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XLF $51.46 +0.45% (updated 2026-06-02)

Today's OI Read — XLF

Where the walls are, where price sits, and what the dealer positioning implies for Financial Select ETF

In Between Walls?
YES
$51
DOM
$52
2ND
$51.46

Sandwiched between dominant walls — dealer hedging on both sides creates structural pinning.

Magnet Strength
0.27× Low (<0.7×)
Current OI 40,377
30d Avg OI 150,981

Near or below average — wall levels carry typical structural weight.

Put/Call Ratio
1.47
PUT HEAVY

Above 1.2 — more put OI than calls. Hedging demand elevated; market participants are positioned defensively.

Dominant Wall
$51
▼ Below spot

The highest OI concentration strike — the structural anchor dealers are most committed to hedging.

Distance to #1 Wall
$+0.46
+0.89%

Price is above the dominant wall — acts as support.

Wall Skew
-0.693
PUT HEAVY

Put-heavy at the dominant wall — put sellers defend this level. Acts as structural support/magnet.

Today's Top Setup — XLF

SQUEEZE, PIN, and CAGE scored 0–100 from OI structure. Highest score = today's highest-conviction setup.

PIN — 53.7% hit rate (n=1,719). CAGE — 45.4% (n=1,161). SQUEEZE — 49.5% (n=5,555). Half hit, half don't — the edge is asymmetric payoff.

Strength scores are locked

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See exactly which setup is most likely — and by how much

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🚀 SQUEEZE
candidate
Strength ██%
5d horizon
Target · Stock pops ≥+5% within 10 trading days — the kind of move where the winners run far enough to outweigh the misses.
📌 PIN
AUC 0.83 measured
Strength ██%
1d horizon
Target · Price closes within 0.5% of $51 (dom strike) by +1d.
↔ CAGE
AUC 0.55 measured
Strength ██%
5d horizon
Target · Price stays between $51 – $52 through +5d.

Top OI Walls

Largest open interest concentrations · sorted by strike price

2026-06-02
Rank Strike Call OI Put OI Total OI P/C % of Max
#4 $52 Resistance 3,706 209 3,915 0.06
25%
#3 $52 Resistance 4,645 859 5,504 0.18
36%
#2 $52 Resistance 2,697 4,436 7,133 1.64
46%
▶ $51.46
#1 $51 Support 2,363 13,051 15,414 5.52
100%
#5 $48 Support 4 1,546 1,550 386.50
10%

SQUEEZE / PIN / CAGE Setup Backtest — XLF

Last 50 sessions — which setup fired, what the score was, and whether it hit. See the actual win/loss record.

