SBUX Gamma Squeeze, Pin & Wall Analysis

SBUX Starbucks $106.58 +0.79% (updated 2026-05-12)

Today's OI Read — SBUX

Where the walls are, where price sits, and what the dealer positioning implies for Starbucks

In Between Walls?

$95

DOM

$100

2ND

$106.58

Outside the dominant wall range — directional momentum more likely than mean reversion.

Magnet Strength Details →

1.60× High (1.5–2×)

Current OI 45,285

30d Avg OI 28,310

Elevated OI — dealers carry larger hedges, making price walls structurally stronger.

Put/Call Ratio

1.11

NEUTRAL

Between 0.8–1.2 — balanced positioning. No strong directional lean from options flow alone.

Dominant Wall

$95

▼ Below spot

The highest OI concentration strike — the structural anchor dealers are most committed to hedging.

Distance to #1 Wall

$+11.58

+10.87%

Price is above the dominant wall — acts as support.

Wall Skew

-0.505

PUT HEAVY

Put-heavy at the dominant wall — put sellers defend this level. Acts as structural support/magnet.

Today's Top Setup — SBUX

SQUEEZE, PIN, and CAGE scored 0–100 from OI structure. Highest score = today's highest-conviction setup.

PIN — 53.7% hit rate (n=1,719). CAGE — 45.4% (n=1,161). SQUEEZE — 49.5% (n=5,555). Half hit, half don't — the edge is asymmetric payoff.

Strength scores are locked

PRO

See exactly which setup is most likely — and by how much

Unlock

🚀 SQUEEZE

candidate

Strength ██%

5d horizon

Target · Stock pops ≥+5% within 10 trading days — the kind of move where the winners run far enough to outweigh the misses.

📌 PIN

AUC 0.83 measured

Strength ██%

1d horizon

Target · Price closes within 0.5% of $95 (dom strike) by +1d.

↔ CAGE

AUC 0.55 measured

Strength ██%

5d horizon

Target · Price stays between $95 – $100 through +5d.

Top OI Walls

Largest open interest concentrations · sorted by strike price · * OI projected from prior day

2026-05-12

Rank	Strike	Call OI	Put OI	Total OI	P/C	% of Max
▶ $106.58
#4	$105 Support	3,067	1,036	4,103	0.34	54%
#2	$100 Support	4,824	2,147	6,971	0.45	92%
#1	$95 Support	1,870	5,682	7,552	3.04	100%
#3	$90 Support	1,038	4,528	5,566	4.36	74%
#5	$85 Support	0	3,593	3,593	—	48%

Dealer Magnet Strength

When total OI is elevated vs its 30-day rolling average, dealer hedging is heavier — walls act like magnets. Very High = stronger PIN / CAGE conviction. Near-normal = weaker structural hold.

Current Magnet Strength

High (1.5–2×)

Low (<0.7×)

69.8%

225 days · 1d

Normal (0.7–1×)

66.0%

50 days · 1d

Elevated (1–1.5×)

90.6%

32 days · 1d

High (1.5–2×)

88.2%

18 days · 1d

Very High (>2×)

90.9%

77 days · 1d

Containment Rate by OI Magnitude Bucket

OI ratio = today's total OI ÷ 30-day rolling average. Does elevated OI predict price staying inside the dominant wall range?

OI Level	Days	1d	2d	5d	10d	20d
Low (<0.7×)	225	69.8%	57.3%	46.0%	42.5%	29.4%
Normal (0.7–1×)	50	66.0%	54.0%	51.0%	46.9%	37.5%
Elevated (1–1.5×)	32	90.6%	84.4%	59.4%	40.6%	40.6%
High (1.5–2×)	18	88.2%	87.5%	73.3%	61.5%	66.7%
Very High (>2×)	77	90.9%	87.0%	66.2%	68.8%	53.9%

SQUEEZE / PIN / CAGE Setup Backtest — SBUX

Last 50 sessions — which setup fired, what the score was, and whether it hit. See the actual win/loss record.

