XOM Gamma Squeeze, Pin & Wall Analysis

XOM ExxonMobil $150.63 -0.41% (updated 2026-05-12)

Today's OI Read — XOM

Where the walls are, where price sits, and what the dealer positioning implies for ExxonMobil

In Between Walls?

YES

$150

2ND

$165

DOM

$150.63

Sandwiched between dominant walls — dealer hedging on both sides creates structural pinning.

Magnet Strength Details →

1.82× High (1.5–2×)

Current OI 149,741

30d Avg OI 82,268

Elevated OI — dealers carry larger hedges, making price walls structurally stronger.

Put/Call Ratio

0.63

CALL HEAVY

Below 0.8 — call OI dominates. Bullish positioning; dealers are short calls and will sell delta into rallies.

Dominant Wall

$165

▲ Above spot

The highest OI concentration strike — the structural anchor dealers are most committed to hedging.

Distance to #1 Wall

$-14.37

-9.54%

Price is below the dominant wall — acts as resistance.

Wall Skew

+0.896

CALL HEAVY

Call-heavy at the dominant wall — call sellers cap rallies toward it. Acts as resistance.

Today's Top Setup — XOM

SQUEEZE, PIN, and CAGE scored 0–100 from OI structure. Highest score = today's highest-conviction setup.

PIN — 53.7% hit rate (n=1,719). CAGE — 45.4% (n=1,161). SQUEEZE — 49.5% (n=5,555). Half hit, half don't — the edge is asymmetric payoff.

Strength scores are locked

PRO

See exactly which setup is most likely — and by how much

Unlock

🚀 SQUEEZE

candidate

Strength ██%

5d horizon

Target · Stock pops ≥+5% within 10 trading days — the kind of move where the winners run far enough to outweigh the misses.

📌 PIN

AUC 0.83 measured

Strength ██%

1d horizon

Target · Price closes within 0.5% of $165 (dom strike) by +1d.

↔ CAGE

AUC 0.55 measured

Strength ██%

5d horizon

Target · Price stays between $150 – $165 through +5d.

No cage setup today — walls are 10.0% apart. Dealers only defend tight ranges (<8%).

Top OI Walls

Largest open interest concentrations · sorted by strike price · * OI projected from prior day

2026-05-12

Rank	Strike	Call OI	Put OI	Total OI	P/C	% of Max
#1	$165 Resistance	15,932	871	16,803	0.05	100%
#3	$155 Resistance	9,628	2,236	11,864	0.23	71%
▶ $150.63
#2	$150 Support	9,504	4,472	13,976	0.47	83%
#5	$145 Support	3,873	7,545	11,418	1.95	68%
#4	$140 Support	2,286	9,250	11,536	4.05	69%

Dealer Magnet Strength

When total OI is elevated vs its 30-day rolling average, dealer hedging is heavier — walls act like magnets. Very High = stronger PIN / CAGE conviction. Near-normal = weaker structural hold.

Current Magnet Strength

High (1.5–2×)

Low (<0.7×)

73.6%

212 days · 1d

Normal (0.7–1×)

79.5%

73 days · 1d

Elevated (1–1.5×)

76.0%

25 days · 1d

High (1.5–2×)

89.5%

20 days · 1d

Very High (>2×)

87.5%

72 days · 1d

Containment Rate by OI Magnitude Bucket

OI ratio = today's total OI ÷ 30-day rolling average. Does elevated OI predict price staying inside the dominant wall range?

OI Level	Days	1d	2d	5d	10d	20d
Low (<0.7×)	212	73.6%	61.8%	50.5%	43.9%	36.5%
Normal (0.7–1×)	73	79.5%	63.0%	42.5%	41.1%	24.7%
Elevated (1–1.5×)	25	76.0%	64.0%	48.0%	40.0%	40.0%
High (1.5–2×)	20	89.5%	83.3%	58.8%	70.6%	70.6%
Very High (>2×)	72	87.5%	77.8%	66.7%	50.0%	58.6%

SQUEEZE / PIN / CAGE Setup Backtest — XOM

Last 50 sessions — which setup fired, what the score was, and whether it hit. See the actual win/loss record.

