TMO Gamma Squeeze, Pin & Wall Analysis

TMO Thermo Fisher $459.30 +1.09% (updated 2026-05-12)

Today's OI Read — TMO

Where the walls are, where price sits, and what the dealer positioning implies for Thermo Fisher

In Between Walls?

YES

$420

DOM

$500

2ND

$459.30

Sandwiched between dominant walls — dealer hedging on both sides creates structural pinning.

Magnet Strength Details →

2.41× Very High (>2×)

Current OI 5,387

30d Avg OI 2,234

Elevated OI — dealers carry larger hedges, making price walls structurally stronger.

Put/Call Ratio

3.18

PUT HEAVY

Above 1.2 — more put OI than calls. Hedging demand elevated; market participants are positioned defensively.

Dominant Wall

$420

▼ Below spot

The highest OI concentration strike — the structural anchor dealers are most committed to hedging.

Distance to #1 Wall

$+39.30

+8.56%

Price is above the dominant wall — acts as support.

Wall Skew

-1.000

PUT HEAVY

Put-heavy at the dominant wall — put sellers defend this level. Acts as structural support/magnet.

Today's Top Setup — TMO

SQUEEZE, PIN, and CAGE scored 0–100 from OI structure. Highest score = today's highest-conviction setup.

PIN — 53.7% hit rate (n=1,719). CAGE — 45.4% (n=1,161). SQUEEZE — 49.5% (n=5,555). Half hit, half don't — the edge is asymmetric payoff.

Strength scores are locked

PRO

See exactly which setup is most likely — and by how much

Unlock

🚀 SQUEEZE

candidate

Strength ██%

5d horizon

Target · Stock pops ≥+5% within 10 trading days — the kind of move where the winners run far enough to outweigh the misses.

📌 PIN

AUC 0.83 measured

Strength ██%

1d horizon

Target · Price closes within 0.5% of $420 (dom strike) by +1d.

↔ CAGE

AUC 0.55 measured

Strength ██%

5d horizon

Target · Price stays between $420 – $500 through +5d.

No cage setup today — walls are 17.4% apart. Dealers only defend tight ranges (<8%).

Top OI Walls

Largest open interest concentrations · sorted by strike price · * OI projected from prior day

2026-05-12

Rank	Strike	Call OI	Put OI	Total OI	P/C	% of Max
#2	$500 Resistance	145	1,018	1,163	7.02	81%
#5	$470 Resistance	45	203	248	4.51	17%
#3	$460 Resistance	29	632	661	21.79	46%
▶ $459.30
#4	$450 Support	6	401	407	66.83	29%
#1	$420 Support	0	1,428	1,428	—	100%

Dealer Magnet Strength

When total OI is elevated vs its 30-day rolling average, dealer hedging is heavier — walls act like magnets. Very High = stronger PIN / CAGE conviction. Near-normal = weaker structural hold.

Current Magnet Strength

Very High (>2×)

Low (<0.7×)

73.3%

232 days · 1d

Normal (0.7–1×)

63.2%

38 days · 1d

Elevated (1–1.5×)

80.0%

45 days · 1d

High (1.5–2×)

72.7%

22 days · 1d

Very High (>2×)

85.9%

65 days · 1d

Containment Rate by OI Magnitude Bucket

OI ratio = today's total OI ÷ 30-day rolling average. Does elevated OI predict price staying inside the dominant wall range?

OI Level	Days	1d	2d	5d	10d	20d
Low (<0.7×)	232	73.3%	56.5%	48.3%	37.3%	24.2%
Normal (0.7–1×)	38	63.2%	63.2%	55.3%	44.7%	22.2%
Elevated (1–1.5×)	45	80.0%	73.3%	68.9%	57.8%	46.5%
High (1.5–2×)	22	72.7%	77.3%	59.1%	54.5%	45.5%
Very High (>2×)	65	85.9%	84.1%	67.7%	43.5%	35.5%

SQUEEZE / PIN / CAGE Setup Backtest — TMO

Last 50 sessions — which setup fired, what the score was, and whether it hit. See the actual win/loss record.

