TGT Gamma Squeeze, Pin & Wall Analysis

TGT Target $123.18 -0.04% (updated 2026-06-02)

Today's OI Read — TGT

Where the walls are, where price sits, and what the dealer positioning implies for Target

In Between Walls?

YES

$115

2ND

$127

DOM

$123.18

Sandwiched between dominant walls — dealer hedging on both sides creates structural pinning.

Magnet Strength Details →

0.54× Low (<0.7×)

Current OI 13,556

30d Avg OI 25,341

Near or below average — wall levels carry typical structural weight.

Put/Call Ratio

0.85

NEUTRAL

Between 0.8–1.2 — balanced positioning. No strong directional lean from options flow alone.

Dominant Wall

$127

▲ Above spot

The highest OI concentration strike — the structural anchor dealers are most committed to hedging.

Distance to #1 Wall

$-3.82

-3.10%

Price is below the dominant wall — acts as resistance.

Wall Skew

+0.069

BALANCED

Balanced call/put OI at the dominant wall — no dominant dealer incentive in either direction.

Today's Top Setup — TGT

SQUEEZE, PIN, and CAGE scored 0–100 from OI structure. Highest score = today's highest-conviction setup.

PIN — 53.7% hit rate (n=1,719). CAGE — 45.4% (n=1,161). SQUEEZE — 49.5% (n=5,555). Half hit, half don't — the edge is asymmetric payoff.

Strength scores are locked

PRO

See exactly which setup is most likely — and by how much

Unlock

🚀 SQUEEZE

candidate

Strength ██%

5d horizon

Target · Stock pops ≥+5% within 10 trading days — the kind of move where the winners run far enough to outweigh the misses.

📌 PIN

AUC 0.83 measured

Strength ██%

1d horizon

Target · Price closes within 0.5% of $127 (dom strike) by +1d.

↔ CAGE

AUC 0.55 measured

Strength ██%

5d horizon

Target · Price stays between $115 – $127 through +5d.

No cage setup today — walls are 9.7% apart. Dealers only defend tight ranges (<8%).

Top OI Walls

Largest open interest concentrations · sorted by strike price

2026-06-02

Rank	Strike	Call OI	Put OI	Total OI	P/C	% of Max
#3	$129 Resistance	797	289	1,086	0.36	69%
#1	$127 Resistance	843	734	1,577	0.87	100%
#4	$124 Resistance	713	353	1,066	0.50	68%
▶ $123.18
#5	$123 Support	492	518	1,010	1.05	64%
#2	$115 Support	89	1,226	1,315	13.78	83%

Dealer Magnet Strength

When total OI is elevated vs its 30-day rolling average, dealer hedging is heavier — walls act like magnets. Very High = stronger PIN / CAGE conviction. Near-normal = weaker structural hold.

Current Magnet Strength

Low (<0.7×)

72.7%

177 days · 1d

Normal (0.7–1×)

80.7%

83 days · 1d

Elevated (1–1.5×)

74.0%

50 days · 1d

High (1.5–2×)

88.2%

51 days · 1d

Very High (>2×)

81.8%

55 days · 1d

Containment Rate by OI Magnitude Bucket

OI ratio = today's total OI ÷ 30-day rolling average. Does elevated OI predict price staying inside the dominant wall range?

OI Level	Days	1d	2d	5d	10d	20d
Low (<0.7×)	177	72.7%	58.9%	44.3%	39.9%	29.1%
Normal (0.7–1×)	83	80.7%	73.5%	56.8%	52.5%	28.9%
Elevated (1–1.5×)	50	74.0%	64.0%	52.0%	34.7%	36.7%
High (1.5–2×)	51	88.2%	84.3%	74.5%	49.0%	53.1%
Very High (>2×)	55	81.8%	78.2%	58.2%	47.2%	38.0%

SQUEEZE / PIN / CAGE Setup Backtest — TGT

Last 50 sessions — which setup fired, what the score was, and whether it hit. See the actual win/loss record.

