Magnet
Floor
$45
Ceiling
$50
Range 10.5%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $50 by end of day
What Happened
$47.97
+0.97%
Closed 4.3% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.0%
2026-04-10
📌 PIN
Strength
5%
Magnet
Floor
$45
Ceiling
$50
Range 11.1%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $50 by end of day
What Happened
$47.51
+5.02%
Closed 5.5% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +5.0%
2026-04-09
↔ CAGE
Strength
35%
Magnet
Floor
$45
Ceiling
$47
Range 4.3%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $45–$47 for 5 days
What Happened
$49.81
+8.33%
Broke down — max move 4.3% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-08
↔ CAGE
Strength
55%
Magnet
Floor
$45
Ceiling
$46
Range 2.2%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $45–$46 for 5 days
What Happened
$49.57
+8.11%
Broke up — max move 3.6% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-07
📌 PIN
Strength
75%
Magnet
Floor
$45
Ceiling
$46
Range 1.1%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $45 by end of day
What Happened
$45.85
+2.18%
Closed 1.9% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +2.2%
2026-04-06
📌 PIN
Strength
35%
Magnet
Floor
$45
Ceiling
$46
Range 3.3%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $45 by end of day
What Happened
$44.87
-1.34%
2026-04-02
↔ CAGE
Strength
35%
Magnet
Floor
$45
Ceiling
$47
Range 4.4%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $45–$47 for 5 days
What Happened
$45.24
-0.22%
2026-04-01
↔ CAGE
Strength
35%
Magnet
Floor
$45
Ceiling
$47
Range 4.5%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $45–$47 for 5 days
What Happened
$45.98
+3.02%
2026-03-31
↔ CAGE
Strength
35%
Magnet
Floor
$45
Ceiling
$47
Range 4.4%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $45–$47 for 5 days
What Happened
$45.85
+1.37%
2026-03-30
📌 PIN
Strength
55%
Magnet
Floor
$45
Ceiling
$47
Range 4.5%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $45 by end of day
What Happened
$45.23
+1.25%
Closed 0.5% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.3%
2026-03-27
📌 PIN
Strength
10%
Magnet
Floor
$42
Ceiling
$50
Range 18.4%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $50 by end of day
What Happened
$44.67
+2.48%
Closed 12.2% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +2.5%
2026-03-26
📌 PIN
Strength
5%
Magnet
Floor
$45
Ceiling
$50
Range 11.1%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $50 by end of day
What Happened
$43.59
-3.56%
Closed 14.2% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -3.6%
2026-03-25
📌 PIN
Strength
75%
Magnet
Floor
$45
Ceiling
$48
Range 5.6%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $45 by end of day
What Happened
$45.20
+0.78%
2026-03-24
📌 PIN
Strength
35%
Magnet
Floor
$45
Ceiling
$50
Range 11.3%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $45 by end of day
What Happened
$44.85
+1.45%
2026-03-23
📌 PIN
Strength
35%
Magnet
Floor
$45
Ceiling
$48
Range 5.5%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $45 by end of day
What Happened
$44.21
-2.81%
Closed 1.7% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -2.8%
2026-03-20
↔ CAGE
Strength
35%
Magnet
Floor
$46
Ceiling
$48
Range 3.4%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $46–$48 for 5 days
What Happened
$43.59
-0.95%
Broke up — max move 3.4% (need ≤2%)
2026-03-19
📌 PIN
Strength
5%
Magnet
Floor
$45
Ceiling
$50
Range 11.3%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $50 by end of day
What Happened
$44.01
-0.41%
Closed 13.6% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.4%
2026-03-18
📌 PIN
Strength
5%
Magnet
Floor
$45
Ceiling
$50
Range 11.2%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $50 by end of day
What Happened
$44.19
-0.90%
Closed 13.0% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.9%
2026-03-17
📌 PIN
Strength
5%
Magnet
Floor
$45
Ceiling
$50
Range 10.8%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $50 by end of day
What Happened
$44.59
-3.34%
Closed 11.7% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -3.3%
2026-03-16
📌 PIN
Strength
5%
Magnet
Floor
$45
Ceiling
$50
Range 11.0%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $50 by end of day
What Happened
$46.13
+1.56%
Closed 8.5% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.6%
2026-03-13
📌 PIN
Strength
5%
Magnet
Floor
$45
Ceiling
$50
Range 11.1%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $50 by end of day
What Happened
$45.42
+1.16%
Closed 10.2% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.2%
2026-03-12
↔ CAGE
Strength
55%
Magnet
Floor
$50
Ceiling
$52
Range 4.5%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $50–$52 for 5 days
What Happened
$44.19
-0.38%
Broke up — max move 4.0% (need ≤2%)
2026-03-11
↔ CAGE
Strength
55%
Magnet
Floor
$50
Ceiling
$52
Range 4.4%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $50–$52 for 5 days
What Happened
$44.59
-2.15%
Broke down — max move 2.7% (need ≤2%)
2026-03-10
↔ CAGE
Strength
55%
Magnet
Floor
$50
Ceiling
$52
Range 4.4%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $50–$52 for 5 days
What Happened
$46.13
+2.47%
2026-03-09
↔ CAGE
Strength
55%
Magnet
Floor
$50
Ceiling
$52
Range 4.3%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $50–$52 for 5 days
What Happened
$45.42
-1.60%
Broke down — max move 3.9% (need ≤2%)
2026-03-06
📌 PIN
Strength
5%
Magnet
Floor
$40
Ceiling
$50
Range 21.3%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $50 by end of day
What Happened
$46.16
-1.72%
Closed 8.2% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.7%
2026-03-05
📌 PIN
Strength
15%
Magnet
Floor
$46
Ceiling
$50
Range 8.4%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $50 by end of day
What Happened
$46.97
-1.41%
Closed 6.4% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.4%
2026-03-04
↔ CAGE
Strength
55%
Magnet
Floor
$48
Ceiling
$50
Range 4.3%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $48–$50 for 5 days
What Happened
$45.57
-2.52%
2026-03-03
📌 PIN
Strength
15%
Magnet
Floor
$42
Ceiling
$50
Range 17.2%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $50 by end of day
What Happened
$46.75
+0.80%
Closed 7.0% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.8%
2026-03-02
📌 PIN
Strength
15%
Magnet
Floor
$42
Ceiling
$50
Range 17.5%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $50 by end of day
What Happened
$46.38
+1.64%
Closed 7.9% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.6%
2026-02-27
📌 PIN
Strength
15%
Magnet
Floor
$42
Ceiling
$50
Range 17.3%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $50 by end of day
What Happened
$45.63
-1.26%
Closed 9.5% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.3%
2026-02-26
📌 PIN
Strength
15%
Magnet
Floor
$43
Ceiling
$50
Range 15.4%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $50 by end of day
What Happened
$46.21
+1.49%
Closed 8.3% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.5%
2026-02-25
📌 PIN
Strength
15%
Magnet
Floor
$43
Ceiling
$50
Range 14.8%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $50 by end of day
What Happened
$45.53
-3.78%
Closed 9.4% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -3.8%
2026-02-24
📌 PIN
Strength
15%
Magnet
Floor
$43
Ceiling
$50
Range 14.9%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $50 by end of day
What Happened
$47.32
+0.64%
Closed 5.7% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.6%