0 days ·

Min Strength 60

Magnet:

2026-05-05

📌 PIN

Strength 80%

Magnet

Floor $105

Ceiling $106

Range 1.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $105 by end of day

What Happened

$106.44

+1.43%

Closed 1.4% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.4%

2026-05-04

📌 PIN

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $105

Ceiling $115

Range 9.5%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $105 by end of day

What Happened

$104.94

-0.03%

2026-05-01

📌 PIN

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $105

Ceiling $115

Range 9.4%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $105 by end of day

What Happened

$104.97

-0.88%

2026-04-30

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $93

Ceiling $97

Range 3.8%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $93–$97 for 5 days

What Happened

$104.26

-1.02%

2026-04-29

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $93

Ceiling $97

Range 3.8%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $93–$97 for 5 days

What Happened

$106.44

+0.89%

2026-04-28

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $92

Ceiling $95

Range 3.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $92–$95 for 5 days

What Happened

$104.94

+7.87%

Broke up — max move 8.9% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-27

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $99

Ceiling $100

Range 1.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $99–$100 for 5 days

What Happened

$104.97

+7.23%

Broke down — max move 7.8% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-24

📌 PIN

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $84

Ceiling $99

Range 15.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $99 by end of day

What Happened

$97.89

-0.79%

Closed 1.1% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.8%

2026-04-23

↔ CAGE

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $100

Ceiling $102

Range 2.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $100–$102 for 5 days

What Happened

$105.33

+5.82%

Broke down — max move 2.3% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-22

📌 PIN

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $89

Ceiling $100

Range 11.1%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $100 by end of day

What Happened

$99.54

+0.02%

2026-04-21

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $89

Ceiling $100

Range 11.2%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $100 by end of day

What Happened

$99.52

+1.76%

2026-04-20

📌 PIN

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $89

Ceiling $100

Range 11.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $100 by end of day

What Happened

$97.80

-1.16%

Closed 2.2% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.2%

2026-04-17

📌 PIN

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $89

Ceiling $100

Range 11.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $100 by end of day

What Happened

$98.95

-1.05%

Closed 1.0% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.0%

2026-04-16

↔ CAGE

Strength 40%

Magnet

Floor $95

Ceiling $100

Range 5.1%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $95–$100 for 5 days

What Happened

$99.54

+1.20%

2026-04-15

↔ CAGE

Strength 40%

Magnet

Floor $95

Ceiling $100

Range 5.1%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $95–$100 for 5 days

What Happened

$99.52

+1.20%

2026-04-14

↔ CAGE

Strength 40%

Magnet

Floor $95

Ceiling $100

Range 5.1%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $95–$100 for 5 days

What Happened

$97.80

-0.68%

2026-04-13

↔ CAGE

Strength 40%

Magnet

Floor $95

Ceiling $100

Range 5.1%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $95–$100 for 5 days

What Happened

$98.95

+1.51%

2026-04-10

📌 PIN

Strength 50%

Magnet

Floor $95

Ceiling $100

Range 5.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $95 by end of day

What Happened

$97.48

+0.91%

Closed 2.6% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.9%

2026-04-09

↔ CAGE

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $93

Ceiling $95

Range 2.1%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $93–$95 for 5 days

What Happened

$98.36

+1.49%

2026-04-08

↔ CAGE

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $93

Ceiling $94

Range 1.0%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $93–$94 for 5 days

What Happened

$98.34

+1.16%

2026-04-07

↔ CAGE

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $92

Ceiling $93

Range 1.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $92–$93 for 5 days

What Happened

$98.47

+3.42%

Broke up — max move 2.1% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-06

↔ CAGE

Strength 40%

Magnet

Floor $85

Ceiling $92

Range 7.4%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $85–$92 for 5 days

What Happened

$97.48

+2.85%

Broke up — max move 2.6% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-02

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $85

Ceiling $87

Range 2.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $85–$87 for 5 days

What Happened

$96.60

+6.89%

Broke up — max move 7.6% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-01

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $85

Ceiling $87

Range 2.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $85–$87 for 5 days

What Happened

$96.92

+7.18%

Broke down — max move 5.3% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-31