0 days ·

Min Strength 60

Magnet:

2026-05-05

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $155

Ceiling $160

Range 3.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $155–$160 for 5 days

What Happened

$150.63

-2.74%

Broke down — max move 6.7% (need ≤2%)

2026-05-04

📌 PIN

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $155

Ceiling $160

Range 3.3%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $155 by end of day

What Happened

$154.88

+0.77%

2026-05-01

📌 PIN

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $145

Ceiling $155

Range 6.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $155 by end of day

What Happened

$153.69

+0.62%

Closed 0.9% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.6%

2026-04-30

📌 PIN

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $155

Ceiling $162

Range 4.9%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $155 by end of day

What Happened

$152.75

-1.02%

Closed 1.5% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.0%

2026-04-29

📌 PIN

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $155

Ceiling $162

Range 4.8%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $155 by end of day

What Happened

$154.33

-0.22%

2026-04-28

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $155

Ceiling $162

Range 5.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $155–$162 for 5 days

What Happened

$154.88

+2.87%

Broke up — max move 2.7% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-27

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $155

Ceiling $162

Range 5.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $155–$162 for 5 days

What Happened

$153.69

+3.71%

Broke up — max move 4.4% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-24

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $155

Ceiling $162

Range 5.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $155–$162 for 5 days

What Happened

$152.75

+2.58%

Broke down — max move 3.9% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-23

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $149

Ceiling $150

Range 0.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $149–$150 for 5 days

What Happened

$154.33

+2.52%

Broke down — max move 1.6% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-22

📌 PIN

Strength 85%

Magnet

Floor $149

Ceiling $150

Range 0.7%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $149 by end of day

What Happened

$150.53

+0.69%

Closed 1.0% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.7%

2026-04-21

📌 PIN

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $149

Ceiling $150

Range 0.7%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $149 by end of day

What Happened

$149.50

+0.77%

2026-04-20

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $155

Ceiling $160

Range 3.4%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $155–$160 for 5 days

What Happened

$148.19

+0.35%

2026-04-17

📌 PIN

Strength 5%

Magnet

Floor $160

Ceiling $175

Range 10.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $160 by end of day

What Happened

$147.68

+0.85%

Closed 8.4% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.8%

2026-04-16

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $135

Ceiling $140

Range 3.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $135–$140 for 5 days

What Happened

$150.53

-0.95%

Broke down — max move 3.6% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-15

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $135

Ceiling $140

Range 3.4%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $135–$140 for 5 days

What Happened

$149.50

+0.33%

2026-04-14

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $135

Ceiling $140

Range 3.4%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $135–$140 for 5 days

What Happened

$148.36

-0.59%

2026-04-13

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $135

Ceiling $140

Range 3.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $135–$140 for 5 days

What Happened

$147.68

-3.25%

Broke down — max move 2.4% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-10

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $135

Ceiling $140

Range 3.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $135–$140 for 5 days

What Happened

$146.44

-3.98%

Broke up — max move 2.3% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-09

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $165

Ceiling $170

Range 3.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $165–$170 for 5 days

What Happened

$151.98

-1.97%

Broke down — max move 3.7% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-08

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $165

Ceiling $170

Range 3.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $165–$170 for 5 days

What Happened

$149.01

-4.62%

Broke down — max move 2.4% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-07

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $165

Ceiling $170

Range 3.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $165–$170 for 5 days

What Happened

$149.24

-8.95%

Broke down — max move 7.0% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-06

📌 PIN

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $165

Ceiling $170

Range 3.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $165 by end of day

What Happened

$163.91

+0.33%

Closed 0.7% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.3%

2026-04-02

↔ CAGE

Strength 40%

Magnet

Floor $165

Ceiling $175

Range 6.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $165–$175 for 5 days

What Happened

$152.51

-5.09%

Broke up — max move 2.8% (need ≤2%)

2026-04-01

↔ CAGE

Strength 40%

Magnet

Floor $165

Ceiling $175

Range 6.2%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $165–$175 for 5 days

What Happened

$155.04

-3.57%

2026-03-31

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $165

Ceiling $175

Range 5.9%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $165–$175 for 5 days

What Happened

$156.22

-7.92%

Broke down — max move 5.3% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-30

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $165

Ceiling $170

Range 2.9%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $165–$170 for 5 days

What Happened

$163.91

-4.41%

Broke down — max move 6.3% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-27