0 days ·
Min Strength 60
Magnet:
2026-05-26
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $52
Ceiling $54
Range 4.8%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $52–$54 for 5 days
What Happened
$51.46
-0.75%
2026-05-22
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $52
Ceiling $54
Range 4.8%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $52–$54 for 5 days
What Happened
$51.43
-0.98%
2026-05-21
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $51
Ceiling $52
Range 1.0%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $51–$52 for 5 days
What Happened
$51.58
-0.29%
2026-05-20
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $51
Ceiling $52
Range 1.0%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $51–$52 for 5 days
What Happened
$51.27
-0.75%
2026-05-19
📌 PIN
Strength 75%
Magnet
Floor $51
Ceiling $52
Range 1.0%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $51 by end of day
What Happened
$51.66
+1.10%
Closed 1.3% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.1%
2026-05-18
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $51
Ceiling $52
Range 1.0%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $51–$52 for 5 days
What Happened
$51.85
+0.21%
Broke down — max move 1.2% (need ≤2%)
2026-05-15
📌 PIN
Strength 75%
Magnet
Floor $51
Ceiling $53
Range 3.9%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $51 by end of day
What Happened
$51.74
+1.25%
Closed 1.4% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.3%
2026-05-14
📌 PIN
Strength 60%
Magnet
Floor $50
Ceiling $52
Range 3.9%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $52 by end of day
What Happened
$51.10
-0.37%
Closed 1.8% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.4%
2026-05-13
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $50
Ceiling $52
Range 3.9%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $50–$52 for 5 days
What Happened
$51.66
+1.31%
2026-05-12
📌 PIN
Strength 60%
Magnet
Floor $50
Ceiling $52
Range 3.9%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $52 by end of day
What Happened
$50.99
-1.14%
Closed 2.0% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.1%
2026-05-11
📌 PIN
Strength 60%
Magnet
Floor $50
Ceiling $52
Range 3.9%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $52 by end of day
What Happened
$51.58
+0.78%
Closed 0.8% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.8%
2026-05-08
📌 PIN
Strength 60%
Magnet
Floor $50
Ceiling $52
Range 3.9%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $52 by end of day
What Happened
$51.18
-0.12%
Closed 1.6% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.1%
2026-05-07
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $52
Ceiling $54
Range 2.9%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $52–$54 for 5 days
What Happened
$51.29
-0.50%
2026-05-06
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $52
Ceiling $54
Range 2.9%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $52–$54 for 5 days
What Happened
$50.99
-1.64%
2026-05-05
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $52
Ceiling $54
Range 2.9%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $52–$54 for 5 days
What Happened
$51.58
-0.02%
2026-05-04
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $53
Ceiling $54
Range 1.9%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $53–$54 for 5 days
What Happened
$51.18
-0.78%
2026-05-01
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $52
Ceiling $54
Range 2.9%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $52–$54 for 5 days
What Happened
$51.24
-1.31%
2026-04-30
📌 PIN
Strength 75%
Magnet
Floor $52
Ceiling $53
Range 1.9%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $52 by end of day
What Happened
$51.92
-0.40%
2026-04-29
📌 PIN
Strength 75%
Magnet
Floor $52
Ceiling $53
Range 1.9%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $52 by end of day
What Happened
$52.13
+0.40%
2026-04-28
📌 PIN
Strength 75%
Magnet
Floor $52
Ceiling $53
Range 1.9%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $52 by end of day
What Happened
$51.92
+0.14%
2026-04-27
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $52
Ceiling $53
Range 1.9%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $52–$53 for 5 days
What Happened
$51.58
-0.44%
2026-04-24
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $52
Ceiling $53
Range 1.9%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $52–$53 for 5 days
What Happened
$51.92
+0.97%
2026-04-23
📌 PIN
Strength 75%
Magnet
Floor $52
Ceiling $53
Range 1.9%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $52 by end of day
What Happened
$51.42
-0.73%
Closed 1.1% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.7%
2026-04-22
📌 PIN
Strength 75%
Magnet
Floor $52
Ceiling $53
Range 1.9%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $52 by end of day
What Happened
$51.80
-0.79%
2026-04-21
📌 PIN
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $52
Ceiling $53
Range 1.9%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $52 by end of day
What Happened
$52.21
-0.17%
2026-04-20
📌 PIN