0 days ·

Min Strength 60

Magnet:

2026-05-26

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $130

Ceiling $135

Range 4.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $130–$135 for 5 days

What Happened

$123.18

-1.79%

Broke up — max move 2.6% (need ≤2%)

2026-05-22

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $120

Ceiling $130

Range 8.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $120–$130 for 5 days

What Happened

$123.71

-1.50%

Broke down — max move 2.4% (need ≤2%)

2026-05-21

📌 PIN

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $119

Ceiling $135

Range 12.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $135 by end of day

What Happened

$125.60

-0.44%

Closed 7.5% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.4%

2026-05-20

📌 PIN

Strength 30%

Magnet

Floor $105

Ceiling $135

Range 24.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $135 by end of day

What Happened

$126.15

+3.12%

Closed 7.2% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +3.1%

2026-05-19

📌 PIN

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $105

Ceiling $135

Range 23.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $105 by end of day

What Happened

$122.33

-3.86%

Closed 13.6% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -3.9%

2026-05-18

📌 PIN

Strength 15%

Magnet

Floor $110

Ceiling $135

Range 20.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $135 by end of day

What Happened

$127.24

+3.11%

Closed 6.3% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +3.1%

2026-05-15

📌 PIN

Strength 30%

Magnet

Floor $105

Ceiling $135

Range 24.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $135 by end of day

What Happened

$123.40

+1.53%

Closed 9.5% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.5%

2026-05-14

📌 PIN

Strength 60%

Magnet

Floor $120

Ceiling $125

Range 4.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $125 by end of day

What Happened

$121.54

-1.25%

Closed 2.8% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.3%

2026-05-13

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $120

Ceiling $125

Range 4.1%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $120–$125 for 5 days

What Happened

$122.33

+0.70%

2026-05-12

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $120

Ceiling $125

Range 4.1%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $120–$125 for 5 days

What Happened

$127.24

+4.47%

2026-05-11

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $120

Ceiling $125

Range 4.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $120–$125 for 5 days

What Happened

$123.40

+4.19%

Broke up — max move 3.9% (need ≤2%)

2026-05-08

📌 PIN

Strength 80%

Magnet

Floor $120

Ceiling $125

Range 4.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $125 by end of day

What Happened

$118.44

-5.44%

Closed 5.2% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -5.4%

2026-05-07

📌 PIN

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $125

Ceiling $131

Range 4.8%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $125 by end of day

What Happened

$125.25

-0.50%

2026-05-06

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $125

Ceiling $131

Range 4.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $125–$131 for 5 days

What Happened

$121.48

-6.69%

Broke down — max move 9.0% (need ≤2%)

2026-05-05

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $125

Ceiling $131

Range 4.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $125–$131 for 5 days

What Happened

$121.80

-5.45%

Broke up — max move 2.8% (need ≤2%)

2026-05-04

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $131

Ceiling $132

Range 0.8%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $131–$132 for 5 days

What Happened

$118.44

-7.29%

2026-05-01

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $131

Ceiling $132

Range 0.8%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $131–$132 for 5 days

What Happened

$125.25

-2.82%

2026-04-30

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $124

Ceiling $130

Range 4.6%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $124–$130 for 5 days

What Happened

$125.88

-2.98%

2026-04-29

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $124

Ceiling $129

Range 3.9%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $124–$129 for 5 days

What Happened

$130.19

+1.81%

2026-04-28

↔ CAGE

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $129

Ceiling $130

Range 0.8%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $129–$130 for 5 days

What Happened

$128.82

+1.32%

Broke up — max move 2.1% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-27

↔ CAGE

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $129

Ceiling $130

Range 0.8%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $129–$130 for 5 days

What Happened

$127.76

-1.51%

2026-04-24

📌 PIN

Strength 90%

Magnet

Floor $129

Ceiling $132

Range 2.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $129 by end of day

What Happened

$129.72

+0.36%

Closed 0.6% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.4%

2026-04-23

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $125

Ceiling $140

Range 11.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $140 by end of day

What Happened

$129.26

-0.70%

Closed 8.3% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.7%

2026-04-22

📌 PIN

Strength 15%

Magnet

Floor $125

Ceiling $140

Range 11.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $140 by end of day

What Happened

$130.17

-0.33%

Closed 7.5% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.3%

2026-04-21

📌 PIN

Strength 15%

Magnet

Floor $125

Ceiling $140

Range 11.4%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $140 by end of day