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $155

Ceiling $160

Range 2.9%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $155–$160 for 5 days

What Happened

$163.37

-4.46%

Broke up — max move 6.0% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-26

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $155

Ceiling $160

Range 3.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $155–$160 for 5 days

What Happened

$160.69

-2.87%

Broke up — max move 3.7% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-25

📌 PIN

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $160

Ceiling $165

Range 3.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $160 by end of day

What Happened

$165.43

+1.33%

Closed 3.3% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +1.3%

2026-03-24

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $160

Ceiling $165

Range 3.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $160–$165 for 5 days

What Happened

$169.66

+2.59%

Broke down — max move 3.4% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-23

📌 PIN

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $155

Ceiling $160

Range 3.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $160 by end of day

What Happened

$165.38

+2.64%

Closed 3.3% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +2.6%

2026-03-20

📌 PIN

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $155

Ceiling $160

Range 3.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $160 by end of day

What Happened

$161.13

+0.91%

Closed 0.7% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +0.9%

2026-03-19

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $140

Ceiling $145

Range 3.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $140–$145 for 5 days

What Happened

$165.43

+4.60%

Broke up — max move 4.6% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-18

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $140

Ceiling $145

Range 3.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $140–$145 for 5 days

What Happened

$163.26

+3.60%

Broke up — max move 2.2% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-17

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $140

Ceiling $145

Range 3.1%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $140–$145 for 5 days

What Happened

$165.38

+4.14%

2026-03-16

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $140

Ceiling $145

Range 3.2%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $140–$145 for 5 days

What Happened

$161.13

+2.48%

2026-03-13

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $140

Ceiling $145

Range 3.2%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $140–$145 for 5 days

What Happened

$159.67

+2.27%

2026-03-12

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $155

Ceiling $160

Range 3.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $155–$160 for 5 days

What Happened

$158.16

+3.02%

Broke up — max move 3.4% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-11

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $155

Ceiling $160

Range 3.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $155–$160 for 5 days

What Happened

$157.59

+3.96%

Broke up — max move 3.7% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-10

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $152

Ceiling $160

Range 5.1%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $152–$160 for 5 days

What Happened

$158.81

+7.21%

Broke up — max move 5.4% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-09

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $152

Ceiling $160

Range 5.0%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $152–$160 for 5 days

What Happened

$157.23

+4.51%

Broke down — max move 2.1% (need ≤2%)

2026-03-06

📌 PIN

Strength 15%

Magnet

Floor $135

Ceiling $160

Range 16.5%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $160 by end of day

What Happened

$150.44

-0.51%

Closed 6.3% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -0.5%

2026-03-05

↔ CAGE

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $152

Ceiling $155

Range 1.7%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $152–$155 for 5 days

What Happened

$153.53

+1.84%

2026-03-04

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $155

Ceiling $160

Range 3.3%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $155–$160 for 5 days

What Happened

$151.58

+1.17%

2026-03-03

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $155

Ceiling $160

Range 3.3%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $155–$160 for 5 days

What Happened

$148.13

-2.44%

2026-03-02

📌 PIN

Strength 55%

Magnet

Floor $155

Ceiling $160

Range 3.2%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $155 by end of day

What Happened

$151.83

-1.55%

Closed 2.1% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved -1.5%

2026-02-27

↔ CAGE

Strength 75%

Magnet

Floor $152

Ceiling $155

Range 1.6%

✓ Hit

Win Criteria

Stay inside $152–$155 for 5 days

What Happened

$151.21

-0.85%

2026-02-26

📌 PIN

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $147

Ceiling $155

Range 5.4%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Close within 0.5% of $147 by end of day

What Happened

$152.50

+2.67%

Closed 3.7% from wall (need ≤0.5%) — moved +2.7%

2026-02-25

↔ CAGE

Strength 20%

Magnet

Floor $147

Ceiling $155

Range 5.4%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $147–$155 for 5 days

What Happened

$149.82

+0.51%

Broke down — max move 3.5% (need ≤2%)

2026-02-24

↔ CAGE

Strength 35%

Magnet

Floor $155

Ceiling $160

Range 3.3%

✗ Miss

Win Criteria

Stay inside $155–$160 for 5 days

What Happened

$151.83

+1.72%

Broke down — max move 2.2% (need ≤2%)