TXN Gamma Squeeze, Pin & Wall Analysis

TXN Texas Instruments $295.17 -0.37% (updated 2026-05-12)

Today's OI Read — TXN

Where the walls are, where price sits, and what the dealer positioning implies for Texas Instruments

In Between Walls?

$260

DOM

$285

2ND

$295.17

Outside the dominant wall range — directional momentum more likely than mean reversion.

Magnet Strength Details →

1.77× High (1.5–2×)

Current OI 24,035

30d Avg OI 13,558

Elevated OI — dealers carry larger hedges, making price walls structurally stronger.

Put/Call Ratio

0.56

CALL HEAVY

Below 0.8 — call OI dominates. Bullish positioning; dealers are short calls and will sell delta into rallies.

Dominant Wall

$260

▼ Below spot

The highest OI concentration strike — the structural anchor dealers are most committed to hedging.

Distance to #1 Wall

$+35.17

+11.92%

Price is above the dominant wall — acts as support.

Wall Skew

-0.544

PUT HEAVY

Put-heavy at the dominant wall — put sellers defend this level. Acts as structural support/magnet.

Today's Top Setup — TXN

SQUEEZE, PIN, and CAGE scored 0–100 from OI structure. Highest score = today's highest-conviction setup.

PIN — 53.7% hit rate (n=1,719). CAGE — 45.4% (n=1,161). SQUEEZE — 49.5% (n=5,555). Half hit, half don't — the edge is asymmetric payoff.

Strength scores are locked

PRO

See exactly which setup is most likely — and by how much

Unlock

🚀 SQUEEZE

candidate

Strength ██%

5d horizon

Target · Stock pops ≥+5% within 10 trading days — the kind of move where the winners run far enough to outweigh the misses.

📌 PIN

AUC 0.83 measured

Strength ██%

1d horizon

Target · Price closes within 0.5% of $260 (dom strike) by +1d.

↔ CAGE

AUC 0.55 measured

Strength ██%

5d horizon

Target · Price stays between $260 – $285 through +5d.

No cage setup today — walls are 8.5% apart. Dealers only defend tight ranges (<8%).

Top OI Walls

Largest open interest concentrations · sorted by strike price · * OI projected from prior day

2026-05-12

Rank	Strike	Call OI	Put OI	Total OI	P/C	% of Max
▶ $295.17
#4	$295 Support	1,774	13	1,787	0.01	62%
#5	$290 Support	1,560	89	1,649	0.06	57%
#2	$285 Support	2,780	72	2,852	0.03	99%
#1	$260 Support	656	2,224	2,880	3.39	100%
#3	$250 Support	0	2,368	2,368	—	82%

Dealer Magnet Strength

When total OI is elevated vs its 30-day rolling average, dealer hedging is heavier — walls act like magnets. Very High = stronger PIN / CAGE conviction. Near-normal = weaker structural hold.

Current Magnet Strength

High (1.5–2×)

Low (<0.7×)

72.2%

223 days · 1d

Normal (0.7–1×)

80.4%

51 days · 1d

Elevated (1–1.5×)

71.4%

35 days · 1d

High (1.5–2×)

77.8%

19 days · 1d

Very High (>2×)

81.3%

75 days · 1d

Containment Rate by OI Magnitude Bucket

OI ratio = today's total OI ÷ 30-day rolling average. Does elevated OI predict price staying inside the dominant wall range?

OI Level	Days	1d	2d	5d	10d	20d
Low (<0.7×)	223	72.2%	64.6%	49.8%	33.8%	21.5%
Normal (0.7–1×)	51	80.4%	68.6%	55.1%	46.8%	33.3%
Elevated (1–1.5×)	35	71.4%	65.7%	60.0%	42.4%	21.4%
High (1.5–2×)	19	77.8%	70.6%	25.0%	31.2%	37.5%
Very High (>2×)	75	81.3%	72.0%	65.3%	49.3%	22.7%

SQUEEZE / PIN / CAGE Setup Backtest — TXN

Last 50 sessions — which setup fired, what the score was, and whether it hit. See the actual win/loss record.