What Happened

$130.60

-1.14%

Closed 7.1% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.1%

2026-04-20

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $125

Ceiling $126

Range 0.8%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $125–$126 for 5 days

What Happened

$129.72

-0.35%

2026-04-17

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $115

Ceiling $121

Range 4.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $115–$121 for 5 days

What Happened

$129.26

+1.11%

Broke up — max move 3.3% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-16

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $110

Ceiling $115

Range 4.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $110–$115 for 5 days

What Happened

$130.17

+5.05%

Broke up — max move 6.6% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-15

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $110

Ceiling $115

Range 4.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $110–$115 for 5 days

What Happened

$130.60

+6.29%

Broke up — max move 5.9% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-14

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $110

Ceiling $115

Range 4.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $110–$115 for 5 days

What Happened

$132.10

+10.52%

Broke up — max move 7.0% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-13

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $110

Ceiling $115

Range 4.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $110–$115 for 5 days

What Happened

$130.18

+10.43%

Broke up — max move 5.1% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-10

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $110

Ceiling $115

Range 4.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $110–$115 for 5 days

What Happened

$127.84

+4.88%

Broke down — max move 3.3% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-09

📌 PIN

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $120

Ceiling $123

Range 2.4%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $123 by end of day

What Happened

$121.89

-1.73%

Closed 0.9% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.7%

2026-04-08

📌 PIN

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $120

Ceiling $123

Range 2.4%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $123 by end of day

What Happened

$124.03

+0.74%

Closed 0.8% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.7%

2026-04-07

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $120

Ceiling $123

Range 2.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $120–$123 for 5 days

What Happened

$119.53

+0.01%

Broke up — max move 3.8% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-06

↔ CAGE

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $120

Ceiling $121

Range 0.8%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $120–$121 for 5 days

What Happened

$117.88

-3.54%

Broke down — max move 2.2% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-02

📌 PIN

Strength 30%

Magnet

Floor $115

Ceiling $125

Range 8.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $115 by end of day

What Happened

$122.21

+1.46%

Closed 6.0% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.5%

2026-04-01

📌 PIN

Strength 30%

Magnet

Floor $115

Ceiling $125

Range 8.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $115 by end of day

What Happened

$120.45

+0.00%

Closed 4.5% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.0%

2026-03-31

📌 PIN

Strength 15%

Magnet

Floor $115

Ceiling $125

Range 8.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $115 by end of day

What Happened

$120.45

-0.62%

Closed 4.5% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.6%

2026-03-30

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $115

Ceiling $134

Range 16.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $115 by end of day

What Happened

$121.20

+2.04%

Closed 5.2% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +2.0%

2026-03-27

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $110

Ceiling $115

Range 4.2%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $110–$115 for 5 days

What Happened

$122.21

+1.98%

2026-03-26

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $112

Ceiling $115

Range 2.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $112–$115 for 5 days

What Happened

$120.45

+2.95%

Broke up — max move 3.6% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-25

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $112

Ceiling $115

Range 2.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $112–$115 for 5 days

What Happened

$120.45

+3.51%

Broke up — max move 3.0% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-24

↔ CAGE

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $112

Ceiling $115

Range 2.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $112–$115 for 5 days

What Happened

$121.20

+4.55%

Broke up — max move 3.4% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-23

↔ CAGE

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $112

Ceiling $115

Range 2.6%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $112–$115 for 5 days

What Happened

$118.78

+3.35%

2026-03-20

📌 PIN

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $115

Ceiling $119

Range 3.5%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $115 by end of day

What Happened

$114.93

+1.47%

2026-03-19

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $110

Ceiling $115

Range 4.4%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $110–$115 for 5 days

What Happened

$117.00

+2.21%

2026-03-18

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $110

Ceiling $115

Range 4.3%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $110–$115 for 5 days

What Happened

$116.37

+1.15%

2026-03-17

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $110

Ceiling $115

Range 4.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $110–$115 for 5 days

What Happened

$115.92

-0.72%

Broke down — max move 3.0% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-16

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $110

Ceiling $115

Range 4.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $110–$115 for 5 days

What Happened

$114.93

-1.81%

Broke down — max move 2.2% (need ≤2%)