0 days ·

Min Strength 60

Magnet:

2026-05-05

📌 PIN

Strength 45%

Magnet

Floor $460

Ceiling $475

Range 3.2%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $475 by end of day

What Happened

$472.95

+1.33%

2026-05-04

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $460

Ceiling $475

Range 3.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $460–$475 for 5 days

What Happened

$452.60

-2.16%

Broke up — max move 2.6% (need ≤2%)

2026-05-01

📌 PIN

Strength 45%

Magnet

Floor $460

Ceiling $475

Range 3.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $475 by end of day

What Happened

$462.60

-1.41%

Closed 2.6% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.4%

2026-04-30

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $450

Ceiling $470

Range 4.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $450–$470 for 5 days

What Happened

$474.46

-0.94%

Broke down — max move 3.4% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-29

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $448

Ceiling $450

Range 0.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $448–$450 for 5 days

What Happened

$472.95

+1.43%

Broke up — max move 2.7% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-28

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $448

Ceiling $450

Range 0.5%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $448–$450 for 5 days

What Happened

$466.76

-0.74%

2026-04-27

📌 PIN

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $450

Ceiling $470

Range 4.3%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $470 by end of day

What Happened

$470.22

+0.47%

2026-04-24

📌 PIN

Strength 80%

Magnet

Floor $460

Ceiling $470

Range 2.1%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $470 by end of day

What Happened

$468.04

-0.36%

2026-04-23

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $480

Ceiling $510

Range 6.4%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $480–$510 for 5 days

What Happened

$478.96

+2.63%

2026-04-22

📌 PIN

Strength 70%

Magnet

Floor $510

Ceiling $560

Range 9.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $510 by end of day

What Happened

$466.70

-9.20%

Closed 8.4% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -9.2%

2026-04-21

📌 PIN

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $525

Ceiling $540

Range 2.9%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $525 by end of day

What Happened

$513.98

-2.02%

Closed 2.1% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -2.0%

2026-04-20

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $492

Ceiling $540

Range 9.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $540 by end of day

What Happened

$524.57

-0.28%

Closed 2.9% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.3%

2026-04-17

📌 PIN

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $525

Ceiling $540

Range 2.8%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $525 by end of day

What Happened

$526.02

-0.11%

2026-04-16

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $480

Ceiling $500

Range 3.9%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $480–$500 for 5 days

What Happened

$466.70

-9.55%

Broke up — max move 2.1% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-15

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $480

Ceiling $500

Range 3.8%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $480–$500 for 5 days

What Happened

$513.98

-3.33%

Broke down — max move 2.9% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-14

↔ CAGE

Strength 40%

Magnet

Floor $480

Ceiling $510

Range 5.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $480–$510 for 5 days

What Happened

$524.57

-0.50%

Broke up — max move 2.1% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-13

↔ CAGE

Strength 40%

Magnet

Floor $480

Ceiling $510

Range 5.8%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $480–$510 for 5 days

What Happened

$526.02

+2.29%

Broke up — max move 3.4% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-10

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $480

Ceiling $510

Range 6.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $480–$510 for 5 days

What Happened

$526.60

+6.15%

Broke up — max move 7.2% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-09

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $490

Ceiling $510

Range 4.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $490–$510 for 5 days

What Happened

$516.00

+3.11%

Broke down — max move 5.3% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-08

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $460

Ceiling $465

Range 1.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $460–$465 for 5 days

What Happened

$531.67

+5.60%

Broke down — max move 2.1% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-07

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $460

Ceiling $485

Range 5.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $460–$485 for 5 days

What Happened

$527.22

+7.71%

Broke up — max move 2.9% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-06

📌 PIN

Strength 30%

Magnet

Floor $460

Ceiling $510

Range 10.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $460 by end of day

What Happened

$489.50

+0.27%

Closed 6.0% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.3%

2026-04-02

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $450

Ceiling $460

Range 2.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $450–$460 for 5 days

What Happened

$496.11

+0.95%

Broke down — max move 2.4% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-01

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $450

Ceiling $460

Range 2.0%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $450–$460 for 5 days