0 days ·

Min Strength 60

Magnet:

2026-05-05

📌 PIN

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $250

Ceiling $285

Range 12.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $285 by end of day

What Happened

$289.44

+3.00%

Closed 1.6% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +3.0%

2026-05-04

📌 PIN

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $250

Ceiling $285

Range 12.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $285 by end of day

What Happened

$281.00

+0.04%

Closed 1.4% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.0%

2026-05-01

↔ CAGE

Strength 40%

Magnet

Floor $250

Ceiling $270

Range 7.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $250–$270 for 5 days

What Happened

$287.80

+2.41%

Broke down — max move 3.0% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-30

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $280

Ceiling $300

Range 7.1%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $280–$300 for 5 days

What Happened

$285.24

+1.48%

2026-04-29

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $260

Ceiling $300

Range 14.9%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $300 by end of day

What Happened

$281.08

+4.41%

Closed 7.0% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +4.4%

2026-04-28

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $260

Ceiling $300

Range 15.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $300 by end of day

What Happened

$269.22

+1.59%

Closed 11.6% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.6%

2026-04-27

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $260

Ceiling $300

Range 14.8%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $300 by end of day

What Happened

$265.00

-1.67%

Closed 13.0% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.7%

2026-04-24

📌 PIN

Strength 15%

Magnet

Floor $260

Ceiling $300

Range 14.4%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $300 by end of day

What Happened

$269.50

-2.76%

Closed 11.0% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -2.8%

2026-04-23

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $230

Ceiling $250

Range 7.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $230–$250 for 5 days

What Happened

$281.08

-0.41%

Broke down — max move 6.1% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-22

📌 PIN

Strength 45%

Magnet

Floor $230

Ceiling $240

Range 4.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $240 by end of day

What Happened

$282.23

+19.43%

Closed 17.9% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +19.4%

2026-04-21

📌 PIN

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $230

Ceiling $240

Range 4.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $230 by end of day

What Happened

$236.31

+1.36%

Closed 2.7% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.4%

2026-04-20

📌 PIN

Strength 45%

Magnet

Floor $230

Ceiling $240

Range 4.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $230 by end of day

What Happened

$233.15

-0.24%

Closed 1.3% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.2%

2026-04-17

📌 PIN

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $230

Ceiling $240

Range 4.4%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $230 by end of day

What Happened

$233.70

+1.69%

Closed 1.6% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.7%

2026-04-16

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $190

Ceiling $195

Range 2.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $190–$195 for 5 days

What Happened

$282.23

+26.50%

Broke up — max move 4.8% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-15

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $190

Ceiling $195

Range 2.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $190–$195 for 5 days

What Happened

$236.31

+9.26%

Broke up — max move 8.0% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-14

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $190

Ceiling $195

Range 2.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $190–$195 for 5 days

What Happened

$233.15

+6.52%

Broke down — max move 5.0% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-13

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $190

Ceiling $222

Range 15.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $190 by end of day

What Happened

$218.87

+1.00%

Closed 13.3% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.0%

2026-04-10

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $190

Ceiling $195

Range 2.3%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $190–$195 for 5 days

What Happened

$229.82

+7.03%

2026-04-09

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $202

Ceiling $205

Range 1.2%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $202–$205 for 5 days

What Happened

$223.10

+3.78%

2026-04-08

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $202

Ceiling $205

Range 1.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $202–$205 for 5 days

What Happened

$216.29

+3.54%

Broke up — max move 3.7% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-07

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $198

Ceiling $205

Range 3.8%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $198–$205 for 5 days

What Happened

$218.87

+9.58%

Broke up — max move 7.6% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-06

📌 PIN

Strength 65%

Magnet

Floor $198

Ceiling $202

Range 2.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $198 by end of day

What Happened

$199.74

+0.16%

Closed 1.1% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.2%

2026-04-02

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $195

Ceiling $200

Range 2.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $195–$200 for 5 days

What Happened

$214.73

+10.19%

Broke up — max move 7.2% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-01

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $195

Ceiling $200

Range 2.5%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $195–$200 for 5 days

What Happened

$214.98

+9.52%

2026-03-31

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $195

Ceiling $200

Range 2.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $195–$200 for 5 days