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $85

Ceiling $87

Range 2.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $85–$87 for 5 days

What Happened

$97.21

+8.51%

Broke up — max move 5.8% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-30

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $85

Ceiling $87

Range 2.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $85–$87 for 5 days

What Happened

$95.21

+9.79%

Broke up — max move 4.3% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-27

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $93

Ceiling $96

Range 3.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $93–$96 for 5 days

What Happened

$94.78

+9.18%

Broke down — max move 4.2% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-26

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $96

Ceiling $97

Range 1.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $96–$97 for 5 days

What Happened

$90.37

-0.93%

Broke down — max move 4.9% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-25

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $90

Ceiling $97

Range 7.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $90–$97 for 5 days

What Happened

$90.43

-2.45%

Broke down — max move 6.5% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-24

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $90

Ceiling $96

Range 6.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $90–$96 for 5 days

What Happened

$89.59

-2.60%

Broke up — max move 5.6% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-23

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $90

Ceiling $96

Range 6.4%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $90–$96 for 5 days

What Happened

$86.72

-7.58%

Broke down — max move 2.8% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-20

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $90

Ceiling $92

Range 2.2%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $90–$92 for 5 days

What Happened

$86.81

-6.20%

2026-03-19

↔ CAGE

Strength 40%

Magnet

Floor $85

Ceiling $90

Range 5.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $85–$90 for 5 days

What Happened

$91.22

-4.81%

Broke down — max move 4.0% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-18

📌 PIN

Strength 30%

Magnet

Floor $85

Ceiling $100

Range 16.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $85 by end of day

What Happened

$95.83

+3.42%

Closed 11.7% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +3.4%

2026-03-17

↔ CAGE

Strength 40%

Magnet

Floor $95

Ceiling $100

Range 5.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $95–$100 for 5 days

What Happened

$91.98

-5.73%

Broke down — max move 5.1% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-16

↔ CAGE

Strength 40%

Magnet

Floor $95

Ceiling $100

Range 5.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $95–$100 for 5 days

What Happened

$93.83

-4.08%

Broke down — max move 5.3% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-13

↔ CAGE

Strength 40%

Magnet

Floor $95

Ceiling $100

Range 5.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $95–$100 for 5 days

What Happened

$92.55

-6.66%

Broke down — max move 6.5% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-12

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $98

Ceiling $103

Range 5.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $98–$103 for 5 days

What Happened

$95.83

-4.34%

Broke down — max move 2.6% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-11

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $98

Ceiling $103

Range 4.9%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $98–$103 for 5 days

What Happened

$92.66

-8.66%

Broke down — max move 3.6% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-10

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $98

Ceiling $103

Range 5.0%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $98–$103 for 5 days

What Happened

$97.57

-3.18%

2026-03-09

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $98

Ceiling $99

Range 1.0%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $98–$99 for 5 days

What Happened

$97.82

-1.95%

2026-03-06

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $97

Ceiling $98

Range 1.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $97–$98 for 5 days

What Happened

$99.15

+0.16%

Broke up — max move 2.5% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-05

📌 PIN

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $99

Ceiling $100

Range 1.0%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $99 by end of day

What Happened

$98.99

+0.30%

2026-03-04

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $99

Ceiling $100

Range 1.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $99–$100 for 5 days

What Happened

$101.44

+4.42%

Broke up — max move 2.7% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-03

↔ CAGE

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $99

Ceiling $100

Range 1.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $99–$100 for 5 days

What Happened

$100.77

+4.23%

Broke up — max move 2.4% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-02

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $99

Ceiling $100

Range 1.0%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $99–$100 for 5 days

What Happened

$99.77

+3.11%

2026-02-27

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $90

Ceiling $95

Range 5.1%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $90–$95 for 5 days

What Happened

$98.99

+0.99%

2026-02-26

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $96

Ceiling $98

Range 2.0%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $96–$98 for 5 days

What Happened

$98.69

+0.62%

2026-02-25

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $96

Ceiling $98

Range 2.0%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $96–$98 for 5 days

What Happened

$97.15

-0.80%

2026-02-24

↔ CAGE

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $97

Ceiling $98

Range 1.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $97–$98 for 5 days

What Happened

$96.68

+0.18%

Broke up — max move 1.6% (need ≤2%)