Strength 45%
Magnet
Floor $52
Ceiling $53
Range 1.9%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $52 by end of day
What Happened
$52.30
-0.63%
Closed 0.6% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.6%
2026-04-17
📌 PIN
Strength 65%
Magnet
Floor $52
Ceiling $53
Range 1.9%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $52 by end of day
What Happened
$52.63
+0.38%
Closed 1.2% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.4%
2026-04-16
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $49
Ceiling $51
Range 3.8%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $49–$51 for 5 days
What Happened
$51.80
-0.44%
2026-04-15
↔ CAGE
Strength 20%
Magnet
Floor $49
Ceiling $52
Range 5.8%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $49–$52 for 5 days
What Happened
$52.21
+0.08%
2026-04-14
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $49
Ceiling $51
Range 3.9%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $49–$51 for 5 days
What Happened
$52.30
+1.00%
2026-04-13
↔ CAGE
Strength 20%
Magnet
Floor $49
Ceiling $52
Range 5.8%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $49–$52 for 5 days
What Happened
$52.63
+1.88%
2026-04-10
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $49
Ceiling $51
Range 3.9%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $49–$51 for 5 days
What Happened
$52.43
+3.27%
Broke up — max move 2.8% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-09
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $48
Ceiling $49
Range 2.9%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $48–$49 for 5 days
What Happened
$52.03
+1.36%
2026-04-08
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $48
Ceiling $49
Range 2.9%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $48–$49 for 5 days
What Happened
$52.17
+1.89%
2026-04-07
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $48
Ceiling $49
Range 1.0%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $48–$49 for 5 days
What Happened
$51.78
+3.81%
Broke up — max move 2.9% (need ≤2%)
2026-04-06
📌 PIN
Strength 75%
Magnet
Floor $48
Ceiling $50
Range 3.0%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $50 by end of day
What Happened
$49.88
+0.00%
2026-04-02
📌 PIN
Strength 75%
Magnet
Floor $48
Ceiling $50
Range 4.0%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $50 by end of day
What Happened
$49.88
+0.71%
Closed 0.8% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.7%
2026-04-01
📌 PIN
Strength 75%
Magnet
Floor $48
Ceiling $50
Range 4.0%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $50 by end of day
What Happened
$49.53
+0.18%
2026-03-31
↔ CAGE
Strength 55%
Magnet
Floor $48
Ceiling $48
Range 1.0%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $48–$48 for 5 days
What Happened
$51.20
+3.71%
2026-03-30
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $50
Ceiling $51
Range 2.1%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $50–$51 for 5 days
What Happened
$49.88
+3.14%
Broke up — max move 2.4% (need ≤2%)
2026-03-27
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $50
Ceiling $51
Range 2.1%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $50–$51 for 5 days
What Happened
$49.88
+4.33%
Broke up — max move 3.4% (need ≤2%)
2026-03-26
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $50
Ceiling $51
Range 2.0%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $50–$51 for 5 days
What Happened
$49.53
+0.98%
Broke down — max move 2.5% (need ≤2%)
2026-03-25
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $50
Ceiling $51
Range 2.0%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $50–$51 for 5 days
What Happened
$49.44
+0.20%
Broke down — max move 3.1% (need ≤2%)
2026-03-24
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $50
Ceiling $51
Range 2.0%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Stay inside $50–$51 for 5 days
What Happened
$49.37
+0.18%
Broke up — max move 3.0% (need ≤2%)
2026-03-23
📌 PIN
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $49
Ceiling $50
Range 2.0%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $50 by end of day
What Happened
$49.28
+0.02%
Closed 1.5% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.0%
2026-03-20
📌 PIN
Strength 45%
Magnet
Floor $48
Ceiling $50
Range 4.1%
✗ Miss
Win Criteria
Close within 0.5% of $50 by end of day
What Happened
$49.27
+0.39%
Closed 1.5% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.4%
2026-03-19
↔ CAGE
Strength 40%
Magnet
Floor $50
Ceiling $53
Range 6.1%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $50–$53 for 5 days
What Happened
$49.05
+0.12%
2026-03-18
↔ CAGE
Strength 40%
Magnet
Floor $50
Ceiling $53
Range 6.1%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $50–$53 for 5 days
What Happened
$49.34
+0.76%
2026-03-17
↔ CAGE
Strength 35%
Magnet
Floor $52
Ceiling $53
Range 2.0%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $52–$53 for 5 days
What Happened
$49.28
-0.56%
2026-03-16
↔ CAGE
Strength 20%
Magnet
Floor $50
Ceiling $53
Range 6.1%
✓ Hit
Win Criteria
Stay inside $50–$53 for 5 days
What Happened
$49.27
-0.06%