What Happened

$208.90

+7.60%

Broke up — max move 2.7% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-30

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $195

Ceiling $200

Range 2.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $195–$200 for 5 days

What Happened

$199.74

+7.15%

Broke up — max move 5.3% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-27

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $200

Ceiling $205

Range 2.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $200–$205 for 5 days

What Happened

$199.42

+4.78%

Broke down — max move 3.1% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-26

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $200

Ceiling $202

Range 1.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $200–$202 for 5 days

What Happened

$194.87

+0.75%

Broke down — max move 3.6% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-25

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $200

Ceiling $202

Range 1.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $200–$202 for 5 days

What Happened

$196.30

-0.24%

Broke down — max move 5.3% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-24

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $195

Ceiling $200

Range 2.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $195–$200 for 5 days

What Happened

$194.14

-0.25%

Broke up — max move 2.2% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-23

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $195

Ceiling $200

Range 2.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $195–$200 for 5 days

What Happened

$186.42

-1.17%

Broke up — max move 4.3% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-20

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $195

Ceiling $200

Range 2.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $195–$200 for 5 days

What Happened

$190.33

+1.68%

Broke up — max move 5.1% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-19

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $160

Ceiling $185

Range 13.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $160 by end of day

What Happened

$187.19

-0.58%

Closed 14.4% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.6%

2026-03-18

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $160

Ceiling $185

Range 13.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $160 by end of day

What Happened

$188.29

-1.31%

Closed 14.8% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.3%

2026-03-17

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $160

Ceiling $185

Range 12.9%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $160 by end of day

What Happened

$190.78

-1.89%

Closed 15.8% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.9%

2026-03-16

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $160

Ceiling $185

Range 12.9%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $160 by end of day

What Happened

$194.45

+0.16%

Closed 17.7% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.2%

2026-03-13

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $160

Ceiling $185

Range 13.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $160 by end of day

What Happened

$194.13

+1.76%

Closed 17.9% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.8%

2026-03-12

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $205

Ceiling $212

Range 3.9%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $205–$212 for 5 days

What Happened

$188.29

-0.93%

Broke up — max move 2.3% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-11

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $205

Ceiling $212

Range 3.8%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $205–$212 for 5 days

What Happened

$190.78

-3.97%

Broke down — max move 4.3% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-10

↔ CAGE

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $202

Ceiling $205

Range 1.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $202–$205 for 5 days

What Happened

$194.45

-1.52%

Broke up — max move 3.8% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-09

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $198

Ceiling $205

Range 3.8%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $198–$205 for 5 days

What Happened

$194.13

-1.06%

Broke up — max move 3.1% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-06

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $205

Ceiling $212

Range 3.9%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $205–$212 for 5 days

What Happened

$190.78

-1.27%

Broke up — max move 2.8% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-05

📌 PIN

Strength 50%

Magnet

Floor $200

Ceiling $218

Range 8.8%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $200 by end of day

What Happened

$193.23

-2.40%

Closed 3.4% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -2.4%

2026-03-04

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $200

Ceiling $230

Range 14.8%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $230 by end of day

What Happened

$197.98

-2.18%

Closed 15.8% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -2.2%

2026-03-03

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $202

Ceiling $230

Range 13.6%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $230 by end of day

What Happened

$202.39

-0.14%

Closed 13.6% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.1%

2026-03-02

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $202

Ceiling $230

Range 13.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $230 by end of day

What Happened

$202.67

-3.41%

Closed 13.0% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -3.4%

2026-02-27

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $202

Ceiling $230

Range 13.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $230 by end of day

What Happened

$209.82

-1.08%

Closed 9.5% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.1%

2026-02-26

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $220

Ceiling $225

Range 2.4%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $220–$225 for 5 days

What Happened

$197.98

-6.89%

Broke down — max move 4.7% (need ≤2%)

2026-02-25

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $220

Ceiling $225

Range 2.3%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $220–$225 for 5 days

What Happened

$202.39

-5.38%

2026-02-24

↔ CAGE

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $220

Ceiling $225

Range 2.3%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $220–$225 for 5 days

What Happened

$202.67

-5.01%