What Happened

$500.46

+1.20%

2026-03-31

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $450

Ceiling $460

Range 2.0%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $450–$460 for 5 days

What Happened

$503.46

+2.43%

2026-03-30

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $450

Ceiling $488

Range 7.8%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $450–$488 for 5 days

What Happened

$489.50

+1.97%

Broke up — max move 3.0% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-27

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $450

Ceiling $460

Range 2.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $450–$460 for 5 days

What Happened

$488.19

+3.13%

Broke up — max move 4.5% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-26

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $460

Ceiling $490

Range 6.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $460–$490 for 5 days

What Happened

$491.46

+0.53%

Broke down — max move 3.2% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-25

📌 PIN

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $480

Ceiling $490

Range 2.0%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $490 by end of day

What Happened

$488.85

-0.39%

2026-03-24

📌 PIN

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $480

Ceiling $490

Range 2.0%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $490 by end of day

What Happened

$490.77

+0.10%

2026-03-23

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $480

Ceiling $490

Range 2.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $480–$490 for 5 days

What Happened

$480.05

+0.40%

Broke up — max move 2.6% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-20

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $480

Ceiling $490

Range 2.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $480–$490 for 5 days

What Happened

$473.36

-0.22%

Broke up — max move 3.5% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-19

📌 PIN

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $450

Ceiling $470

Range 4.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $470 by end of day

What Happened

$474.39

+0.89%

Closed 0.9% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.9%

2026-03-18

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $470

Ceiling $510

Range 8.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $510 by end of day

What Happened

$470.21

+1.19%

Closed 8.6% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.2%

2026-03-17

📌 PIN

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $470

Ceiling $500

Range 6.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $470 by end of day

What Happened

$464.69

-1.70%

Closed 1.1% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.7%

2026-03-16

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $470

Ceiling $510

Range 8.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $510 by end of day

What Happened

$472.71

+0.58%

Closed 7.9% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.6%

2026-03-13

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $520

Ceiling $540

Range 4.3%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $520–$540 for 5 days

What Happened

$474.39

+2.16%

2026-03-12

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $490

Ceiling $535

Range 9.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $535 by end of day

What Happened

$464.37

-2.42%

Closed 14.8% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -2.4%

2026-03-11

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $490

Ceiling $535

Range 9.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $535 by end of day

What Happened

$475.89

-4.00%

Closed 11.9% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -4.0%

2026-03-10

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $490

Ceiling $515

Range 5.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $490–$515 for 5 days

What Happened

$472.71

-5.47%

Broke down — max move 7.1% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-09

📌 PIN

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $515

Ceiling $520

Range 1.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $515 by end of day

What Happened

$500.08

-1.94%

Closed 2.9% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.9%

2026-03-06

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $520

Ceiling $535

Range 3.0%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $520–$535 for 5 days

What Happened

$464.37

-7.49%

2026-03-05

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $530

Ceiling $535

Range 1.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $530–$535 for 5 days

What Happened

$475.89

-8.28%

Broke down — max move 3.6% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-04

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $520

Ceiling $530

Range 2.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $520–$530 for 5 days

What Happened

$495.72

-3.31%

Broke up — max move 2.1% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-03

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $520

Ceiling $530

Range 2.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $520–$530 for 5 days

What Happened

$500.08

-1.58%

Broke up — max move 2.1% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-02

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $520

Ceiling $530

Range 2.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $520–$530 for 5 days

What Happened

$509.97

+0.27%

Broke down — max move 2.0% (need ≤2%)

2026-02-27

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $520

Ceiling $530

Range 1.9%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $520–$530 for 5 days

What Happened

$501.97

-3.67%

Broke down — max move 2.5% (need ≤2%)

2026-02-26

📌 PIN

Strength 15%

Magnet

Floor $480

Ceiling $550

Range 13.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $480 by end of day

What Happened

$521.11

+0.19%

Closed 7.9% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.2%

2026-02-25

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $480

Ceiling $510

Range 5.8%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $480–$510 for 5 days

What Happened

$512.69

-0.19%

2026-02-24

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $480

Ceiling $505

Range 4.8%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $480–$505 for 5 days

What Happened

$508.10

-1.45%